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Old 03-13-2019, 11:43 PM   #1
daonna
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 109
Is this correlated?

I was able to place the following parlay today. The bet went through fine but I don't want to raise any flags on the account. I haven't the resources to backtest it so wondering if any hockey guys here can tell at a glance if it is correlated.
TIA.

10 Min Alt Puck Line -1.5 (favourite @ ~ +800)
Full Game Total Over 6 (@ -105)

Parlay odds ~ +1650
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Old 03-16-2019, 12:47 PM   #2
TomG
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Location: props manager, nolan syndicate
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Re: Is this correlated?

yes it's obviously correlated to some degree and no it may not be blindly +ev because you haven't calculated the degree of correlation and you're probably getting raped on the pricing for that 10 min alt puck line
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Old Today, 01:14 AM   #3
akkopower1
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Re: Is this correlated?

Quote:
Originally Posted by daonna View Post
I was able to place the following parlay today. The bet went through fine but I don't want to raise any flags on the account. I haven't the resources to backtest it so wondering if any hockey guys here can tell at a glance if it is correlated.
TIA.

10 Min Alt Puck Line -1.5 (favourite @ ~ +800)
Full Game Total Over 6 (@ -105)

Parlay odds ~ +1650
Yep, definitely correlated.

My guess is still negative ev. You need to change the 10min bet into something with a shorter price. Maybe they wont allow anything shorter, only allowing the -ev correlated parlays
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