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2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

08-30-2020 , 11:27 AM
I'm out of my MI and MN positions, up a few hundred. One factor I hadn't considered but probably contributed was that the Trump nomination contracts expired, which freed up a bunch of cash, mostly in pro-Trump accounts, which got rolled over into the general election markets.
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08-30-2020 , 07:07 PM
WE FAVORITES NOW LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL THIS NEVER GETS OLD
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08-30-2020 , 07:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by steelers21
WE FAVORITES NOW LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL THIS NEVER GETS OLD
what is this based on? trump fanatics betting a few hundreds dollars on him.

has the 538 polling average budged an iota?....... the RCP "you'd get a C for it in grade 8" polling average has tightened. but when trafalgar and rasmussen are major recent contributors, what do you expect?

LA Times/USC poll that was an outlier in 2016 and had Trump winning has BIDEN AHEAD BY 15 POINTS NOW. a poll that got things right in 2016...... of course, the trumpturds know think it's a stupid poll after thinking it was amazing on and after 2016

anyway, if you are betting real money on this, get back on biden
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08-30-2020 , 07:38 PM
here's a question and it doesn't relate to trump's surge recently in low volume betting markets.

i see polls that have biden +6, +9, +13 (whatever number you want) but the people they poll think trump will win. say 75% of the people.

what is the significance of this?..... gives trump momentum......... or does it motivate anti-trumps to vote and encourage others to get out.

in fact, i'd say a factor in 2016 election is some people in michigan/wisconsin thought they were doing a "protest vote" for trump i.e. they weren't voting for him to win. i don't think that was the case in florida/penn which were supposed to be the key states.
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08-30-2020 , 08:03 PM
Trump is a fave on Pinny. It’s good enough for me for now considering all the clowns who said he was drawing dead a month ago. lol at the post-DNC surge that never happened. BLM is poison, I said it from the start. Also I don’t see a reason why people will run to the polls to vote *for* Biden, all the Bernie bros that are burning the country down won’t show up just as they didn’t in ‘16
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08-30-2020 , 08:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by steelers21
Trump is a fave on Pinny. It’s good enough for me for now considering all the clowns who said he was drawing dead a month ago. lol at the post-DNC surge that never happened. BLM is poison, I said it from the start.
"drawing dead".... " a favorite on pinny"............ u realize we are 2+ months away from the election?

if you've made money on this, i respect that...... if it's pure fan-boyism, who cares?
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08-30-2020 , 08:14 PM
I told you a week ago, if you wanted to get down a pro-Trump bet, then was the time. Well, if you want to get down a pro-Biden bet, now's the time.
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08-30-2020 , 08:23 PM
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08-30-2020 , 08:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vinivici9586

Yeah I think my fanboying is warranted for today.
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08-30-2020 , 10:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
looks like we getting rich off trump just like in 2016
sharpest man in the world has spoken and ppl are still over here arguing for biden.
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08-30-2020 , 11:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rivercitybirdie
anyway, if you are betting real money on this, get back on biden
"Misery loves company"

This person already knows they are going to be miserable when trump wins and they lose money. They may now know it consciously, but deep down, subconsciously, they already know. They will likely cry.

They want others to be miserable with them.
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08-31-2020 , 01:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zplusz
"Misery loves company"

This person already knows they are going to be miserable when trump wins and they lose money. They may now know it consciously, but deep down, subconsciously, they already know. They will likely cry.

They want others to be miserable with them.
yes.... i've noticed that "the trump turds" are the happiest people in the world....... sexually fantasizing about DJT and his small hands must be rewarding

i'm saying biden is gonna bounce big here as this trump bounce was based on near nothing (rcp poll average tightened because highly questionable trafalgar/rasmussen polls came out recently).. and watch, biden has bounced and it will continue.

honestly, the most accurate major poll from 2016 has biden +15. BIDEN
+15...... but the "turds" are sure trump will win and now think this poll is bogus. people who can barely read are sure the economist/NYT/"all kinds of senior republicans" have it completely wrong. trump followers judge everyone based on their relationship to trump. that's a cult. ..... YOU COULDN'T MAKE THIS SHIIIT UP.

i posted a biden bounce and i was right (i did say it yesterday, a day early). i said get on trump a few weeks ago, i was right..... this market goes up and down on alot of air. but trump is headed for a crushing defeat ex-voter suppression. there is little doubt.
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08-31-2020 , 09:28 AM
Trump got bump a small bump after the convention, as is always the case with every candidate, and the markets adjusted to this early, anticipating this.
Like, this is perfectly normal and happens every time. I don't understand what everyone is ranting and raving about. Don't forget your medication kids.
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08-31-2020 , 10:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Trump got bump a small bump after the convention, as is always the case with every candidate, and the markets adjusted to this early, anticipating this.
Like, this is perfectly normal and happens every time. I don't understand what everyone is ranting and raving about. Don't forget your medication kids.
So the people who locked in Biden at -150+ are idiots, right?
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08-31-2020 , 10:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rivercitybirdie
what is this based on? trump fanatics betting a few hundreds dollars on him.
Limits 10k at pinny 30k at bm and betfair has 100m matched already but I'm sure the line moves a lot with $200
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08-31-2020 , 10:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa!
So the people who locked in Biden at -150+ are idiots, right?
Sorry Iowa!, I don't understand what you mean. I guess I'm not that smart.
I think Biden will narrowly win, and I'm putting my money on Biden. So what did I say that would ridicule anyone backing Biden?
In simpler terms, what I was saying was, Trump 's odds improved because of the convention and it doesn't really change anything.
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08-31-2020 , 12:00 PM
Biden -114 Trump -102 at Pinnacle

I bet Biden earlier at -120 at a different bookie.

