Why is it that your -10 unit run since going tout is variance, but when you were up 10 units (and not beating the closing line) that was not variance?

I was actually not paying attention...were all your winners crushing by 3 or 4 runs, or were some of those close as well?

They understand.... I've communicated with pretty much all of them on a one to one basis.... The season is long, and most of the people who are subscribed know my track record and have been following me for 5+ years. And as you know, as bad as my record is, I've lost most of those units on two bad days (1-3 and 1-5 days)....

We can debate this til the sun comes up... but some people CAN cap a game, win and not beat the closing line. And for the contest... all lines were from Pinnacle, and I would have to email wiper at the same time for all my plays everyday so it wasn't difficult for him. Many of my bets are made the night before and I'm usually ahead of the line moving. They weren't even close to the lines I was actually getting.... on both sides of the spectrum. I'm glad the contest is over so I can stop worrying about Pinnacles lines.

And yes... many of my winners were EASY winners.... Not just 3-4 runs, but I had numerous games where I hit the over by the 3rd-4th inning, and unders with the final score of 2-1 and 1-0. I got lucky and unlucky during my initial streak.... In the last week, its just been pure unlucky. There will be other weeks where I get lucky numerous times, and not get unlucky. I've been doing this long enough to know that the swings in sports betting can be crazy..... I've had 3 10K +/- streaks in the last 2 weeks...

I was posting the picks on Sharky's before we started charging for them.... which is why the record is included.

Debate what? That your winners are skill and the close losses are variance?

Obv I'm not like you b/c when I load up on a game and the line moves against me beyond something negligible, I have a huge cluster in my head of WTF - I've yet to master your disposition of nonchalance

I'm not gonna debate anything with you.... You lack reading comprehension.

"I got lucky and unlucky during my initial streak..." as I said two posts before you...

wnba starts tonight lets do this all over sparks andf that under

.

best bay to breakers costume?

Telling najdorf off for lacking reading comprehension may actually be the stupidest thing you've said in this forum. A number of other doozies are way up there too of course. But that one is certainly in the running.

Also, why were you going out of your way to contact wiper and do the pinny lines, etc when you had no stake in the bet at all? Nothing was in it for you. Genuinely curious why you even cared since you weren't into enough to take the bet yourself.

care to explain?

Cause they asked me to?

LOL Bob. The guy obviously had intentions of going tout. Thus he benefits massively from the publicity of demonstrating a winning record.

Full disclosure, I have never forgiven Bob for hurling insults at me causing others to infer that I am a dog**** sports bettor. He probably doesn't even remember but I never forget these things.

Just like I don't forget that you asked for me to be banned for posting in a bookie related thread

You're welcome Brian.

I notice you mentioned including writeups in all 3 of your tweets today

Lol +1 that's what I was saying as well

sparks score 0 points in first 6 minutes. wnbaaaaaa

Tom, thought we were cool. No idea you have been carrying some weird grudge. Thanks for letting me (Ummm, and everyone else) know. Good post!

variance only occurs when you lose not when you win

amiright

3 point dog easily wins, under still covers after moving 9 points

get this free wnba money before they take it away like total bases

precisely!

hey guys, i thought of creating a new thread to publicly track my bets
i have a sophisticated model, would post mainly pinnacle and asian openers on soccer totals, which i beat by a good margin
can provide all kinds of stats/graphs later on, make a solid thread
sb regs support this idea?

no

just post them in the soccer thread like the other 6/7 people that spam the thread with their picks.