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2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread 2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Today , 01:09 AM
We live in a post fact world, there is a legitimate chance that Trump sold out American spies to Putin and at the very least he's committed a ton of tries but none of it matters anymore with the level of partisanship. And yeah, Biden dying at 1.5% seems within the range of reasonable, but it's worth noting he has access to far better healthcare than the average American and while he's very old, he's in very good health for his age - Trump's 4 years younger, but is overweight, they probably have about an equal probability of dying but it's obviously low and the market is idiotic to think there's anything close to a double digit chance that either candidate drops out voluntarily.

There is no chance Biden drops out barring a terminal diagnosis he can't keep secret, which is unlikely. None.

His son liking drugs and guns and hookers etc is a political liability but there is absolutely nothing there in terms of corruption that Jared didn't do with the Saudis peddling influence etc there is absolutely no chance Joe drops out because of anything Hunter did or didn't do. Hunter isn't the one on the ballot.

Honestly, it's just this cycle's conspiracy theory for cookers, the idiots who think they're 'in the know' because of their telegram Russian propaganda channel they get their news from. Last time it was 'Hillary is secretly gonna replace Biden as the nominee/Biden will resign and be replaced by Hillary/Kamala/etc after the election'

They will have a new conspiracy every election and they will always be wrong.

Michelle Obama was never going to run without a full cycle to prepare, she probably won't ever run but if she does it will be from the start of the political cycle and with the full backing of both Obama and Biden's political machines. Even if Biden dies she's not going to be parachuted in as the nominee and anyone who thinks she is, lol you're an idiot.
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