Quote:
Originally Posted by smartDFS
going big on NO Biden presidency 2024 @ 0.60 on predictit. sportsbooks and polymarket are taking 0.70-75. significant upside if he has to drop out for health reasons, even if not his approval rating is 15pts below when he took office with a slim electoral margin. even if things somehow change for the Biden better, odds are liable to be around 50/50 in October and can cash out then. see it as decent 65% upside with limited 20% downside come October. think I still have Trump 50/50 if he's in jail.
Imagine even getting 2-1 when fair is 1-1 and not hitting it
Recs will begin to see this ROI soon
FWIW i took polymarket and betfair I just don't trust the former with payouts fully so couldn't HAM the 3-1 being offered, if it were on betfair I'd jam it
