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Old 08-10-2020, 05:23 AM   #501
Dreadnaught
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

will contribute a little again...
AFL game 2 tonight ...Hawks V Freo
think this one will be all about possessions and barring injury these guys should get enough of the odd shaped pigskin
Isaac Smith To Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 18.9)
James WorpelTo Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 17.8)
Connor BlakelyTo Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 23.0)
Andrew BrayshawTo Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 18.3)
Pays $2.90
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Old 08-10-2020, 05:26 AM   #502
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

glgl Dreadnaught

Adding o100.5 -114 for Hawthorn Hawks/Fremantle Dockers

My Perth guys think weather is clearing enough. Hope they're right

Think my bet moved the last 100.5 maybe but 101.5 fine if not prob pass after that

Market seems to lean Hawthorn but i'm happy with my overs
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Old 08-10-2020, 05:34 AM   #503
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

man I have gone back and forth 10 times on betting that over...sold now ..im in
the BOM radar doesn't look too bad
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Old 08-10-2020, 06:14 AM   #504
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

swoop i'm following too just usually don't get em in time or by the time i see it line is way off what you got

if it's not a pain, and you would like a line at worse odds then maybe putting that in brackets would be awesome like Sharks -9.5 (-11.5)

obviously not going to complain about solid picks from a sharp and just tailing for hamburger stakes for fun

genuinely enjoying the thread and I'm sure there are dozens more who are reading but not posting
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Old 08-10-2020, 07:49 AM   #505
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

i am jinx ...smith injured
to the half
Isaac Smith To Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 18.9) 3 so far and plse grab cup of concrete and go beserk
James WorpelTo Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 17.8) 11 so far
Connor BlakelyTo Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 23.0) 7 so far
Andrew BrayshawTo Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 18.3) W 15 so far

over also gona need a lot of help here
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Old 08-10-2020, 09:23 AM   #506
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Yeah I mean i'm often moving lines or have the same info as sharp guys who are so they often dont last that long

Will put a the worst number number i'm happy to take at -111/1.90 I guess if I remember on some future ones

This over steamed back to 103.5 to 105.5 at various books by game times due to no rain then it was one of the worst games of all time just no urgency or competence by Hawthorn and Freo seemed content to stall and backpass to a win

125-8-1 +16.34u

Added

Gold Coast Suns ML -122 (fine to -130)

Last edited by SwoopAE; 08-10-2020 at 09:29 AM.
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Old 08-10-2020, 09:58 AM   #507
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

One more early one

Gold Coast Titans +10.5 +100 (fine to -110)
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Old 08-11-2020, 04:14 AM   #508
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Collingwood Magpies -19.5 -110 for tonights game

Let's get another Adelaide fold from our wooden spooners please. Pies haven't been great to me recently but right side imo

Canberra Raiders -15.5 -110 for the NRL in a few days (Pangai will be out/Broncos are a basket case other than Fifita, Haas and Staggs atm)

I hate the idea of betting on the Raiders minus heaps given their form but it's a point better than some sharp books and available still so can't say no to it when the Broncos are just so terrible atm

They're so screwed next year without Fifita and probably without Pangai unless they can recruit some good backs/halves
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Old 08-11-2020, 07:28 AM   #509
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

125-88-1 +16.34u

Collingwood cover somehow despite one of the worst first halves ever big 2h comeback to win by 24

126-88-1 +17.34u

Suns, Titans and Raiders bets pending
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Old 08-11-2020, 09:52 PM   #510
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

is anyone here from Queensland?

Do you guys know if it is possible to see the TAB in venue markets from home?
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Old 08-11-2020, 09:55 PM   #511
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
Yeah I mean i'm often moving lines or have the same info as sharp guys who are so they often dont last that long

Will put a the worst number number i'm happy to take at -111/1.90 I guess if I remember on some future ones

This over steamed back to 103.5 to 105.5 at various books by game times due to no rain then it was one of the worst games of all time just no urgency or competence by Hawthorn and Freo seemed content to stall and backpass to a win

125-8-1 +16.34u

Added

Gold Coast Suns ML -122 (fine to -130)

That was a great game, I got under 94.5 at $2.80 when most bookies had the line at 100.5. Wasn't so lucky with a very similar bet on the blues game.
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Old 08-11-2020, 11:18 PM   #512
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Quote:
Originally Posted by akkopower1 View Post
is anyone here from Queensland?

Do you guys know if it is possible to see the TAB in venue markets from home?
I'm from QLD

Not sure offhand, they're different to the online markets now right which is a major inconvenience - I haven't looked into it at all. I do have a TAB venue like 100m from my house though, but haven't ever used it, I might during cricket season or something maybe if they're taking big action @ coin toss time or whatever assuming we don't go full Covid meltdown like lolUSA#1 did in QLD which is possible if morons keep breaching border controls.

I do have a tab runner for Tabtouch in WA for cloned beteasy lines, but don't really use the QLD/NSW tab i've found it's tough to get decent action on there unless it's mainstream soccer or whatever and in general not worth the hassle

Hope some of you got that Suns line early it's like -150 now

Last edited by SwoopAE; 08-11-2020 at 11:23 PM.
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Old Yesterday, 01:07 AM   #513
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
I'm from QLD

Not sure offhand, they're different to the online markets now right which is a major inconvenience - I haven't looked into it at all. I do have a TAB venue like 100m from my house though, but haven't ever used it, I might during cricket season or something maybe if they're taking big action @ coin toss time or whatever assuming we don't go full Covid meltdown like lolUSA#1 did in QLD which is possible if morons keep breaching border controls.

