Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 3,403
anyone got any bets for today?
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Think I like the Sharks today on neutral ground just. Roosters first game but not sure about the price. Late game I super rate both sides so prob passing at current prices
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Annoyingly tried to get Storm last min but wasn't able to get on fully. They're so good
Adding a couple spots for tonight/tomorrow
Argentina ML -105 vs Wales, Rugby Union
Wests Tigers +1.5 -109 vs Brisbane Broncos - no Joey Leilua, no James Roberts, should help their defense a bit and they'll score points. Broncos probably will too, pretty tempted by the overs despite the possibility Wests D is better
I make it close to a flip though so happy to take the +1.5 on Wests as it'll be close a decent amount (as well as both sides blowouts a decent amount lol)
Pretty sure i'll wind up on Penrith tomorrow but want to make sure no more of their stars are out to consider it at final lineups
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Going Souths -25.5 -111 and Penrith -7.5 -111 as well today to go with my Wests +1.5 -109
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Penrith ML -263 too just don't see them losing to the Warriors even without their halves
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
hi page 17 ...to start for today
NRL Game 1
Stephen CrichtonAnytime Tryscorer
Over (35.5)Alternative Total Match Points
Penrith Panthers (+12.5)Pick Your Own Line
@$2.80
AFL Game 1
Over (159.5)Total Game Points - Over/Under
Dyson HeppellTo Get 20 or More Disposals
Alec WatermanAny Time Goal Scorer
@$3.10
AFL Game 2
Chris Mayne To Get 20 or More Disposals
Scott Pendlebury To Get 25 or More Disposals
Ed Curnow To Get 20 or More Disposals
@$2.87
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
NRL Game 2 - try fest plse
David Nofoaluma Anytime Tryscorer
Corey Oates Anytime Tryscorer
Over (41.5)Alternative Total Match Points
@$3.40
AFL Game 3
Rory SloaneTo Get 20 or More Disposals
Shannon HurnTo Get 20 or More Disposals
James RoweAny Time Goal Scorer
@$3.10
Last edited by Dreadnaught; 07-18-2021 at 01:28 AM.
Reason: added game
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
AFL Game 4
Harry PerrymanTo Get 20 or More Disposals
Greater Western SydneyHead to Head
Jeremy FinlaysonAny Time Goal Scorer
@$4.00
NRL Game 3 - and i am pretty sure this is terrible already
Alex JohnstonTo Score 2 or more Tries
Over (38.5)Alternative Total Match Points
Taane MilneAnytime Tryscorer
Canterbury Bulldogs (+52.5)
@$4.00
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Took a little Souths 1h -11.5 in play at 0-0 there won't count it for thread but theyre about to bust the game open imo
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
While we're at it in play Souths -31.5 a steal too pretty maxed everywhere pregame etc but this is looking like a one sided beatdown to me so added some
They're going to win by 40-50ish prob
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
good start to page 17
NRL Game 1 =bonus bet back
NRL Game 2 = +2.4U
NRL Game 3 = +3.0U
AFL Game 1 =bonus bet back
AFL Game 2 =bonus bet back
AFL Game 3 =bonus bet back
AFL Game 4 =bonus bet back (calling this early with miracle chance of sweep)
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Gonna get on all the favs except Sharks and Eels at early lines expect them all to steam. Not sure i'll keep Souths but prob keeping the rest this wk
119-90-1 +7.16u
Roosters -9.5 -111
Storm -23.5 -132
Souths -15.5 -111
Manly -15.5 -125
Penrith -15.5 -123
Titans -4.5 -111
Didn't want the Roosters initially but expecting one or two likely outs for Newcastle of their key guys who aren't confirmed out, worst case can probably middle it off w/ +10.5 at some stage
Not sure i'll keep Souths but worst case expect to get +16.5 or +18 at some stage if I don't keep it
Pretty likely to keep the rest, only possible exception Penrith if Luai isn't back but would probably keep it anyway
Undecided on Sharks/Dogs and Eels/Raiders. If I play an underdog this week I expect it to be the Raiders plus the points or as decent ML dogs but not sure yet want to see sides
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
One more, Storm/Cows o50.5 -111
No way this should be the same total as a bunch of the other games it's a massive overs game given Storm can attack and Cowboys can't defend and if Cows get a couple tries it's a bonus
Don't mind Manly game over but will think on it more
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Of course a few of these could change with lineup info tomorrow but if sides line up as expected pretty happy w/ that slate
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Looks like most of those are moving the way I expected assuming no nasty surprises at lineups today that should continue
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Eels -11.5 -125 some key raiders outs
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
7 favs and 1 tbd so far lol
Week of blowouts ahead I think
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
almost feel like round robining the lot
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Bunch of them have steamed already altho SB had some nice altlines not sure how many are still there
I have some decent parlays on this week too, hopefully it's a week of fav blowouts, weather is expected to be dry
Looking forward to Sexton debuting from the titans hope he delivers
Papen back for the storm is nice despite them resting Munster should win by piles. I'd love to see them trial Hynes at 6 when Papen comes on off the bench
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 3,403
Got any afl I can bet this weekend?
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Take it with a grain of salt but I was told Carlton, Gold Coast and Adelaide are all the right sides this week that a lot of the sharp guys are on (i'm less of an AFL capper myself and more bet other guys info or market related stuff)
Market seems to be liking Port too
I'd 100% recommend tailing me on NRL and Rugby 7s and Union, AFL is proceed at your own risk as my results haven't been that stellar last two seasons compared to the previous few years on AFL
We do get Olympic 7s next week which will be fun
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
AFL
Jack Crisp To Get 20 or More Disposals
Mitch Georgiades Any Time Goal Scorer
Dan Houston To Get 15 or More Disposals
Darcy Byrne-Jones To Get 20 or More Disposals
@$3.00
NRL Game 1
Sydney Roosters (+6.5) Pick Your Own Line
Over (36.5)Alternative Total Match Points
Billy Smith Anytime Tryscorer
@$3.14
NRL Game 2
Brandon Smith Anytime Tryscorer
Ryan Papenhuyzen Anytime Tryscorer
Over (36.5) Alternative Total Match Points
@$3.00
gogo the Smiths i guess
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Papen is risky because he's likely coming off the bench and only playing half the games; Hynes could be the same if they don't move him to 6 and do a direct swap
Would go w/ the other Storm outside backs (obv Addo-Carr biggest lock) if u want an anytime
That said Storm likely put up 50 tonight so good chance both Hynes and Papen score, but Papen at least is playing limited minutes and Hynes might too
Also lol Storm -23.5 opening line, -32.5 now don't think we've crossed 5 key even numbers yet this season til tonight gogogogo Storm
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
^Doh ...i fkn hate my bets now thanks a bunch ..lol ..i kid ...oh well gona need super quality time from the paps
and yeah your points gained so far has been insane from early lines ....good work as usual and GL mate
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
first smith down for the count in first half...bad premonitions of night to come