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Old 09-08-2020, 12:42 AM   #601
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Carlton Blues vs Sydney Swans u120.5 -141 (bought an altline)

Depends if it rains or not, will either be an amazing or slightly bad bet but the forecast thinks rain is a fav

Bought the altline so i'm closer to a flip if it doesn't rain (and should be close to a lock if there is significant rain)

We get NRL squads today too, should be a few spots later on some of the other games
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Old 09-08-2020, 08:28 AM   #602
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

holy crapballs thought we were dead with over 70 points to the half and ends fulltime 109
nice el captain
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Old 09-08-2020, 10:41 AM   #603
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Upswings are fun

173-118-2 +26.64u

Under holds

174-118-2 +27.64u

I like Melbourne slightly less with the Papenhuyzen out news, although getting Vunivalu and Asofa-Solomona back is big. Market still at -18.5 now so the -17.5 we got is fine

Some big outs for Newcastle, but missed the value on Roosters line probably
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Old 09-08-2020, 02:08 PM   #604
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Brisbane Lions -17.5 -111 vs GC Suns
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Old 09-09-2020, 05:20 AM   #605
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

St Kilda Saints ML -122 vs West Coast

Ended up on the overs for Lions/Suns today but forgot to post it and actually sold off my Lions bet but none of that counts for thread as I forgot to post it
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Old 09-09-2020, 05:30 AM   #606
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Gold Coast Titans ML -140 vs Brisbane Broncos
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Old 09-10-2020, 05:04 AM   #607
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

South Sydney Rabbitohs -1.5 -263
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Old 09-10-2020, 08:37 AM   #608
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

174-118-2 +27.64u

Wins on Lions and Souths, loss on St Kilda

176-119-2 +29.42u

Just the Titans and Storm spreads pending
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Old 09-11-2020, 02:36 AM   #609
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Manly Sea Eagles -1.5 -161 vs Canterbury Bulldogs

This one's slightly against steam but even with their depleted backline, Manly's 6-13 are still good enough that they should beat the Bulldogs unless their motivation is entirely gone for the year. Bulldogs have more to play for in trying to avoid finishing last, but they're just a mess, and they don't even have Foran anymore so I have no idea where their points are going to come from

Would back the under too, and market does lean that way, but after the way Manly played last year and neither team having a whole lot to play for with finals out of the picture it could turn into an entertaining mess of a game if neither side shows up defensively

If in doubt though happy to back the mid level team against the worst team in the comp to get the job done so i've done that at a decent altline
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Old 09-11-2020, 03:27 AM   #610
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Mitre 10 Cup NZ for tomorrow

Northland ML -111 vs Manawatu
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Old 09-11-2020, 03:50 AM   #611
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Geelong Cats ML -132 vs Richmond
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Old 09-11-2020, 04:51 AM   #612
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Parramatta Eels +10.5 -120 vs Penrith Panthers
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Old 09-11-2020, 08:09 AM   #613
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

176-119-2 +29.42u

Manly win, Geelong and Parramatta lose

177-121-2 +27.90u

Titans, Storm and Northland bets pending
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Old 09-11-2020, 09:13 PM   #614
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Canberra Raiders -1.5 -208 vs St George Dragons

Buying an altline again, confident they'll win, might be by 2, might be by 24, I don't mind the -8 spread either (-7.5 is great) but happy to just buy an altline here
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Old 09-12-2020, 03:32 AM   #615
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Newcastle Knights TT u12.5 -172
Sydney Roosters -19.5 -110 vs Newcastle Knights
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Old 09-12-2020, 07:16 PM   #616
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Carlton Blues -16.5 -111 vs Adelaide
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Old 09-13-2020, 04:30 AM   #617
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Sharks/Warriors o7.5 tries +105

Wow that Storm beat was a harsh one after being up 26 had it closing two parlays; would have been my biggest win ever if it won (lost 1.5u as it turned out in reality)
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Old 09-13-2020, 06:08 AM   #618
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

177-121-2 +27.90u

Titans, Storm and Northland bets pending

WLW

Carlton Blues -16.5 -111 vs Adelaide
L

Newcastle Knights TT u12.5 -172
Sydney Roosters -19.5 -110 vs Newcastle Knights

WW

Canberra Raiders -1.5 -208 vs St George Dragons
W

Sharks/Warriors o7.5 tries +105

L


182-124-2 +29.68u
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Old 09-17-2020, 05:50 AM   #619
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Got North + the spread early but forgot to post it so doesnt count

I'm on Souths -2.5 tries today and some spread too but lines I got are gone

Let's lock in South Sydney Rabbitohs -17.5 +100 for thread purposes that's still available vs Canterbury

FWIW I think Bulldogs TT u0.5 (to score zero) at +1500 is good but not counting long shot stuff for the thread but mentioning it incase anyone wants some long shot props

So we just have Souths -17.5 +100 pending atm
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Old 09-17-2020, 07:31 PM   #620
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

182-125-2 +28.68u after Souths lose

Adding

Gold Coast Titans +6.5 +100 vs Manly

Line came back to 5.5 on some books after initially moving out to 7.5, leads me to believe Manly might have a late out or two so i'm getting on now, plus even though Manly may regain their best player in Tom Trbojevic this week, they're pretty badly out of form while the Titans are playing the best they have in years. Manly are better on paper with Tom Trbojevic in, but the rest of their backline is pretty iffy at the moment. They do have a great core of the team with the Trbojevics and Cherry Evans, but their season's been a disaster relative to expectations with all the injuries they've had all year so who knows, I think the Titans can make a game of it

Hawthorn Hawks +6.5 -111 vs Gold Coast Suns
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Old 09-19-2020, 01:58 AM   #621
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Melbourne Storm team total o29.5 -114 vs Wests Tigers

Titans up 10 at the half looking decent, big bet for me glus there
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Old 09-19-2020, 05:03 AM   #622
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

ACT Brumbies ML -154 super rugby final vs Reds

Cronulla Sharks/Sydney Roosters o7.5 tries -114 NRL
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Old 09-19-2020, 09:17 AM   #623
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

182-125-2 +28.68u

Four bets four wins today 4-0 +4u, just Hawthorn spot pending. Titans win outright, Storm put 50 points on the Tigers, Brumbies win the title and Roosters/Sharks goes over easily for a 4/4 day.

Was actually one my best days ever today, up about 7.5u or so, had a few other spots mostly NZ domestic Rugby that I didn't get to post. Let's hope the upswing continues

186-125-2 +32.68u

Are any non aussies/kiwis still betting the Aus/NZ sport now that American sport is back?
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Old 09-19-2020, 05:42 PM   #624
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Nice run!

I've still been betting AFL/NRL now that I'm hooked but getting absolutely crushed. Down about six figs in the past few weeks (most of it on AFL MLs). Gotta start tailing you more! (the two of yours I managed to catch when you posted both lost, I am super unlucky haha)
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Old 09-19-2020, 09:34 PM   #625
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Yeah my AFL hasn't been as good as my NRL/Union this year but the second half of season better than first half at least

GL today

Just Hawks so far but i'm sure i'll get some other nrl/mitre 10 rugby at some stage today, still busy w/ UFC card
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