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Old 04-19-2021, 07:26 PM   #101
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

wait what, i thought poogs whole deal was numbers are for nerds just bet stale lines?

how did i wind up with that notion?
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Old 04-20-2021, 06:33 PM   #102
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Dbacks, yanks, twins

4-10
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Old 04-21-2021, 12:50 PM   #103
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Philly, Pittsburgh, Baltimore

5-11-1
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Old 04-21-2021, 04:51 PM   #104
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

My bet on ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (vs CINCINNATI REDS) from last night was graded a loss.

The game was 5-4 ARIZONA in the top of the 8th when it was suspended due to rain.

Anyone else with this issue? Their rules simply state that games are official after 5 innings.

Thanks
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Old 04-21-2021, 06:15 PM   #105
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

I bet local book, it’s no win no loss to me.

Yanks, tigers, dbacks, jays
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Old 04-21-2021, 07:20 PM   #106
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Adding cubs
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Old 04-21-2021, 10:23 PM   #107
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by BadBeatBodog View Post
Going to pause the strikeouts experiment. After some thought and a little research I don't think pitcher strikeouts are Poisson because they are not rare enough of an event. Not sure what would be appropriate or what others use to do pitcher strikeouts when they have projections.
I can run pitcher strikeouts through several different distributions besides Poisson (Binomial, Negative Binomial, etc.) to see which ones fit best if you're interested in a quantitative answer to your question. I just need the data, as I don't model that prop myself. Do you have a CSV that is already formatted to show the game-by-game Ks thrown per starting pitcher over a few seasons that you can post?
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Old 04-22-2021, 12:50 PM   #108
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Detroit

11-13-1
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Old 04-22-2021, 06:51 PM   #109
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Mets, stros
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Old 04-23-2021, 07:01 PM   #110
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Tigers, Indians, Jays, Dbacks, Bosox

12-15-1
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Old 04-23-2021, 08:00 PM   #111
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Adding reds, angels, Phillies and marlins
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Old 04-24-2021, 12:56 PM   #112
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Mariners, pirates

14-22-1
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Old 04-24-2021, 03:54 PM   #113
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Adding Mets -1.5, Angels
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Old 04-24-2021, 05:54 PM   #114
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Yanks
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Old 04-24-2021, 07:03 PM   #115
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Rangers
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Old 04-24-2021, 08:00 PM   #116
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Why do you think posting just a team without even a line is worthwhile to anyone? Nobody cares about your zero-value picks anyway. And bumping this thread daily with worthless noise just means no one is going to want to ever open it.
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Old 04-24-2021, 10:32 PM   #117
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

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Why do you think posting just a team without even a line is worthwhile to anyone? Nobody cares about your zero-value picks anyway. And bumping this thread daily with worthless noise just means no one is going to want to ever open it.
You got nothing else better to do? Ppl who bet mlb already know the odds so why bother doing all the extra work for nothing? You donít like this thread pls leave, thank you!
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Old 04-25-2021, 01:45 AM   #118
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

The thread may be worth checking if someone has something insightful to contribute, or wants to publicly test a model that has some promise of winning. But diluting the thread by posting **** like "Yankees" for the whole post is just noise. And I and many others who might otherwise check this thread and interact with non-droolers just ignore it whenever it's bumped because it's become nothing but your zero-value garbage. But yeah, you're right--everyone already knows the odds; that's why you never see sharp posters in this forum include the line they got in their post. People like Sigs and Tom usually just post stuff like "Red Sox" as their entire post. This board would be a lot better with more square droolers who post picks with no lines and no insight.
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Old 04-25-2021, 07:49 AM   #119
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

imagine complaining about quality control and inconvenience of vulturing free picks people share online
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Old 04-25-2021, 08:23 AM   #120
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by somigosaden View Post
The thread may be worth checking if someone has something insightful to contribute, or wants to publicly test a model that has some promise of winning. But diluting the thread by posting **** like "Yankees" for the whole post is just noise. And I and many others who might otherwise check this thread and interact with non-droolers just ignore it whenever it's bumped because it's become nothing but your zero-value garbage. But yeah, you're right--everyone already knows the odds; that's why you never see sharp posters in this forum include the line they got in their post. People like Sigs and Tom usually just post stuff like "Red Sox" as their entire post. This board would be a lot better with more square droolers who post picks with no lines and no insight.
Youíre so contradicting to yourself I donít even know where to start. You want me to post the odds when you know the odds. You want ppl to share idea and models when you immediately attacked mrbaseball in his thread. The only thing between you and me is according to you I shouldnít post picks the way the sharps post their picks. Let me give you a guideline so you donít get lost.

1. Iím not here to please you. There is absolutely no need to post the odds in mlb itís moneyline the team wins or loses and thatís it, unlike football and basketball where the odds are very different.
2. If you want some insight, try to ask with the magic word first.

Have a nice day!
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Old 04-25-2021, 12:54 PM   #121
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Mets, Mets -1.5, Rays, Braves game 1

17-25-1
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Old 04-25-2021, 02:09 PM   #122
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Rangers
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Old 04-25-2021, 02:57 PM   #123
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Phillies
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Old 04-25-2021, 02:58 PM   #124
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Done for today got a couple NBA plays if someone interested, ask!
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Old 04-25-2021, 07:00 PM   #125
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Re: 2021 2+2 General MLB Picks and Discussion

Pads

Bonus bucks -6.5 Cavs +7
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