Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Not a bad day, got tons of Raiders/Storm closing various parlays etc tomorrow so big day for me especially the Raiders game. Let's do it!
Graded a few
106-79-1 +6.03u for season
Pending
Melbourne Storm -23.5 -111
Storm/Wests o8.5 tries -120
Canberra Raiders -1.5 -111
Canberra Raiders ML +127
Canberra Raiders ML -116
Penrith ML into Canberra ML parlay +101
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Couple more Storm bets too
Storm TT o36.5 -125
Storm o6.5 tries -138
I just don't see how they don't put 40+ on the Tigers today
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 3,403
No freo this week but since Robbie grey has 250 and it's the sun's. Took power line - 13.5
Figure they gunna smash
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Market's been steaming Suns in from +17.5 or so, but obv i'd be reluctant to back the Suns too but the market's on their side
I actually only live like 1km from the stadium so might walk over and watch it haven't decided yet
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Total coming up a bit atm and it does feel a bit low to me
Let's go Suns/Port o155.5 -110
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 3,403
Been too busy with the euroes let's get back to afl
Robbie gry got his 250th today for Port. Hammer DHAN on it. I took Port line -13.5 and I got them. In a 4 let multi - 2.5 in first quarter then - 3.5 in the second third and fourth. Got it for @10.5
Lets go boys!!!!
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
AFL Game 1 with bonus jiga
Brandon Ellis To Get 20 or More Disposals
Karl Amon To Get 20 or More Disposals
Lachie Weller To Get 15 or More Disposals
Izak Rankine Any Time Goal Scorer
@$3.25
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Looks like the market coming back to port late and a ton of overs
I'm just on the overs, should be fun to head down to the stadium and cheer for goals
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
AFL Game 1 = 1 crispy creme
NRL Raiders V Dragons with bonus whatsy
Canberra Raiders Head to Head
Jordan Rapana Anytime Tryscorer
Over (40.5)Alternative Total Match Points
@$2.87
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Be careful on the over for sydney games this weekend (incl raiders) cos it's raining/windy thru syd today
Storm Tigers game overs fine cos no rain in SE QLD
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
thanks ...yeah just re checked weather when looking at GWS game and looks pretty rainy..
my 40.5 in Raiders game looking like a mistake but we will roll
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
NRL Storm v Tigers
Josh Addo-Carr Anytime Tryscorer
Brandon Smith Anytime Tryscorer
Pending Over (41.5)Alternative Total Match Points
@$3.00
AFL GWS v CARL
Callan Ward To Get 20 or More Disposals
Toby Greene To Get 15 or More Disposals
Jeremy Finlayson Any Time Goal Scorer
Greater Western Sydney Head to Head
@$2.75
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
AFL today with it
Over (173.5)Total Game Points - Over/Under
Harrison Jonesᅠ(Ess)Any Time Goal Scorer
Dyson Heppell To Get 20 or More Disposals
@$3.00
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Pity about Raiders yesterday but Storm got it done
Nothing I really love on today's slate
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
NRL last game with it
Tom Trbojevic Anytime Tryscorer
Gold Coast Titans (+25.5)
Pick Your Own Line
Over (42.5)Alternative Total Match Points
@$2.80
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
2 x bonus bets back ...no words
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Yeah as a Titans fan that was pretty brutal to watch. So was the Dragons getting mega lucky against the Raiders as every bounce fell their way
110-83-1 +5.76u for season
I remain very committed to my idea that the Dragons and Cowboys are overrated (and I think the Sharks and Knights once Ponga is back are underrated) on paper the Raiders are too but they have some mental issues like the Titans to overcome this year before they can beat decent teams
Origin next week so can't really get early lines etc until we know who is in/out as a result of origin players may get injured etc etc
Obviously NSW should win origin, but want to see final teams etc before deciding on the play.
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Took nsw -9.5 -147 (boosted parlay W various other spots to get the price) for mens origin on the weekend
Decided to buy a couple points
Think NSW blowout is the most likely option and if it's somehow close Qld might win but a blowout to NSW is far more likely given the enormous disparity in backline talent we saw in G1 plus Queensland not having a good hooker for game 2 is big as well
I'd say either back NSW via blowout for those who like NSW or Queensland ml for Qld backers as opposed to taking the points. Feels like NSW just put 40 plus on them again a lot though the packs are similar strength but the NSW backline is so much better it's ridiculous
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 3,403
i'm thinking freo can get it done this week.
so I'm going freo and the over At 151.5 at this stage. freo are 2.20 the pies are playing rubbish and if freo can kick straight should be a winner.
i have to move on sat so i wont be able to watch the game FFS
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
Back on the horsey ..Fading total under steam ....whats the weather looking like up there Mr Swoopage?
AFL tonight with thing
Over (157.5)Total Game Points - Over/Under
Joe Daniher Any Time Goal Scorer
Daniel Rich To Get 20 or More Disposals
@$2.90
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
adding with thing
Daniel McStay Any Time Goal Scorer
Isaac Smith To Get 20 or More Disposals
Patrick Dangerfield Any Time Goal Scorer
@$4.00
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
over gets down to 156.5 and now 162.5....late overs steam
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Sorry just checked in. I'm on the Gold Coast not Brisbane so i'm more useful for games at Cbus in Robina or Metricon in Carrara (Suns, Titans etc).
Market trending QLD/Unders for women's origin today but not gonna post anything for thread but will prob be on a mix of QLD ML boosted/u34.5 *if* the unders steam continues and it looks like rain (but gonna wait til game time cos its weathers based and an overs year even with it being women/70 minute game)