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Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

05-07-2021 , 07:33 AM
well Sivo just got robbed
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-07-2021 , 08:05 AM
NRL game 2 = bonus bet back
next
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-07-2021 , 08:28 AM
srry lucky somehow Edwards stays on 19 possessions for over half of the last qrt

full results
NRL game 1 = +1.87U
NRL game 2 = bonus bet back
AFL = bonus bet back

next
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-07-2021 , 08:36 AM
That went well

Gonna wait for final lineups tomorrow etc for NRL. Rare slate with no favs bigger than -200 tomorrow at this stage.

I quite like both the favs to get it done in super rugby but haven't fired yet
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-07-2021 , 08:57 AM
^feeling you P/L for thread must be back or nearly back positive this season? mine kind of impossible to track accurately as i have so many bonus bets where the bonus bet only pays the profit
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-07-2021 , 08:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dreadnaught
dam that blows ..thats some weird arse legislation ...lets just hit all 3 anyway
it does cos one leg failed and now I lose.

edit: I take that back. i did get a bonus bet. hmmm this changes everything.
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-07-2021 , 08:08 PM
west coast giving up 12.5 against hawks that don't look too bad?
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-07-2021 , 10:03 PM
Cowboys/Broncos o7.5 tries -167

Prefer paying vig for try total over as opposed to the high line but I do think its going to be a points fest, two horrible defenses but can score pts
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-07-2021 , 10:16 PM
GC Titans ML -167 vs Wests

No idea re Weagles/Hawks
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-07-2021 , 10:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dreadnaught
^feeling you P/L for thread must be back or nearly back positive this season? mine kind of impossible to track accurately as i have so many bonus bets where the bonus bet only pays the profit
Ya tough w bonuses

I'll update mine. I'm def up for season still but did take a huge hit the week I went 1-7 (was up 14u til that week I lost about 14u back; but have prob won 5-10u since)

Just been busy lately but am moved into my new place now will update it after this weekend I guess if I had to guess i'd be at +5-10u for season atm idk
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 02:59 AM
GC Titans -172

Got slightly better but that's what's avail now. Think they match up well with Wests only worry is it's away. Should win unless d is awful tho this wk
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 05:07 AM
Broncos TT o20.5 -118

Could get there on a loss and will if they win
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 05:33 AM
Broncos +4.5 -116

Sharp moneys all on the Broncos and I did make this game a flip on talent; guess home field isn't quite worth 4.5 pts

GL broncos/overs
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 05:38 AM
QLD Reds -1 -167 (includes extra time) super rugby final
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 08:05 AM
Sick get there in the reds game in stoppage time
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 08:10 AM
Ok let's total the last few weeks up I guess and see how we went after our double digit unit downswing a few wks back, have won some back but idk how much
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 08:29 AM
Ok was at

41-19 +14.02u for season

and we're chasing last year's 35u or so for the season

Reverse chronological since

Reds -1 +1u
Broncos +4.5 +1u
Bronco o20.5 -1.18u
Titans ML +1u
Titans ML +1u
Cowboys/Broncos over 7.5t -1.67u
Suns -1.25u
Penrith -19.5 +1u
Eels ML +1u
Eels HT/win +1u
Panthers/Sharks o40.5 +1u
Storm lead ht win +1u
Storm/Panthers ML parlay +1u
Storm ML +1u
Storm ML +1u
Warriors o23.5 +1u
Dockers +4.5 -1.1u
Warriors ML +1u
Knights ht/win -1u
Eels -3.5 tries +1u
Penrith -13.5 -1.2u
Lions ML +1u
GWS ML +1u
Storm/Sharks o7.5t +1u
WB/Rich 1h o77.5 -1.12u
Knights +6.5 -1.16u
Souths ML +1u
Roosters/Storm -16.5 parlay +1.75u
Crusaders/Roosters/Storm -16.5 parlay +2.79u
Sharks -17.5 -1.11u
Sharks s1/ht/win -1.43u
Sharks -17.5 -1.1u
Raiders lead ht win -1.61u
Hawthorn ML +1u
Titans +6.5 -1.15u
Raiders -9.5 -1.11u
Raiders ML -3.22u
Roosters ML +1u
Panthers -17.5 +1u
Dragons -5.5 -1.25u
Warrington ML VOID (game drawn)
Warrington -0.5 -1.11u
Titans ML -2.13u
Titans lead ht win -1.11u
Souths TT o5.5t -1.14u
Sou/Wes o7.5t -1.22u
Syd/Mel o39.5 -1.18u
Syd/Mel o6.5t -1.3u
Hig/Blu u54.5 -1.11u
Hig/Blu+Kni -1u
Kni/Rai -1u
Pen -4.5t -1.47u
New +1 +1u
Can ML -1.47u
Pen -26.5 -1u
Bri TT u6.5 -1.14u


