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Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee

03-26-2009 , 04:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GoldenBears
I don't know?
im actually kind of interested in the answer to this. in my limited experience i see these moves with syndicates too, but they move back alot less.
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
03-26-2009 , 12:53 PM
i'm also curious as to what book dr. bob uses to get his lines because i rarely get the lines he releases (i'm a subscriber)
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
03-26-2009 , 01:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Thremp
He makes more picks when losing and less picks when winning. He's a tout. He does standard tout stuff. Don't try to pretend you're working for a syndicate and I'm pretty sure you won't get confused.

PS: I've never had a conversation with another gambler about marketing and SEO.
Well, that's all well and good. This is a more interesting position for me anyway.


Quote:
Originally Posted by ProfessorBen
im actually kind of interested in the answer to this. in my limited experience i see these moves with syndicates too, but they move back alot less.
Future discussion, then. We'll see what we can figure out next season.

Quote:
Originally Posted by En Passant
i'm also curious as to what book dr. bob uses to get his lines because i rarely get the lines he releases (i'm a subscriber)
I don't know, I'll figure this out when I get there.
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
03-26-2009 , 01:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ProfessorBen
im actually kind of interested in the answer to this. in my limited experience i see these moves with syndicates too, but they move back alot less.
are you implying that Bob releases picks, gets tons of squares on them, and the syndicates pick up the 20 cents or whatever off the previous market that they wanted in the opposite direction?
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
03-26-2009 , 02:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise
are you implying that Bob releases picks, gets tons of squares on them, and the syndicates pick up the 20 cents or whatever off the previous market that they wanted in the opposite direction?
If the books don't move lines on "square" money, then why would the lines move at all?
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
03-26-2009 , 03:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NegativeZero
If the books don't move lines on "square" money, then why would the lines move at all?
A few services are respected enough to move the lines when they release,other examples have been Phil Steele(when he's running good)Right Angle,Private Players of Pittsburgh and Donn Wagner.Sometimes syndicates have differing opinions which leads to the reverse line movement.
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
03-26-2009 , 04:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by the steam
A few services are respected enough to move the lines when they release,other examples have been Phil Steele(when he's running good)Right Angle,Private Players of Pittsburgh and Donn Wagner.Sometimes syndicates have differing opinions which leads to the reverse line movement.
That is not the meaning of reverse line movement.
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
03-26-2009 , 05:36 PM
you see this kind of thing all the time

touts will run hot for a while then start releasing fades so they can cash in on the other side

then the market realizes this and starts fading his picks before he can get down on them

stay away
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
03-26-2009 , 05:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pourchampagne
you see this kind of thing all the time

touts will run hot for a while then start releasing fades so they can cash in on the other side

then the market realizes this and starts fading his picks before he can get down on them

stay away
10 years != a while.

Then again, I don't know why I'm bothering to respond to a guy whose 19 posts include the following gems:

Quote:
Originally Posted by pourchampagne
don't bet on an exchange they take some of your winnings
Quote:
Originally Posted by pourchampagne
this is what matchbook does to your account if you beat them

http://lauramartinez.files.wordpress...e_lg_nwm-1.gif

be warned

Quote:
Originally Posted by pourchampagne
here's another tip

on games that 1 seeds dont play always bet the dogs

if you bet faves and they don't cover but win, they have another chance to screw you in the next round. but if your dogs don't cover they are out and you can be done with them without losing any more money.

saved me a lot this season.

I kept you off ignore at first because I thought you were an awesome fake account leveling people, but I'm beginning to find that unlikely.
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
03-26-2009 , 06:04 PM
whatever this is you

Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
03-26-2009 , 06:06 PM
12-16-2009 , 07:49 PM
Bump for losing record in NCAA/NFL/NFL Math Model. Holla!
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
12-16-2009 , 07:56 PM
Yeah, but think about how many jobs he saved or created!
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
12-16-2009 , 08:08 PM
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12-16-2009 , 08:22 PM
shut up naj,, not even remotely funny bro
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
12-17-2009 , 01:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Thremp
Bump for losing record in NCAA/NFL/NFL Math Model. Holla!
Solid.
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
12-17-2009 , 06:03 PM
LOL grumpyboot
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
12-17-2009 , 08:12 PM
If you grab Dr Bob's results over the last 4 seasons (including the present one) from his website you would be down over 30 betting units, betting at the lines/star value he suggests in every sport.
This is over a decent sample size.

This doesn't include the following

(a) 4 years of Tout fees for every sport

(b) The fact that many of his subscribers ended up taking much worse lines after release.

The average subscriber who payed every game has to be down somewhere south of 40-50 units over that period.

The fact he continues to claim he will win at 55-60% going forward is frankly laughable.

For starters nobody can predict their winrate going forward.
Your edge is a function of the "softness" of the lines you have to bet into.

My crystal ball is on the blink, so if anyone can predcit how soft a market will be going forward you are smarter than I.

Now some will claim that the results before the previous 4 seasons are just as valid.

I personally don't agree for a number of obvious reasons.

The good news is Dr Bob is a huge winner!

D.
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
12-17-2009 , 08:24 PM
This forum is too awesome.
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12-17-2009 , 08:30 PM
Dr Bob has a 5 star release on one side, Brandon Lang has a 50 dimer on the other, who's the fade?
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
12-17-2009 , 08:32 PM
line is efficiently set
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12-17-2009 , 08:54 PM
Strange how Bob now magically has much larger plays since he's down. Interesting how that works.
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
12-17-2009 , 10:17 PM
Clearly -- the line gets more inefficient as more information becomes know throughout the NFL season, Thrempy. It's so stunningly obvious I can't believe you didn't know about the Yoshing Theorem!
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote
12-17-2009 , 11:35 PM
This thread is in need of a title change.
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12-18-2009 , 12:11 AM
I helped a famous tout further his scamming people out of money. Brag?
Brag? Dr. Bob's first employee Quote

      
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