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2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

11-12-2020 , 12:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Have you even read the article?
It has nothing to do with illegal immigration.
I don't know why you're so angry?
because you keep rambling on about immigration and deportation then randomly post that gibberish

why even act stupid for
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11-12-2020 , 12:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PTjvs
The primary reason "illegal immigration" happens is because we as a country have strayed from our roots of welcoming poor people to easily immigrate legally.

Jesus, an actual child could have figured that out.
a country without borders

got it lol
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11-12-2020 , 04:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lvr
a country without borders

got it lol
Every man should have the right to earn and put food on his ****ing table.

Put yourself in their shoes for a minute. You're family is poor and starving what are you gonna do?
Say **** it that's illegal to cross this imaginary border and watch your kids starve? Or go bust your ass and make some god dam money so you can feed your family. I know what I would do. How about you?

It's not like these guys come here and take some nice soft office job from Americans, they come here and bust ass doing the things that spoiled Americans won't do.

Do I think people should come legally? Yeah of course but I also don't blame any man for doing what he's gotta do to take care of his family and i'm certainly not going to villainize them for it.
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11-12-2020 , 08:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by barney big nuts
Every man should have the right to earn and put food on his ****ing table.

Put yourself in their shoes for a minute. You're family is poor and starving what are you gonna do?
Say **** it that's illegal to cross this imaginary border and watch your kids starve? Or go bust your ass and make some god dam money so you can feed your family. I know what I would do. How about you?

It's not like these guys come here and take some nice soft office job from Americans, they come here and bust ass doing the things that spoiled Americans won't do.

Do I think people should come legally? Yeah of course but I also don't blame any man for doing what he's gotta do to take care of his family and i'm certainly not going to villainize them for it.
You can't just go around breaking laws mate, regardless of your personal situation.
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11-12-2020 , 08:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by westswindon
You can't just go around breaking laws mate, regardless of your personal situation.
Still stuck on Kohlberg's stage 4 of moral reasoning, eh? Most people develop out of that by their mid teens.
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11-12-2020 , 08:47 AM
Also, this thread is full of people betting illegally offshore. Which is a misdemeanor, just like illegally immigrating to the US.
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11-12-2020 , 09:43 AM
Ivr once posted that "gambling is immoral" , here on a gambling ( sports betting ) forum. So you can't take anything he says seriously guys. He has no credibility.
I offered to be on friendly terms with him but whatever, lol.
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11-12-2020 , 10:28 AM
The amount of money being incinerated on PredictIt right now is absolutely ****ing crazy. HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS of dollars, for real.

ALREADY CALLED states with no chance of flipping trading at 10%+ chance of Trump winning them.








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They also think a Senate race will flip! He lost by almost 100k votes! Lol.



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The DEMAND is so huge to light money on fire that PredictIt created two new markets. These markets have already seen Trump bettors betting a combined $400,000 on Trump winning any of the states.




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They're even betting on a RECOUNT in Arizona despite a statewide recount being practically impossible.



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They're also betting tons of money on a TRUMP BLOWOUT win for ????? reasons.





BTW if you add up the bids on the electoral vote market, they have Trump at a 27% chance of winning the Electoral College. Lmao

And this is just a sampling of markets. There is insanity all over the website. Site has basically turned into a vacuum cleaner of collecting money from Trumpers EVEN AFTER HE LOST.

Absolutely amazing time. Gotta be just about unprecedented in betting.
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11-12-2020 , 10:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
The amount of money being incinerated on PredictIt right now is absolutely ****ing crazy. HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS of dollars, for real.


The DEMAND is so huge to light money on fire that PredictIt created two new markets. These markets have already seen Trump bettors betting a combined $400,000 on Trump winning any of the states.

And this is just a sampling of markets. There is insanity all over the website. Site has basically turned into a vacuum cleaner of collecting money from Trumpers EVEN AFTER HE LOST.

Absolutely amazing time. Gotta be just about unprecedented in betting.
It's all anecdotal evidence for sure but based on how this thread has gone over the previous 200 or so pages, the way the odds on traditional sportsbooks were so close on Biden/Trump and the fact that PredictIt and Betfair still have lines you can take that should be impossible, I don't see how this was anything other than a Mayweather-MacGregor situation for sports bettors.

Unfortunately, I'm not a big enough of a player to be able to break the geolock on PredictIt or Betfair but I'm glad I was able to get a piece out of this election. It's been fascinating to follow.
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11-12-2020 , 11:13 AM
Quote:
And this is just a sampling of markets. There is insanity all over the website. Site has basically turned into a vacuum cleaner of collecting money from Trumpers EVEN AFTER HE LOST.

Absolutely amazing time. Gotta be just about unprecedented in betting.
So we can assume u went allin again if thats possible?
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11-12-2020 , 11:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
When every election result will be contested, and because of it, every bet will take weeks or even months to pay out? When the losing side will always cry rigged when they lose? Now even the Republican Senate candidate from Michigan, who lost, wants a recount.
If this is going to be the new normal going forward, you can count me out.
You are wrong to assume that every (or even a significant amount) of elections will be contested in the future. Hopefully Trump continues to go hard to the paint about this election so Dems finally have to admit there are illegal votes in every election so we can have some kind of verification system is place so we know who is actually voting.
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11-12-2020 , 11:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
You are wrong to assume that every (or even a significant amount) of elections will be contested in the future. Hopefully Trump continues to go hard to the paint about this election so Dems finally have to admit there are illegal votes in every election so we can have some kind of verification system is place so we know who is actually voting.
I hope you're right Mickey. I'll be more than happy to be wrong on this one.
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11-12-2020 , 11:42 AM
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...er/ar-BB1aW9g9

Looks like Arizona is finally done.
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11-12-2020 , 01:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
You are wrong to assume that every (or even a significant amount) of elections will be contested in the future. Hopefully Trump continues to go hard to the paint about this election so Dems finally have to admit there are illegal votes in every election so we can have some kind of verification system is place so we know who is actually voting.
You’re making a claim that there are illegal votes and I’m not sure what you’re basing it on.

