Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
You have to put his approval numbers next to Biden's in each state as some voters will either approve of both ot disapprove of both and split between them it's the regular voters that approve of one candidate and disapprove of the other whose votes are locked in
Trump did better than Hillary among voters who disliked both candidates but currently Biden is ahead in the group that dislikes both which is something trump would need to change to have a chance of winning reelection
But after thinking about it for a while, how can Biden have an approval rating?
He's not in office. There's nothing to approve?
Be it as it may. I think we should only look at it state by state, as far as who's going to win the electoral college, and thus the presidency. Trump is such a polarizing figure, and so historically unpopular in Blue states, it's possible for him to win the election with a historically low approval rating.
The national approval rating only comes into play when determining who will win the popular vote.
It's sort of like trying to figure out if a soccer team will score over or under.
You look at their average, being 2.6, and you put all your money on them.
And then you lose and wonder what went wrong. Well, they have a 2.6 average, because they scored 20 goals against the worst team. But they were shut out by all the other teams. Averages can sometimes be deceiving.
In other words, Trumps overall national approval rating is very low, because it's so low in Blue states.