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2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread 2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

11-16-2024 , 08:21 PM
house - did you ever confirm whether 2% net profit gets siphoned off in poly markets? multiple rando sites say it does, but don't see anything like that in poly documentation
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11-17-2024 , 11:55 AM
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/11/17/m...e-trump-harrisSuch a huge miss and reputation ruin. She probably amplify a lot of biases and money lost. And I bet a lot of people think she try to help democrats. This is why people say fake news on the right.
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11-17-2024 , 01:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonJuan
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/11/17/m...e-trump-harrisSuch a huge miss and reputation ruin. She probably amplify a lot of biases and money lost. And I bet a lot of people think she try to help democrats. This is why people say fake news on the right.
What makes you think she wasn't helping democrats?
2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread Quote
11-17-2024 , 02:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonJuan
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/11/17/m...e-trump-harrisSuch a huge miss and reputation ruin. She probably amplify a lot of biases and money lost. And I bet a lot of people think she try to help democrats. This is why people say fake news on the right.
what?
2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread Quote
11-17-2024 , 02:29 PM
She ruin her reputation by trying to help democrats is what I am saying. And what I meant by fake news is that it not that it fake but it biases against the right. It made me lose a bit of money by not trusting my own instinct and maxing more on Trump but it causes a lot more pain on people betting against Trump.
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11-18-2024 , 01:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by smartDFS
decided to go long 0.5-1.5% PV (currently trading at a few pennies), neutral 1.5-2%, short the rest
closed this out. wild ride.

Spoiler:
2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread Quote
11-18-2024 , 10:25 PM
How is it remotely helpful to any political party to incorrectly believe they are on course to win a state lol

Accurate polling data is helpful because a political party will know whether their strategy is working or not and they can accurately assign resources to close winnable states or races etc

Inaccurate polling data doesn't help anyone unless I guess it could help a party if they trick their opponent into wasting resources on an unwinnable race or a race that they have locked up but they need to know it's inaccurate data for that to be the case
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