You post proves how little you know about betting politics.

13+ months out and you are talking about polling

and Who tf is tim sullivan and why should anyone care?

From that dreaded Washington Post-ABC News poll from last week that had Trump +10 over a hypothetical matchup with Biden. I get that it's an outlier poll but I think there's something to this...

Trump was a solid -20 points on his approval when he actually was President. Nostalgia is a crazy thing.

No idea who he is, but his mother seems to be more popular than Biden. Anyone want to give me odds on his mother?

More concerning polling data for Democrats from this week’s Morning Consult poll.





Pretty incredible governance polling considering the Republicans are about to shut down the government.

RFK waffling into clown territory, making it hard to support this guy with his many random hot takes. Starting to feel that way towards Vivek too.

All aboard the Trump train ladies and gentleman.

This isn't directly related to the presidential election but it is tangential.

Do you guys realize we are in the midst of a sovereign debt crisis? And the leg that will be kicked out from all of us is USD purchasing power. Now that I have provided you with this information, how much gold and silver are you going to buy? It is the best life raft imo.

Donald Trump
At the end of fiscal year 2020, the debt was $26.9 trillion. Trump added $6.7 trillion to the debt between fiscal year 2017 and fiscal year 2020, a 33.1% increase, largely due to the effects of the coronavirus pandemic and 2020 recession.

In his FY 2021 budget, Trump's budget included a $966 billion deficit.14 However, the national debt actually grew by $1.5 trillion between October 1, 2020, and October 1, 2021.

FY 2021: $1.5 trillion
FY 2020: $4.2 trillion
FY 2019: $1.2 trillion
FY 2018: $1.3 trillion


Not to mention he has 91 felony counts against him
Is a confirmed sexual assulter but more likely a rapist
30k+ CONFIRMED LIES
Threatened our top miltary General with death

I could go on and on


But all aboard!

I actually agree that Trump was part of the problem on this, but every president for more than 2 decades has been. So it's kind of a wash.

Agreed

What about the rest of my post?



Not to mention he has 91 felony counts against him
Is a confirmed sexual assulter but more likely a rapist
30k+ CONFIRMED LIES
Threatened our top miltary General with death

I could go on and on

You do realize that part of Trump's appeal is that he triggers people like you, right?

You mean red blooded Americans like me? Yeah i get that
Patriot my **** dik
You wanna start living like the Russian Citizens live? Go ahead and vote trump then

You clowns crying about the "state of the nation" with your 80k pick up truck parked in your 2 car attached garage

Imagine wanting to be ruled by a dictator..... straight up idiots blinded by your hate of others

Reread this post as calmy and objectively as you can, perhaps over the course of a few days. Does it come off as a rational post or does it seem overly emotional? Are you going to take any corrective action?

Always comical when the whining libs reach at Trump’s national deficit #s due heavily to Covid, when their beloved Obama doubled the entire national debt.

Being convicted of sexual assault by NYC jurors lol gtfo. This dude isn’t getting a fair trial anywhere. Convenient that this woman came out of nowhere once he was the runaway nominee and all these indictments that they had 2 years to pursue all came about at the same time. Pathetic. Trump 2024! Biden and the dems are an utter disaster.

Let's pretend that your GOD isn't a rapist or a pedo(he is likely both but def a sexual assaulter/rapist ) but lets assume he isnt,those cases are the least of his **** worries


This fat lazy undisciplined dumb fat orange scumbag has 91 counts against him in 4 different cases...the DOJ has mountains of evidence in all 4 cases. All of the witnesses are Trumps people not Democrats. They have video evidence and kinds of other evidence that is known to the public. God only knows how much evidence there is that the DOJ has that the public doesn't know about.
The traitor mfer had nuclear documents and war plan Documents at his ****ing house and then he lied about having them , he then had his staff hide the boxes and move them to conceal his crime.
Read something besides right wing media because its rotting all of your brains out

He has civil court tomorrow to decide how to break up his business empire and to decide how much he owes the state of New York for his many years of fraud. The Minimum he will pay is 250m but I bet its gonna be more than that
Bye Bye trump tower -)

Obama had to fix the 2000-2008 disaster that Bush left him . But who cares about that, at least Bush isn't a fascist nutjob far right wing trash can.
I'm not A Lib im a moderate. The far left and esp the far right disgust me.


You're a betting man go get this free money
The Books LOVE giving away free money

10/8/23
12:00 PM
Business Records New York State Trial
Yes-165
No+125
Applies to the first New York court case of 2023 for charges relating to campaign finance/business records; verdict must be guilty of one felony or more; applies whether trial is cancelled or not.


Will Donald Trump Be Found Guilty Of One Or More Of The 2020 Election Result Federal Charges?
10/8/23
12:00 PM
Election Result Federal Trial
Yes-225
No+165

Will Donald Trump Be Found Guilty Of One Or More Of The Classified Documents Federal Charges?
10/8/23
12:00 PM
Classified Documents Federal Trial
Yes-275
No+200
Applies to the 2023 charges relating to classified documents and obstruction of justice; verdict must be guilty of one charge or more; applies whether trial is cancelled or not.