41-19 +14.02u

25-30-1 -11.5u since including a 1-15 run in there that became a 3-18 run. That was the bad week lol

On an 18-6 run atm though which is nice to recoup a bit

66-49-1 +2.52u for season now

Pretty lol cos the huge downer is mostly all from the week I went 1-7 on games but had 2-3 bets a game for thread and got rekt but hey we're back in profit at least

Pending

Brisbane Lions ML -384 vs Freo
Brisbane Lions -26.5 -110
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 11:35 AM
Hawthorn +11.5 -111
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 09:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Hawthorn +11.5 -111
why you picking hawks today over west coast? I'm getting 10.5 now and I'm not so sure...

I'd rather take them to win as they are 2.84
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 10:10 PM
Just because that's where all the sharp money is and has been coming all week. I get it, i'm reluctant too after last week kinda but West Coast do not travel well and the Hawks will fill up the MCG etc hopefully they can win or keep it close

If you can get 2.84 that's a steal (market has them closer to 2.45ish fair atm)
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 10:13 PM
lots of overs so far for me today...all with bonus thingy

AFL game 1
Jack Petruccelle Any Time Goal Scorer
Over (170.5)Total Game Points
Jack Redden To Get 20 or More Disposals
@$3.25

AFl game 2
Tom Liberatore To Get 20 or More Disposals
Over (176.5)Total Game Points - Over/Under
Josh Bruce To Score 2 or More Goals
@$3.25

NRL game 1
Jason Saab Anytime Try scorer
Over (38.5)Alternative Total Match Points
New Zealand Warriors (+21.5) Pick Your Own Line
@$2.90
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 10:14 PM
glgl

I'm sure i'll get some NRL too at some stage just doing my analysis still
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 10:19 PM
^i was kinda waiting for it ...and thanks for doing your recap ..good fight back !
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 10:24 PM
not that i can count for anything and couldn't post as was afk but yesterday was a goot day


PORT V ADEL
Karl AmonTo Get 20 or More Disposals Won
Darcy Byrne-JonesTo Get 20 or More Disposals Won
Paul SeedsmanTo Get 20 or More Disposals Won
Todd MarshallAny Time Goal Scorer Won
@$3.20= W

MELB V SYD
Ed LangdonTo Get 20 or More Disposals Won
Christian PetraccaTo Get 25 or More Disposals Won
Jordan DawsonTo Get 20 or More Disposals Won
Tom McDonald Any Time Goal Scorer Won
@$3.10 = W
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote
05-08-2021 , 10:29 PM
Still busy w/ UFC atm

I'm kinda leaning Manly but want to see final squads in 32mins + what market does; they're missing two key forwards but at home and that could be the difference. Manly played well in defeat last week. Warriors def look better with Reece Walsh, if Warriors drop him for Harris-Tevita i'll be firing Manly. Idk we'll see where the sharp money goes and what happens with squads in about half an hour

They're actually somewhat similar teams with an elite fullback, Manly have better halves and Warriors have slightly better forwards today, i'm kind of surprised the total is as high as it is although the Warriors are an overs team 46.5 is basically as high as NRL lines go so def not taking overs at that number. Idk, will decide in a bit
Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL) Quote

      
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