I do have a tab runner for Tabtouch in WA for cloned beteasy lines, but don't really use the QLD/NSW tab i've found it's tough to get decent action on there unless it's mainstream soccer or whatever and in general not worth the hassle

Hope some of you got that Suns line early it's like -150 now

Its great that they are different from the online markets, allows another set of different lines to pounce on. And given that they are in pubs and only see money from punters inside the pub, them move much more slowly. Sharp money can no longer sit at home looking at their lines.......... which is a bit of a bummer as I need to drive down, take a look, then not bet 75% of the time.

Tab in venue was really useful throughout the big bash. lots of middling opportunities when they offer first innings totals markets between toss and game start.
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Old Yesterday, 03:30 AM   #514
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Yeah I figure during cricket season i'll use them a bit at toss time probably

For average NRL/AFL the odds they specifically have the best price at any given time make it too much hassle probably
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Old Yesterday, 03:44 AM   #515
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Please whatever sentient being exists allow Big Bash / cricket season to happen this summer so we can add to this thread
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Old Yesterday, 03:52 AM   #516
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

AFL

Brandon Ellis To Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 18.7)
Izak Rankine Any Time Goal Scorer (avg 1.6)
Ben Ainsworth Any Time Goal Scorer (avg 1.0)
Adam Saad To Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 19.6)
Pays $3.12
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Old Yesterday, 04:16 AM   #517
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dreadnaught View Post
Please whatever sentient being exists allow Big Bash / cricket season to happen this summer so we can add to this thread
It'll be fine if things stay as they are but every idiot who crosses a state border puts the rest of us at risk, still a decent chance of an outbreak but I hope not

They should be fine to operate out of three hubs - Brisbane/GC, Adelaide and Perth as things stand now. I'd say if you have three teams operating out of Perth, two out of Adelaide and three out of Southeast QLD it should work nicely with one stadium in Adelaide and two each in Perth and Bris/GC - teams can play a few games in their hub, then tour the other two hubs and then return home etc

I'd go with Sixers and Thunder to Perth, Hurricanes to Adelaide, Renegades to Brisbane and Stars to Gold Coast or something like that (or you can bring the Sydney teams to QLD and the Melb teams to Perth, but given Stars have a link with the Gold Coast playing games there each season would make sense)

I guess you could split them too so Sydney and Melbourne expats from each region have a side to cheer for like do Sixers to QLD and Thunder to WA, Stars to SE QLD and Renegades to WA or whatever too

That's assuming it's the status quo anyway, as long as we have at least one Covid-free state to use as a hub the season should be able to go ahead especially if it's QLD or Perth as both regions have two international quality cricket stadiums available
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Old Yesterday, 06:17 AM   #518
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

^like it Swoopage

to the half
Brandon Ellis To Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 18.7) 8 so far
Izak Rankine Any Time Goal Scorer (avg 1.6) W
Ben Ainsworth Any Time Goal Scorer (avg 1.0) W
Adam Saad To Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 19.6) 9 so far
Pays $3.12
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Old Yesterday, 06:26 AM   #519
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

will post these past post for fun and wouldn't count if i could get of my rear and keep a simple wins/ loss record

Jordan RidleyTo Get 15 or More Disposals 12 so far
Lachie WellerTo Get 15 or More Disposals 11 so far
Anthony McDonald-TipungwutiAny Time Goal Scorer
Ben KingAny Time Goal Scorer W
pays $3.20

and all 8 of the above paying $10.80
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Old Yesterday, 07:34 AM   #520
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

holy crapballs what a game!

Brandon Ellis To Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 18.7) W
Izak Rankine Any Time Goal Scorer (avg 1.6) W
Ben Ainsworth Any Time Goal Scorer (avg 1.0) W
Adam Saad To Get 15 or More Disposals (avg 19.6) W
Pays $3.12 W
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Old Yesterday, 07:53 AM   #521
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

126-88-1 +17.34u

Draw for suns H2h so we get to 127-88-2

One book I bet it at voided, other paid dead heat rules and I forget which of the two's price I cited in thread so i'll split the difference and head heat half and void half of it and we'll round that to -0.06u

126-88-2 +17.28u

Super frustrating Rankine didn't make the distance there, the Suns really should have won that game (and St Kilda last week for that matter)
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Old Yesterday, 05:50 PM   #522
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Melbourne Storm ml +180 and +6 +100

Actually got +8.5 a few days ago but forgot to post it added on more today. I think it's closer to a coinflip game despite Smith and Munster out roosters are missing 6 starters too etc
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Old Yesterday, 10:40 PM   #523
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Swans v GWS,

full time total score 110-117 inclusive, $10.18 or + 918

(Some bookies are paying around $5.50 for the 111-120, add 20% vig and add 25% because my range is 8 and not 10 and $8.25 would be fair value)

Last edited by akkopower1; Yesterday at 10:58 PM.
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Old Yesterday, 10:59 PM   #524
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Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Seems decent theres been some decent unders movement last few hrs glgl
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