Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Carlton Blues vs Sydney Swans u120.5 -141 (bought an altline)
Depends if it rains or not, will either be an amazing or slightly bad bet but the forecast thinks rain is a fav
Bought the altline so i'm closer to a flip if it doesn't rain (and should be close to a lock if there is significant rain)
We get NRL squads today too, should be a few spots later on some of the other games
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,875
holy crapballs thought we were dead with over 70 points to the half and ends fulltime 109
nice el captain
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Upswings are fun
173-118-2 +26.64u
Under holds
174-118-2 +27.64u
I like Melbourne slightly less with the Papenhuyzen out news, although getting Vunivalu and Asofa-Solomona back is big. Market still at -18.5 now so the -17.5 we got is fine
Some big outs for Newcastle, but missed the value on Roosters line probably
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Brisbane Lions -17.5 -111 vs GC Suns
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
St Kilda Saints ML -122 vs West Coast
Ended up on the overs for Lions/Suns today but forgot to post it and actually sold off my Lions bet but none of that counts for thread as I forgot to post it
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Gold Coast Titans ML -140 vs Brisbane Broncos
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
South Sydney Rabbitohs -1.5 -263
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
174-118-2 +27.64u
Wins on Lions and Souths, loss on St Kilda
176-119-2 +29.42u
Just the Titans and Storm spreads pending
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Manly Sea Eagles -1.5 -161 vs Canterbury Bulldogs
This one's slightly against steam but even with their depleted backline, Manly's 6-13 are still good enough that they should beat the Bulldogs unless their motivation is entirely gone for the year. Bulldogs have more to play for in trying to avoid finishing last, but they're just a mess, and they don't even have Foran anymore so I have no idea where their points are going to come from
Would back the under too, and market does lean that way, but after the way Manly played last year and neither team having a whole lot to play for with finals out of the picture it could turn into an entertaining mess of a game if neither side shows up defensively
If in doubt though happy to back the mid level team against the worst team in the comp to get the job done so i've done that at a decent altline
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Mitre 10 Cup NZ for tomorrow
Northland ML -111 vs Manawatu
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Geelong Cats ML -132 vs Richmond
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Parramatta Eels +10.5 -120 vs Penrith Panthers
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
176-119-2 +29.42u
Manly win, Geelong and Parramatta lose
177-121-2 +27.90u
Titans, Storm and Northland bets pending
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Canberra Raiders -1.5 -208 vs St George Dragons
Buying an altline again, confident they'll win, might be by 2, might be by 24, I don't mind the -8 spread either (-7.5 is great) but happy to just buy an altline here
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Newcastle Knights TT u12.5 -172
Sydney Roosters -19.5 -110 vs Newcastle Knights
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Carlton Blues -16.5 -111 vs Adelaide
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Sharks/Warriors o7.5 tries +105
Wow that Storm beat was a harsh one after being up 26 had it closing two parlays; would have been my biggest win ever if it won (lost 1.5u as it turned out in reality)
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
177-121-2 +27.90u
Titans, Storm and Northland bets pending
WLW
Carlton Blues -16.5 -111 vs Adelaide
L
Newcastle Knights TT u12.5 -172
Sydney Roosters -19.5 -110 vs Newcastle Knights
WW
Canberra Raiders -1.5 -208 vs St George Dragons
W
Sharks/Warriors o7.5 tries +105
L
182-124-2 +29.68u
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Got North + the spread early but forgot to post it so doesnt count
I'm on Souths -2.5 tries today and some spread too but lines I got are gone
Let's lock in South Sydney Rabbitohs -17.5 +100 for thread purposes that's still available vs Canterbury
FWIW I think Bulldogs TT u0.5 (to score zero) at +1500 is good but not counting long shot stuff for the thread but mentioning it incase anyone wants some long shot props
So we just have Souths -17.5 +100 pending atm
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
182-125-2 +28.68u after Souths lose
Adding
Gold Coast Titans +6.5 +100 vs Manly
Line came back to 5.5 on some books after initially moving out to 7.5, leads me to believe Manly might have a late out or two so i'm getting on now, plus even though Manly may regain their best player in Tom Trbojevic this week, they're pretty badly out of form while the Titans are playing the best they have in years. Manly are better on paper with Tom Trbojevic in, but the rest of their backline is pretty iffy at the moment. They do have a great core of the team with the Trbojevics and Cherry Evans, but their season's been a disaster relative to expectations with all the injuries they've had all year so who knows, I think the Titans can make a game of it
Hawthorn Hawks +6.5 -111 vs Gold Coast Suns
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Melbourne Storm team total o29.5 -114 vs Wests Tigers
Titans up 10 at the half looking decent, big bet for me glus there
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
ACT Brumbies ML -154 super rugby final vs Reds
Cronulla Sharks/Sydney Roosters o7.5 tries -114 NRL
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
182-125-2 +28.68u
Four bets four wins today 4-0 +4u, just Hawthorn spot pending. Titans win outright, Storm put 50 points on the Tigers, Brumbies win the title and Roosters/Sharks goes over easily for a 4/4 day.
Was actually one my best days ever today, up about 7.5u or so, had a few other spots mostly NZ domestic Rugby that I didn't get to post. Let's hope the upswing continues
186-125-2 +32.68u
Are any non aussies/kiwis still betting the Aus/NZ sport now that American sport is back?
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 1,967
Nice run!
I've still been betting AFL/NRL now that I'm hooked but getting absolutely crushed. Down about six figs in the past few weeks (most of it on AFL MLs). Gotta start tailing you more! (the two of yours I managed to catch when you posted both lost, I am super unlucky haha)
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
Yeah my AFL hasn't been as good as my NRL/Union this year but the second half of season better than first half at least
GL today
Just Hawks so far but i'm sure i'll get some other nrl/mitre 10 rugby at some stage today, still busy w/ UFC card