It shouldn't surprise me, but it does, how much racism, bigotry, sexism and overall hatred there is in the USA.
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08-31-2020 , 12:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Sorry Iowa!, I don't understand what you mean. I guess I'm not that smart.
I think Biden will narrowly win, and I'm putting my money on Biden. So what did I say that would ridicule anyone backing Biden?
In simpler terms, what I was saying was, Trump 's odds improved because of the convention and it doesn't really change anything.

The bump is because of leftists burning the country down with no end in sight to said burning. People don’t care about the conventions as much as you think, although I’m sure you thought that the RNC was a joke that was more of a Trump family reunion than anything else
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08-31-2020 , 12:27 PM
These problems exist, unfortunately, in just about every country that has mixed populations. This includes countries like Mexico and Brazil, where the small European decendent minorities basically have all the power. It's sort of a misconception we have in this country that all Mexicans are the same.
It's the nature of human existence I guess to be in constant conflict.
All we can do is place our bets and hope for the best!
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08-31-2020 , 12:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by steelers21
The bump is because of leftists burning the country down with no end in sight to said burning. People don’t care about the conventions as much as you think, although I’m sure you thought that the RNC was a joke that was more of a Trump family reunion than anything else
You might have a point. I personally don't see the protests in the same light, although I am starting to think that the protests in Oregon have been dragging on for too long. But I think Trump is partly to blame. Another example of how bad a president he is. He sends in Federal forces, inflaming the situation, and then he withdraws without having achieved anything. But maybe that was his goal, to keep the fires burning because he knows it stirs up people like you in his favor.

Edit: some pundits argue that the racial tensions are hurting Trump. Majority of Americans think he's been handling the situation badly, according to polls.
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08-31-2020 , 12:36 PM
Of course I thought the RNC convention was a joke.
I'm not a tool.
When Trump goes up there and says his administration is following the science and out of the thousands of people in attendance, only about 3 a wearing masks, the BS of this president is front and center for all but the sheep to see.
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08-31-2020 , 01:17 PM
The science does not say that Corona is instant death like you couch fainters seem to believe. Also much of the value in social distancing and mask wearing for the left is rooted in virtue signalling. For example, they don’t seem to care much about social distancing and masks when protesting for a just cause. Trump is simply playing the same game that the left is, as silly as it is, he just happens to be on the other team.
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08-31-2020 , 01:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by steelers21
The science does not say that Corona is instant death like you couch fainters seem to believe. Also much of the value in social distancing and mask wearing for the left is rooted in virtue signalling. For example, they don’t seem to care much about social distancing and masks when protesting for a just cause. Trump is simply playing the same game that the left is, as silly as it is, he just happens to be on the other team.
Jesus man. After 180 thousand deaths the science says that masks help prevent the spread. But what does Trump do, he praises a so called doctor who claims that aliens have sex with humans in our dreams.
Trump also claims to be the best president ever for black people.
Come on dude, you have to be mentally ill to take this guy seriously. Just admit you like him for his taxes or something, but don't try to defend the indefensible.
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08-31-2020 , 01:40 PM
If it makes anyone feel better, I don't think Clinton would have been a great president either.
Better than Trump, but not great.
I think we'll be stuck with mediocrity and demagogues in the white house for the foreseeable future. We all better get used to it and just live our lives. Because just as they say, the show must go on.
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08-31-2020 , 03:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Jesus man. After 180 thousand deaths the science says that masks help prevent the spread. But what does Trump do, he praises a so called doctor who claims that aliens have sex with humans in our dreams.
Trump also claims to be the best president ever for black people.
Come on dude, you have to be mentally ill to take this guy seriously. Just admit you like him for his taxes or something, but don't try to defend the indefensible.

I don’t take him that seriously, I just hate the left with a fiery passion and he’s one of the few “Republicans” who doesn’t apologize for anything and calls out the bat**** left (which is getting to be more mainstream) for their nonsense so he remains an incredibly vital figure in American politics today. If the establishment actually listened to voters there would be absolutely no need for Trump. Oh and he’s running against a dinosaur who won’t come out of his basement during this pandemic and who won’t be around for two terms because he’ll croak. Honestly, it’s REALLY easy to be a Trump supporter. Almost too easy.

Last edited by steelers21; 08-31-2020 at 03:45 PM.
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