Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) - Page 64 - Sports Betting

AFL
Karl Amon To Get 20 or More Disposals
Todd Marshall Any Time Goal Scorer
Ed Langdon To Get 20 or More Disposals
@$3.14

NRL
Jason Saab To Score 2 or more Tries
Over (34.5)Alternative Total Match Points
Manly Sea Eagles (+6.5)Pick Your Own Line
@$3.50

Quote

07-08-2021 , 04:45 AM

#1578

LuckyLuke01

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 3,403

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dreadnaught

AFL
Karl Amon To Get 20 or More Disposals
Todd Marshall Any Time Goal Scorer
Ed Langdon To Get 20 or More Disposals
@$3.14

I can only get it at 2 88 but I'm on it

Last edited by LuckyLuke01; 07-08-2021 at 04:46 AM. Reason: I boosted on Sportsbet to 3 bucks

Quote

07-08-2021 , 05:32 AM

#1579

Dreadnaught

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,875

^guess thats some micro steam in the right directions ......lets get it Lucky and almost feel like doubling down as you seem to have the lucky tail factor

Quote

07-08-2021 , 08:21 AM

#1580

Dreadnaught

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,875

1 x bonus bet back.....shocker with Marshall getting injured and Manly still on way to the ground
Next

Quote

07-09-2021 , 12:42 AM

#1581

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Not the best day at the office yesterday

Today I think i'll end up on a total

I'm very low on the Cowboys in general this season but also think Souths have become slightly overrated

This would be a clear overs game at full strength in dry weather but with some stars out and possible rain I may end up playing the under if it's raining close to kickoff. If it's dry i'll be staying away from the under though. It's just a lot of points if it's raining given modern totals. If it's dry though should be a tryfest; wet and I think it goes under

Quote

07-09-2021 , 03:33 AM

#1582

Dreadnaught

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,875

+EV play is to not tail these on form (or do the opposite)

AFL
Nick HindTo Get 20 or More Disposals
Harrison Jones?(Ess)Any Time Goal Scorer
Rory SloaneTo Get 20 or More Disposals
@$2.86

NRL
Alex JohnstonTo Score 2 or more Tries
Over (34.5)Alternative Total Match Points
South Sydney Rabbitohs (+3.5)Pick Your Own Line
@$3.00

Quote

07-09-2021 , 04:57 AM

#1583

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Essendon o13.5 goals -115

Bit of Essendon and overs steam, and I like Essendon so tailing along with their team total, slightly preferred this to the 94.5 so went with goals over

NRL i'm prob gonna back a total depending whether it's raining at kickoff

Quote

07-09-2021 , 08:21 AM

#1584

Dreadnaught

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,875

AFL= bonus bet back
NRL = +2U

Quote

07-09-2021 , 10:47 AM

#1585

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Nice hit on Alex Johnston doing his thing. I ended up going no bet NRL today

115-86-1 +7.5u for season

Quote

07-10-2021 , 04:27 AM

#1586

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Am on the Roosters today but number I got not available anymore, weird one, Bulldogs are awful and Roosters will be super motivated but missing Tedesco which hurts and Crichton. Should still win by a bunch but they could win by 6 or 46 and it wouldn't surprise me

Quote

07-10-2021 , 07:24 AM

#1587

twotoseven

banned

Join Date: Apr 2021 Posts: 43

Ty swoop I bet "Roosters to win by exactly 6" and cleaned up!

Quote

07-10-2021 , 09:57 AM

#1588

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Not what I meant (I meant they could win by any margin in that range and it wouldn't surprise me), but glad to be of service rofl

If we're going for ridiculous exacts (hint; they're hugely -ev so don't) I just have a weird feeling tomorrow's game gets decided by 1 pt possibly in extra time

Close games are very rare in general at the moment but the sides are so close on paper tomorrow. I'd lean towards taking the Warriors with the start if I had to pick I guess, but had a subpar week betting so may not get involved, want to see what the sharp money's doing tomorrow as I don't have a strong read on the game

Last edited by SwoopAE; 07-10-2021 at 10:10 AM.

