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2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread 2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

07-13-2023 , 05:09 AM
Ladies and gentleman, that time of the year is almost upon us. Republican debates start next month and I am looking forward to seeing all my friends again. It almost feels like school is back in session.

Some interesting candidates this year and wondering if Domahhhh is going to risk his entire net worth on a coinflip of a single election (getting -180 of course).

We didn't think it could get any worse but here we are. I wish the BOL to all competitors in this arena.
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07-15-2023 , 05:51 PM
Tough scene
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07-15-2023 , 11:54 PM
here for the lols
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07-16-2023 , 03:53 PM
It's probably too early for this. I do expect this thread to blow up around the primaries though. Looking forward to this one, I made so much money on the 2020 bets simply by betting that Biden or the Democrats would win certain states AFTER they election ended.
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07-16-2023 , 04:11 PM
First Republican debate next month. We'll be continuing to pick up steam for a while.
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07-19-2023 , 08:24 AM
Great to see you here again, CodythePATRIOT.

What do you think about RFK Jr's campaign?
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07-19-2023 , 04:13 PM
He's actually been my first donation of the political season. But as I've learned a bit more about him I am on the fence. Current rank for me in terms of who I like (subject to change):

1.Vivek Ramaswamy
2.Trump
3.RFK
4.Desantis

Nice to see you too HITS, hoping to dm you one day to make big money moves.
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07-19-2023 , 05:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HolidayInTheSun
Great to see you here again, CodythePATRIOT.

What do you think about RFK Jr's campaign?
Man I thought this forum was dead and here comes HITS. Bring back Iowa! and Poogs so they can e-battle like the good old days.
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07-19-2023 , 07:42 PM
Nobody loves Blacks more than Republicans. I am glad that we are finally starting to spread the message more effectively.
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08-11-2023 , 10:50 PM
I think Biden drops out. RFK Jr to win the democratic nomination.
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08-18-2023 , 10:25 AM
CodythePATRIOT, how many times have you listened to Rich Men North Of Richmond?

Why even follow the news when we can just follow Domahhhh's trades in real time
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08-21-2023 , 04:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomG
CodythePATRIOT, how many times have you listened to Rich Men North Of Richmond?
A lot tbh.
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08-22-2023 , 12:09 AM
Ramaswamy will move up in the polls big time after the debate.
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08-22-2023 , 12:54 PM
What are we looking for during the debate?

Any good Bingo cards to follow along with?

TomG Debate Prop: Will Awkward Ron use the phrase "Fake Vivek" or "Vivek the Fake" during the debate? YES +130 NO -160
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08-22-2023 , 01:09 PM
TomG Pre-Debate Candidate Thoughts

DeSantis = Socially awkward Trump
Vivek Ramaswamy = Trump for people with a college degree
Tim Scott = Black George W. Bush
Nikki Haley = Republican Hillary Clinton
Chris Christie = Democrat's favorite Republican
Mike Pence = Appeals to precisely nobody
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08-22-2023 , 09:18 PM
I think there's a huge leak in politics in that there aren't way more charismatic "puppet" candidates. To illustrate: I think Vivek has basically no chance because he's an Indian manlet. And the majority of voters are so superficial that there's no getting past that. If voters blindly selected a candidate based only off policies or responses to prompts, maybe he would win; instead they look at him and don't find him appealing. Same with Christie—do you want a human beanbag as your country's leader? It's cruel and highlights a key shortcoming of democracy, but it's true. So why don't we see more attractive, charismatic candidates who go through intensive training that instills the puppet masters' policies and coaches them on how to respond in debates and interviews? If Vivek really wanted his policies in place, he would get a George Clooney avatar of himself to run. I don't know if it's vanity or delusion or incompetence or what that explains why we see so many DOA candidates and so few love-at-first-sight ones, but I think it's a big leak for those actually seeking power.
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08-23-2023 , 04:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by raiders72001
Ramaswamy will move up in the polls big time after the debate.
I already have Ramaswamy 1:100 tickets so let's go.
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08-23-2023 , 04:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by somigosaden
I think there's a huge leak in politics in that there aren't way more charismatic "puppet" candidates. To illustrate: I think Vivek has basically no chance because he's an Indian manlet. And the majority of voters are so superficial that there's no getting past that. If voters blindly selected a candidate based only off policies or responses to prompts, maybe he would win; instead they look at him and don't find him appealing. Same with Christie—do you want a human beanbag as your country's leader? It's cruel and highlights a key shortcoming of democracy, but it's true. So why don't we see more attractive, charismatic candidates who go through intensive training that instills the puppet masters' policies and coaches them on how to respond in debates and interviews? If Vivek really wanted his policies in place, he would get a George Clooney avatar of himself to run. I don't know if it's vanity or delusion or incompetence or what that explains why we see so many DOA candidates and so few love-at-first-sight ones, but I think it's a big leak for those actually seeking power.

It's just that most people are NPCs and don't have much time to think about politics. Vivek is pretty alpha though, I am not sure it's going to be the problem you think it is. Though Trump will likely win the nom.
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08-24-2023 , 01:13 AM
I would not rule out Ramaswamy getting the nom. His platform is so simple/honest but so far out there it would be a big upset, but the other candidates have close to zero chance in the general and voters hate voting for a loser.
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08-24-2023 , 10:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CodythePATRIOT
I already have Ramaswamy 1:100 tickets so let's go.
Great bet! Ramaswamy had a good debate for his first ever debate. He'll do much better the next one.
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08-24-2023 , 10:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CodythePATRIOT
It's just that most people are NPCs and don't have much time to think about politics. Vivek is pretty alpha though, I am not sure it's going to be the problem you think it is. Though Trump will likely win the nom.
The one thing, and I'd hate to see it, that can stop Trump is these insane indictments or misuse of the 14th amendment.
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09-08-2023 , 01:54 PM
This Nate Cohn article about new polling among minority voters has gotten a lot of attention lately.

Consistent Signs of Erosion in Black and Hispanic Support for Biden

Republicans clearly have a big weakness on the abortion issue. However, if the GOP nominates a candidate who is more neutral on abortion at least on the national level, then I think Democrats are in trouble.
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09-24-2023 , 11:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by raiders72001
The one thing, and I'd hate to see it, that can stop Trump is these insane indictments or misuse of the 14th amendment.
lol @ insane indictmens

The reason trump has all the "insane indictments" is because he broke the law MANY MANY times and he will be convicted

lol @ people thinking he is going to win a general election

Biden is gonna smoke him again

EZPZ
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09-25-2023 , 03:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by barney big nuts
lol @ insane indictmens

The reason trump has all the "insane indictments" is because he broke the law MANY MANY times and he will be convicted

lol @ people thinking he is going to win a general election

Biden is gonna smoke him again

EZPZ


Since everyone likes to take poll results so seriously it appears Biden will not be smoking anyone
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09-25-2023 , 10:26 AM
I'd like to book Newsom to win.
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