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Old 03-18-2021, 06:58 AM   #901
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Ouch.

George Jennings must never wear a storm jersey again

8-2 +4.72u
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Old 03-18-2021, 07:11 AM   #902
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

full time report= next
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Old 03-18-2021, 10:49 PM   #903
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Nothing yet for today's games

Going to the titans broncos game today my first live NRL game since the pandemic. Thank you premier palasczuk for keeping covid out of Queensland

I kinda lean knights but markets been leaning warriors. Gonna wait and see what the sharp money does I could be convinced to go warriors due to knights weak back line but their forward pack is much better which will matter more if its wet

Titans game is tough broncos are a rabble but titans were disappointing in R1

I think they win but the idea of paying sub 1.5 or more than a try for the titans against anyone is iffy. Gonna see what the makret does there too. That broncos side is pure garbage with no lodge Haas staggs etc though

They did play better than I thought in 1h last wk but then their usual collapse. As a titans fan I'm not going to bet the broncos myself if it's correct to since I'm going but will inform the thread or if titans the right side I'll get on

Market liking western Bulldogs in the AFL but I missed the price so leaving it atm
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Old 03-18-2021, 11:30 PM   #904
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Western Bulldogs ml -139 (neds Betfair etc) AFL

Will get some NRL and maybe union as well but that's a start
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Old 03-19-2021, 01:34 AM   #905
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Knights warriors o37.5 -111

Weather seems to be clearing. Not particular an overs game but any combo of teams o37.5 is a bet with the new rules with no rain

Will sell if it rains
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Old 03-19-2021, 02:00 AM   #906
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

lets get it
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Old 03-19-2021, 02:34 AM   #907
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Knights game u38.5 -118

In reality I sold my spot off but I'll middle it for thread

Taking knights +100 on 365 with the lead 16 autowin promo
Wanted knights all weak some minor warriors steam but 50k coming Betfair on knights and I just feel they're the right side

Let's go knights. And an exact total of 38 plz for the middle lol
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Old 03-19-2021, 02:36 AM   #908
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Fwiw I do love overs if rain misses or def not if rain hits


I'll re back o37.5 if no rain at kickoff
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Old 03-19-2021, 02:43 AM   #909
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

SB had it at 36.5 when i got home about 3.30pm ....weather must be looking pretty good
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Old 03-19-2021, 02:47 AM   #910
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

So annoyed at myself for selling overs before but whatever

Clearly right side now but can't really add more must be rain favoured to miss

In just gonna trust myself and take the knights here. I'm against overall steam but someone's taken 70k and counting at Betfair at the 2.04 range on knights. Worrying ts money came the other way but I just rate the knights pack on paper and Pearce over nikorima. Kngohts just have to shut down tuivasa sheck to win and their pack is so much better.

Proceed with caution market all over the place on this one

Atm we have the middle on 38 and Knights ml
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Old 03-19-2021, 02:49 AM   #911
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dreadnaught View Post
SB had it at 36.5 when i got home about 3.30pm ....weather must be looking pretty good
There's a huge amount of rain but it looks like it's just gonna miss north of Gosford where the game is on the radar last I checked

Could change obviously
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Old 03-19-2021, 02:51 AM   #912
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

38 works for me !!
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Old 03-19-2021, 02:56 AM   #913
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

If U have face value cashout on the under taking o37.5 is probably better but fine to middle it off too 38 is a super valuable number 7 try 5 conv etc or 6 conv try and a goal

I'm hoping rolling with the knights and trusting my instincts pay off

Yesterday's against overall steam bet on the storm hurt but I did go 6-1 or whatever in week 1 so a 0-1 start not the end of the world in round 2

Honestly just matching up number on number, if RTS doesn't have an absolutely amazing game the knights really should win. Their pack should roll through the warriors pack
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Old 03-19-2021, 03:01 AM   #914
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

gona ride the ov

warriors OB from kick off ....lol .....go nights!
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Old 03-19-2021, 03:52 AM   #915
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

I'm effectively just on the knights

8-6 at half let's get it done

Wandering over to the stadium for titans broncos game to watch it live. Looks like a big turnout for cbus stadium for the local derby judging by the early massive flow of people walking to the stadium
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Old 03-19-2021, 03:55 AM   #916
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

im effectively a stupid head for not taking the 2 point middle on the points ...ah well ...go nights and lets see 4 converted tries in 2nd half!

have fun at the game Mr Swoopage
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Old 03-19-2021, 04:21 AM   #917
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

holy crapballs ...chance of miracle ...except rain now falling 14-12 with 20 minutes left
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Old 03-19-2021, 04:50 AM   #918
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

nice hit mate
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Old 03-19-2021, 04:56 AM   #919
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Just realised I forgot to grade storm into roosters parlay if I had that think I did will look later

Taking titans roosters parlay -119 moneyline glme
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Old 03-19-2021, 06:00 AM   #920
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

TITANS!!! crushing
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Old 03-19-2021, 07:13 AM   #921
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Nice recovery from yesterday's storm disaster. Going to go 3 for 3 and lose the rake on a middle

Onwards to tomorrow
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Old 03-19-2021, 07:47 AM   #922
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

just curious what sort of rake are you getting when you offload those bets? around 9% or better?
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Old 03-19-2021, 10:37 AM   #923
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

B365 has face value cashout if line hasn't moved

Generally speaking the vig is too high to sell elsewhere better off middling etc

Adding three more

Crusaders -1 -115
Penrith game u38.5 -122 (rain)
Souths game u39.5 -110 (I'd love the over here if dry but... Rain)
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Old 03-19-2021, 11:08 AM   #924
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

wait so you can get 4 figure face value cashout at if line didnt move?

Last edited by Dreadnaught; 03-19-2021 at 11:10 AM. Reason: me dummy
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Old 03-19-2021, 07:54 PM   #925
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Yes at 365. Other books like a SB uni etc you pay vig to cash out. 365 lets you cash out at face pre game if the line is at least the same price as when you bet it
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