I pulled this information from an expert

Multiple efforts have been made to look into this issue and here are the results:

-1 study found fraud in .00000013% of ballots cast
-another study found 31 cases of fraud out of a billion ballots from 2000-2014
-Trump established a commission to look into fraud which found nothing and shut down...
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11-12-2020 , 02:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mgv1208
You’re making a claim that there are illegal votes and I’m not sure what you’re basing it on.

I pulled this information from an expert

Multiple efforts have been made to look into this issue and here are the results:

-1 study found fraud in .00000013% of ballots cast
-another study found 31 cases of fraud out of a billion ballots from 2000-2014
-Trump established a commission to look into fraud which found nothing and shut down...
Eyewitness affidavit under penalty of perjury (which I doubt your "study" was scrutinized under):
Quote:
"On November 4, 2020, I was instructed to improperly pre-date the absentee ballots receive date that were not in the QVF as if they had been received on or before November 3, 2020," she testified. "I was told to alter the information in the QVF to falsely show that the absentee ballots had been received in time to be valid. I estimate that this was done to thousands of ballots."
There are several others. Doing an historical study and actually capturing eyewitness testimony are two entirely different things, would you not agree?
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11-12-2020 , 02:16 PM
AZ "dump" grand total of 124 votes, Trump 111, Biden 13.
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11-12-2020 , 02:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PokerHero77
Eyewitness affidavit under penalty of perjury (which I doubt your "study" was scrutinized under):


There are several others. Doing an historical study and actually capturing eyewitness testimony are two entirely different things, would you not agree?
Wanna post a link to this please? Is this the guy that was paid $130K to say there was fraud and then recanted his testimony
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11-12-2020 , 03:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mgv1208
You’re making a claim that there are illegal votes and I’m not sure what you’re basing it on.

I pulled this information from an expert

Multiple efforts have been made to look into this issue and here are the results:

-1 study found fraud in .00000013% of ballots cast
-another study found 31 cases of fraud out of a billion ballots from 2000-2014
-Trump established a commission to look into fraud which found nothing and shut down...
You just questioned why I would say there are illegal votes and in the same post you gave examples of illegal votes. There is also the GA official who held a press conference that said if we look there is no doubt there were illegal votes in GA.
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11-12-2020 , 04:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
You just questioned why I would say there are illegal votes and in the same post you gave examples of illegal votes. There is also the GA official who held a press conference that said if we look there is no doubt there were illegal votes in GA.
What I posted was evidence that through multiple studies and commissions there is no evidence that it has any impact on an election. If you’re concerned about 30 out of a billion I’m not sure what to tell you... I honestly can’t tell if you’re being serious
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11-12-2020 , 04:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jablo1312
AFAIK the only thing up in the air are if the late arriving ballots in PA (~10k if you believe the fAkE nEwS) will be allowed to count by the Supreme Court. Which would only make a small dent in Biden's statewide lead. Otherwise the rules around the election are the rules and the ballots count unless fRaUd can be proven.

Again if someone can show legit proof about widespread fraud that will convince a number of state and federal judges (not some guy blacked out on FoxNews saying he totally saw a ton of cheating) then I'll start giving Biden less then a 99% chance of winning this election.

https://twitter.com/justinbaragona/s...804983298?s=20


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11-12-2020 , 04:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mgv1208
Wanna post a link to this please? Is this the guy that was paid $130K to say there was fraud and then recanted his testimony
Why do u believe blatant lies? The dude hasnt been paid anything. The contrary as it appeared he is fired. And he hasnt recanted anything.
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11-12-2020 , 04:26 PM
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11-12-2020 , 05:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
The amount of money being incinerated on PredictIt right now is absolutely ****ing crazy. HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS of dollars, for real.

ALREADY CALLED states with no chance of flipping trading at 10%+ chance of Trump winning them.








----

They also think a Senate race will flip! He lost by almost 100k votes! Lol.



----

The DEMAND is so huge to light money on fire that PredictIt created two new markets. These markets have already seen Trump bettors betting a combined $400,000 on Trump winning any of the states.




----

They're even betting on a RECOUNT in Arizona despite a statewide recount being practically impossible.



----

They're also betting tons of money on a TRUMP BLOWOUT win for ????? reasons.





BTW if you add up the bids on the electoral vote market, they have Trump at a 27% chance of winning the Electoral College. Lmao

And this is just a sampling of markets. There is insanity all over the website. Site has basically turned into a vacuum cleaner of collecting money from Trumpers EVEN AFTER HE LOST.

Absolutely amazing time. Gotta be just about unprecedented in betting.

You get your money from Krackomberger?
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11-12-2020 , 05:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Da_Nit
You get your money from Krackomberger?
Yep, no issues at all
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11-12-2020 , 05:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mgv1208
What I posted was evidence that through multiple studies and commissions there is no evidence that it has any impact on an election. If you’re concerned about 30 out of a billion I’m not sure what to tell you... I honestly can’t tell if you’re being serious
If you think there are only 30 out of a billion votes are illegal I'm not sure what to tell you. If you want to post that there were less than 30 illegal votes in this election I think you should post it in the conspiracy theory thread.
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