Quote

07-10-2021 , 11:45 PM

#1589

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Warriors +4.5 -111

Think it's a flip and more likely than average to be close so taking the dog with the points today

Quote

07-14-2021 , 05:33 AM

#1590

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

115-87-1 +6.39u

I kinda like QLD h2h above 4 bucks and also kinda like NSW to cover the spread ironically only one of the two can happen but I think QLD win over 1 in 4 times, but NSW will win by tons the times they do win if they get a possession snowball or whatever

Quote

07-14-2021 , 05:57 AM

#1591

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

I'm taking QLD as big underdogs on the moneyline fwiw today. Iffy and they def lose over half the time but think +3xx is too high.

Quote

07-14-2021 , 08:29 PM

#1592

LuckyLuke01

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 3,403

Freo VS cats tonight weather is windy and shocking here in Perth lots of rain.

Cats a favs at 1.80 freo 2. 05 line is - 2.5 to cats and total is 143.5 I think the over might be good here as freo have been kicking better of late.

Not sure what the go is though but after the euroes my sports bet account is got 12.85 left. Need a winner

Quote

07-15-2021 , 05:18 AM

#1593

Dreadnaught

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,875

nice call on QLD Mr Swoopage

complete flyer for AFL tonight

Adam CerraTo Get 20 or More Disposals
Tom StewartTo Get 20 or More Disposals
Lachie SchultzAny Time Goal Scorer
Over (143.5)Total Game Points - Over/Under
@$4.70

Quote

07-15-2021 , 06:20 AM

#1594

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

I ended up on the unders in AFL today but small, glgl guys

I don't have as strong reads as usual on the NRL this week so going to be largely trusting the market, usually there are 3-4 spots I am slam dunk sure are +EV, this week the lines don't look too horrible although that may change as various squads rest/don't rest origin players and so on

Quote

07-16-2021 , 12:21 AM

#1595

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Titans +4.5 into NZ over Fiji union @ -101

Think I like Manly but hoping to see a boostable -11.5 altline or something to cross the 12. No Turbo, but otherwise full strength and the Dragons side has no points in them w no Lomax, Dufty or Ravelawa

Think I lean under in Manly game as well, Manly could score 50 themselves if the Dragons collapse down troops but I don't think the Dragons have many in them and Manly should score less than they would without Turbo too

Quote

07-16-2021 , 03:55 AM

#1596

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Manly/St George u48.5 -111

Think Turbo out + all of St George's attacking power out is enough to back an unders even tho oves year the sinbinfest is over and it's a lot of pts

Think Manly 30-12 or something is the most likely outcome but happy w unders cos market's come in a bit on STG

Quote

07-16-2021 , 04:45 AM

#1597

Dreadnaught

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,875

^hoping the 30 includes these two but probably drawing dead
NRL
Jason Saab Anytime Tryscorer
Brad Parker Anytime Tryscorer
Manly Sea Eagles (-5.5)Pick Your Own Line
@$3.00

AFL
Daniel RichTo Get 20 or More Disposals
Jayden ShortTo Get 20 or More Disposals
Lincoln McCarthyAny Time Goal Scorer
Dustin MartinAny Time Goal Scorer
@$3.50

Quote

07-16-2021 , 06:43 AM

#1598

Dreadnaught

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,875

almost without fail any break update ends in a complete kaibosh but i am glutton....AFL to quarter time

Daniel RichTo Get 20 or More Disposals - 7
Jayden ShortTo Get 20 or More Disposals - 6
Lincoln McCarthyAny Time Goal Scorer - W
Dustin MartinAny Time Goal Scorer -W
@$3.50

Quote

07-16-2021 , 08:48 AM

#1599

Dreadnaught

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,875

NRL= bonus bet back
AFL= +2.5U

Quote

07-16-2021 , 10:27 PM

#1600

LuckyLuke01

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 3,403

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dreadnaught

AFL
Daniel RichTo Get 20 or More Disposals
Jayden ShortTo Get 20 or More Disposals
Lincoln McCarthyAny Time Goal Scorer
Dustin MartinAny Time Goal Scorer
@$3.50

**** i would have been on this too

Quote

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