Will Donald Trump Be Found Guilty Of One Or More Of The 2020 Presidential Election Georgia Result Charges?
10/8/23
4:00 PM
Georgia Result State Trial
Yes-275
No+200
Applies to the 2023 state charges relating to 2020 Georgia state election result actions; verdict must be guilty of one charge or more; applies whether trial is cancelled or not.

Yeah a real moderate here folks. That is the exact thing every dipshit lib that regrets their Biden vote tries to go with.

Every single crime was brought about once he was the forgone Rep nominee. All by liberal DA’s up for re-election by the time his trial actually will even have a jury decided on. None of us care about this **** that they’re trying to get technicalities on. His polls vs Biden increase with every one of these tries. Keep it up! The common man knows their life is worse under Biden than Trump and there’s no blaming or hiding behind Covid this time for the dems. That’s why they’re scrambling left and right to prevent him from running.

Lol the excuses of Obama doubling the national debt remain hilarious from the dems when they try and use Covid against Trump. Obama was an awful president. Get over it that the first black president sucked, and fantasizes about having sex with dudes.

How do you explain the odds set by the oddsmakers? The books just a bunch of suckersn I guess. Chumps



His cases were not "all brought up" by Liberal DA's. What world do you live in dude... Do you not realize that what you said is not true and extremely easy to prove to not be true ?

Surely you’re capable of reading vs just posting orange man bad nonsense? I’ve already told you good luck to Trump getting a fair trial in liberal cities like these. Lol NYC, DC, Fulton County, and his FL charge. Again none of us care. Biden 100x the crook and he’s the worst president in US history and an utter national embarrassment.

Lol yeah not brought up by liberal DA’s when that’s exactly what they ran on and promised. A DA decides what’s going to trial and what isn’t. What world do you live in?

No point in going back n forth with someone who doesn't live in reality

Just know you support being ruled vs being represented


Good talking to you. Best of luck

All I read of you is the usual orange man bad nonsense of the dems that still believe he only defeated Hillary bc of Russia. What a special breed of people in pure derangement.

Ruled as in the dems get to force and pick who will be the Rep nominee? Nah no thanks

How do we think an RFK Jr. Independent run would impact a potential Trump vs. Biden matchup? People suggesting it hurts Trump more than Biden. IMO it's a non-factor as I think RFK Jr. ends up pulling mostly from people who were going to vote 3rd party anyway (Green Party and Libertarian Party voters). I'll be curious to see some polling.

I think it hurts Trump if RFK runs as an independent. I'd also be curious to see more data-driven analysis, but my impression from the broad range of media I view is that it's almost exclusively the right wing celebrating him and boosting his signal. A lot of whom I'm calling right wing here would object to being pigeonholed as such (Rogan, Musk, etc.), but it's people who (and whose audiences) would overwhelmingly vote for Trump over Biden or a third party ("Go ahead—throw your vote away!"). Maybe there's a big contingent of RFK fans somewhere on the left—people who would vote Biden over Trump—but I haven't seen them anywhere.

Right, however, my thinking is that the RFK Jr. support coming from the right-wing is twofold. 1) They agree with him on two big issues (opposition to the Ukraine war and vaccine hesitancy) 2) Suporting RFK Jr. also hurts Biden.

If it starts looking like RFK Jr. is hurting Trump, (2) disappears. Will those right-wingers stick with him then? I think not. Anyone who likes RFK Jr. and leans right is basically a right-win populist in which case they are probably just going to vote Trump.

That's why I think I think his right-wing support will vaporize and he'll be a non-factor in the race. His support will come from people who will never vote for Trump or Biden anyway. Just my theory.

I would be surprised if he makes much of an impact on either side. His policies are kind of all over the place and he just says so many things that will negatively impact his campaign. Including (but not limited to) his provocations of the Chosen People.

I think you're giving the masses too much credit for being rational and voting tactically. I think there's a significant number of people who lean right, who are former Tea Partiers or Libertarians, who in a Biden–Trump election figure Trump is a better option, but would vote for RFK in a Biden–RFK–Trump election because they want to vote for the person who really speaks for them. Many, maybe most, RFK supporters would be rational and vote Trump, but the reason why any third-party candidate ever gets votes is because people aren't rational. And non-rational voting is common enough to change the outcome of an election—Nader had no chance and any sensible person in Florida in 2000 knew that, but people voted for him anyway because they felt they were voting their conscience or whatever, and that was the difference in sending Bush to the White House over Gore. I think it's totally possible that a similar dynamic plays out with RFK this election if he runs as an independent, especially given how many states are toss-ups where just a 1% could prove pivotal.

Well, the Republicans didn't shut down the government at least not yet. But they are literally unable to govern over their own House of Representatives so their ability to demonstrate governance over the country at large not looking so great.