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Old 04-10-2021, 10:06 AM   #1101
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

you still like them at -114?
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Old 04-10-2021, 11:31 AM   #1102
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

It's a market play more than personal capping the melb demons

If you can get Betfair price or better take it otherwise I'd pass

It's come in a lot already so no idea what point it's no longer value really I was already late to it
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Old 04-10-2021, 12:21 PM   #1103
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

got melb at 1.95 so i took.

Last edited by LuckyLuke01; 04-10-2021 at 12:25 PM. Reason: i might be drunk or having a stroke
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Old 04-10-2021, 11:27 PM   #1104
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

GL Dees and Tigers

Someone's trying to get over 300k on Tigers lead ht win in the NRL at 1.45 on betfair and 1.50 is widely available if anyone isn't on them in some capacity yet, the flood of Tigers money just continues. Lead ht win or over 4.5 tries with some extra vig or o28.5 for their team total is fine as well not adding any extras as bets for thread as we already have three of them don't want to get over-exposed to variance but i'm highly confident they crush

I just think they put 30+ on the Cowboys a huge percentage of the time here

Last edited by SwoopAE; 04-10-2021 at 11:35 PM.
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Old 04-11-2021, 12:28 AM   #1105
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

took under the under on the melbs game too since the weather is really bad. 150.5
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Old 04-11-2021, 12:43 AM   #1106
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

I'm not in Melb so can't comment on that beyond what weather radars would say, glgl obv its a low total but if it rains for a large percentage of the game im sure it'd be ok gl
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Old 04-11-2021, 12:53 AM   #1107
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
I'm not in Melb so can't comment on that beyond what weather radars would say, glgl obv its a low total but if it rains for a large percentage of the game im sure it'd be ok gl
that's what i thought. it's windy there. it's the same in Perth so that's why i took the under.
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Old 04-11-2021, 04:14 AM   #1108
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Yuck got rekt on tigers first half fail

Eels lead ht win -161 late game glus
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Old 04-11-2021, 05:48 AM   #1109
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Melb win, all the NRL spots lose. I hated the idea of being on the fraud eels, but Dragons are worse than their record. Giving them credit playing well today

40-15 +20.45u for season
1-4 -6.43u today

41-19 +14.02u for season

Honestly Wests should have always won today just a terrible first half, so embarrassing for them.
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Old 04-12-2021, 01:18 AM   #1110
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

I won everything but the freo under.

Took. Freo under melbs under.

3-1 ain't bad man. Lost on the NHL yesterday though. Thought the pick was good. I guess not
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Old 04-12-2021, 01:19 AM   #1111
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Let's not talk about the masters though. I did get a bonus bet back. Gunna bet some NBA mid week with it I think. Make some long odds see if I hit
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Old 04-12-2021, 05:18 AM   #1112
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

throwing a NBL play out there for tonight ...Melb v Bris ov 169.5
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Old 04-12-2021, 05:44 AM   #1113
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

also a multi:
Over (169.5)Total Points
Melbourne UnitedMatch Betting
Jock LandaleTo Score 15+ Points
@$3.25
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Old 04-12-2021, 07:23 AM   #1114
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

2 wins
+.9 and +2.25= +3.15U
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Old 04-12-2021, 10:36 PM   #1115
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Nice wins
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Old Yesterday, 03:16 AM   #1116
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

nothing great for tonight NBL ...zero chance anyone following but buyer beware if so
taking for .5 unit
Bryce CottonTo Score 20+ Points
Corey WebsterTo Score 15+ Points
John MooneyTo Record 10+ Rebounds
Finn DelanyTo Record 4+ Rebounds
@$3.20
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Old Yesterday, 05:52 AM   #1117
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

mooney injured first 7 minutes .....grading loss
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Old Yesterday, 06:27 AM   #1118
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

btw NBL sucking d again so far this game maybe because its from tassie ..who the fk comes from that backward place (besides me)
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Old Yesterday, 08:42 PM   #1119
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Brisbane Broncos team total u6.5 -114
Penrith Panthers -26.5 +100

I'm not as sure about the -26.5 as Penrith don't bury teams.in attack as much as say the storm and the broncos are at home but yeah they've finally dropped.milford but their halves are still bad and.i have no idea why they dropped tesi niu when he's one.of their better backs or riki to the bench for that matter. Their defense is still a nightmare and I don't think they score over one try anywhere near half the time vs the best defense in the competition

Could end up 24 0 or 52 6 or who knows but obviously the broncos get wrecked again and in general I just like elite teams to cover vs bad teams at the moment

Of the two I think broncos TT u6.5 is better. Why not both though.
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Old Yesterday, 09:56 PM   #1120
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Canberra Raiders ml -147 (fine to like -155 or so imo)
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Old Yesterday, 11:36 PM   #1121
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Newcastle Knights +1 +100 (fine to about pickem prices)

Might as well get them while plus is still available they're headed into favouritism

I don't have a real opinion on this one as I think both teams are currently underrated by the market. Knights get some troops back but still missing Pearce. Sharks have their well liked and successful coach sacked and several senior stars told their contracts not being renewed in a week of off field drama

I guess we're taking the knights to show us their season isn't over despite their injury toll at home. Best and Safiti back are big additions. They're going to struggle at times without Pearce but the sharks are still missing their best halfback too, both sides are
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Old Today, 02:18 AM   #1122
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

taking a flyer for tonight's NBL Carins V Adel

Daniel JohnsonTo Score 20+ Points
Scott MachadoTo Score 15+ Points
Adelaide 36ers to win
.5U at $4.75

Johnson historically plays well in Cairns (avg 25.5 last season) and Adel on current form
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Old Today, 05:29 AM   #1123
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

I'm maxed on 36ers if anyone else cares NBL; Machado a late out, I managed to get on at about evens and some +1.5 and +2.5 etc
Not counting for thread just posting it

@dread make sure they void your parlay and don't grade it as a loss because Machado isn't playing etc books love to misgrade spots like that
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Old Today, 05:35 AM   #1124
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

^ thanks mate ..... Adel gone from $2.11 to $1.81
first bet void and now going :
2 leg @ $2.87 for 1U
Adelaide 36ersMatch Betting
Daniel JohnsonTo Score 20+ Points
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Old Today, 05:36 PM   #1125
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

One more why not

Panthers -4.5 tries -147

Am mildly nervous about the game being at Suncorp making the broncos slightly less likely to fold but the skill gap is immense and the broncos attack will have nothing for them and the broncos do love to collapse defensively when things get tough

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