Biden trading at 2c and Warren at 4c in NH seems crazy. I understand why Bernie and Pete are most likely but I have a hard time counting out the old man and Warren was leading in the polls there just a few months ago.

Wow, how convincing. A few cherry picked studies that show that rent control may not always make things worse, an idea to have the government force people to rent their property instead of making them condos followed by ramblings about "neighborhood stability" and "income diversity", all from something calling itself "a leading voice of the American left, offering socialist perspectives on politics."

people are running up bernies price to win iowa on betfair

insider info? hedging because they're scared?

bernie also went up a bunch on predictit

Hello, moron, you seem to struggle with reading comprehension. They admit that most economists think it's a bad idea, but make a compelling argument that like they were on the idea of substantial increases to the minimum wage 20 years ago -- they're wrong.

I pray this media conditioned narrative continues. I might wind up catching Bernie at like 2/1. This similar herd mentality led to nice value on Trump in 2016 and Bernie post heart attack.

Just yesterday a Colombian coke dealer told me he hates Trump lol

This ain't looking too good for Trump

Like, I had the same reading of that obviously biased article that you did. I was even going to make a similar post, but figured it was veering too much into a policy discussion rather than election betting.

I think the more Bernie voices actual policies, the lower his chances of winning are. He just can't seem to help championing socialist policies, which is a credit to his integrity, but a liability for his campaign. I think like twice as many people in the US are homeowners as opposed to renters, so the national rent control idea scares way more voters who are worried about the effect on their home prices than it brings in younger people who are renting and like Bernie anyway. As someone else in here said, it seems like he's getting more extreme lately preaching to his choir, costing himself more moderate Democrats. If I were his campaign manager, I'd tell him to stick to the platitudes bashing billionaires, blaming the one-percent, etc., and deflecting questions about policy by saying that the current system is rigged and broken.

How does Bernie have integrity?

He can't even pay his own workers his idea of the "minimum wage" yet thinks he can make the whole country do it lol

He pays less tax % wise than the people he lashes out against but somehow wants people to give him their hard earned money lol

We live in this weird world where we are judged on the words we say rather than the actions we take. Who gives a **** if he has stayed consistent for his whole life if he can't act out the principles he champions?

How do you discuss these ideas every single day for your whole life but somehow your view points never change?

i still don't understand how this guy is loved so much the guy is a ***** clown

Those are the exact thoughts I'd expect a guy who writes like that to have.

dam you got me lol

I'm stupid and you're intelligent

now what?

Why are you guys so much smarter than everyone else but struggle to land a job that pays well enough to support your bad loans?

life of a berniebro

Hey Ivr, here is a pro trader that talks about the logic of shorting those small bets:

there is no discussion to be had lol

any "pro" that does this is ******ed plain and simple

Economists are still right about the negative unintended consequences of MW and rental control. Lol at that article.

Yeah, we should total do rent control so we can have more income diversity in a neighborhood. What a silly argument - why even include that in the article?

Diversity of people? Fine. Diversity of incomes? Not my style.

Another ****ing genius! Most economists used to agree with you on the minimum wage - 20 ****ing years ago. They argue that rent control will undergo a similar evolution.

I'd prefer to live a area with some economic diversity. Give me more struggling artists - regular, working people - fewer tech bros.

Thanks for the Podcast. Adding it to my rotation. I will also tout Star-Spangled Gamblers as another decent poli-betting pod.

Link to your theory that economists now like the idea of raising the MW?

I agree with you that economic diversity is good. I just don’t see it as a goal the govt should have.

It's boring but a good listen. It's more on the mechanics of trading the numbers than discussing the actual political events. I'm surprised I've never even heard of Luckbox Magazine before now. Any thoughts on the publication as a whole?

lol im rereading this article and ive laughed out loud twice already. This is your best argument?? This literally looks like satire. I cant believe you guys are real sometimes

It's a new publication but pretty much right up our alley. I liked that podcast and I am already arguing with that guy on Twitter.

What predictit lines do we like? I have:

trump to be president at .54
Bernie won’t be president at .71
Bernie wins NH primary at .69
Exactly 2 impeachment articles against trump by 3/31 at .95
Trump will complete his first term at .91
No recession during trumps first term at .78
Republicans to win Texas at .80

Hey- I'm just adding this here as many people may be interested.

My website https://www.pokershares.com/market/politics/ has begun offering political markets. Our goal is to be far better than anyone else in the industry through lower vig and larger limits.

Relative to predictit we have much larger limits, no 10% fee on profits, no 5% withdrawal fee.

Relative to Pinnacle we have 50% lower vig.

Some Betfair exchange markets may have lower vig than us however they have extremely low liquidity.

Are there any other places where people make wagers on politics that they think we should be looking at to outprice?