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Old 12-10-2019, 09:32 PM   #401
CodythePATRIOT
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

This is kind of interesting. Buttigieg campaign intentionally pays women more than men.

Spoiler:


https://dailycaller.com/2019/12/10/b...m7GevlMFGH8liY

It's a bold play Cotton, let's see how it works out for him.
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Old 12-10-2019, 10:25 PM   #402
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

not sure why he would do that since it is illegal ey
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Old 12-10-2019, 10:29 PM   #403
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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not sure why he would do that since it is illegal ey
Yeah, maybe they have some legal loophole or something that protects him but from what I have read it kind of seems like an open and shut lawsuit.
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Old 12-11-2019, 12:48 AM   #404
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Still don't understand who the **** is in Buttigiegs base beyond young white moderates and there aren't enough of those to win a d primary

Obv deliberately paying women more is stupid and illegal and alienating to young moderate men who in theory are a large part of his base. So dumb.
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Old 12-11-2019, 05:06 AM   #405
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

an arab has a higher chance to be president than a gay guy
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Old 12-11-2019, 05:28 AM   #406
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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The fact that it has got this far on nothing but a word of mouth is nothing short of extraordinary my friend. I wouldn't be surprised by anything at this stage.

It's a legitimate joke at this stage and will be one of the reasons trump wins in a land slide imo.
I really liked this bet at first but this post made me do a double take. I'm glad I did. Nice read.
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Old 12-13-2019, 12:01 AM   #407
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

I guess Boris losing 5:1 was the easiest short of all time
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Old 12-13-2019, 04:08 PM   #408
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Easy layups on all the Will Trump Be Impeached markets. Trading at about 92, real value 99+. Should be over by the 18th (though you can bet on that too!)
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Old 12-16-2019, 10:45 AM   #409
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

R favored now.
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Old 12-16-2019, 03:35 PM   #410
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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R favored now.
God that is hilarious. Swing and a miss for the do nothing Democrats.
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Old 12-16-2019, 05:00 PM   #411
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Which site is the "pinnacle circa 2012" of US elections? (aka sharpest single market). Predictit?
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Old 12-16-2019, 05:04 PM   #412
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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Which site is the "pinnacle circa 2012" of US elections? (aka sharpest single market). Predictit?
I've found that Pinny's numbers have been ahead of other books so far, at least for the bets that I have put in.

Though Sigs told me that BM was the sharpest book these days so who knows.
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Old 12-16-2019, 10:44 PM   #413
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

One story we haven't talked about is the resurgence of Bernie Sanders:



Talk about a dark horse. Out of nowhere.
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Old 12-17-2019, 01:38 PM   #414
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Damn what happened to little Pete on Dec 7th?
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Old 12-17-2019, 03:18 PM   #415
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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One story we haven't talked about is the resurgence of Bernie Sanders:

Talk about a dark horse. Out of nowhere.
I don't see much catalyst for it. There hasn't been any recent favorable polling news for him in the past few weeks. A bunch of rah-rah from the usual suspects about how Bernie is going to win Iowa because it's a caucus, but overall good short opportunity. Bernie overall will do better in caucus states, which is bad news for him because a lot of 2016 caucus states have switched to primaries.
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Old 12-17-2019, 09:13 PM   #416
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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I don't see much catalyst for it. There hasn't been any recent favorable polling news for him in the past few weeks. A bunch of rah-rah from the usual suspects about how Bernie is going to win Iowa because it's a caucus, but overall good short opportunity. Bernie overall will do better in caucus states, which is bad news for him because a lot of 2016 caucus states have switched to primaries.
Yeah there have already been a few huge moves that seem not to be dictated by fundamentals but animal spirits. But it makes for great buying and shorting opportunities.
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Old 12-18-2019, 07:19 PM   #417
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Bookies offer odds on trump being a good guy or odds he is a lizard? Both sides make a good point.

I have always said he is a good guy.
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Old 12-18-2019, 10:39 PM   #418
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

trump impeached lol

so even after all the bs it happens i guess

Democrats just keep on digging it seems
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Old 12-19-2019, 02:01 AM   #419
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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Easy layups on all the Will Trump Be Impeached markets. Trading at about 92, real value 99+. Should be over by the 18th (though you can bet on that too!)
He may be a part time pro, but he is the full time GOAT.
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Old 12-19-2019, 10:51 AM   #420
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

If you are betting a lot of "No" in the Democratic VP market on PredictIT, you might as well add money on No for Gabbard at .95. (You can pile money into Gabbard "No" without committing additional cash if you have several other No votes in the market.)

After voting "present" on impeachment, her chances of being the VP candidate are no better than 1 in 1000 imo.
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Old 12-19-2019, 01:02 PM   #421
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Thanks Cody.

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If you are betting a lot of "No" in the Democratic VP market on PredictIT, you might as well add money on No for Gabbard at .95. (You can pile money into Gabbard "No" without committing additional cash if you have several other No votes in the market.)

After voting "present" on impeachment, her chances of being the VP candidate are no better than 1 in 1000 imo.
This is correct. Gabbard is many times more likely to have a show on Fox News than to be the Dem's VP candidate. Honestly I think she's more likely to be Trump's VP candidate than the Democratic one.
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Old 12-20-2019, 02:00 AM   #422
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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God that is hilarious. Swing and a miss for the do nothing Democrats.
Just over here trying to perserve the consitution and the intregrity of the Republic.

But ya know, no one cares anymore.

Back to Candy Crush and selfies.
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Old 12-20-2019, 02:01 AM   #423
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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He may be a part time pro, but he is the full time GOAT.
Weird. I thought I had closed out my SBR tabs and visited 2+2.

I must of been phised.
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Old 12-20-2019, 02:30 AM   #424
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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Weird. I thought I had closed out my SBR tabs and visited 2+2.

I must of been phised.
Welome back BOLplayer and I hope that this account will be more fruitful than your last one.

I wish us all a bountiful 2020
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Old 12-20-2019, 12:29 PM   #425
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Very good debate for Biden. When he talked it actually made sense this time. They must have dialed in his meds exactly right. Hope to see more of that from him in the future. If he'd been talking like this the whole time he'd be running away with this.

Good debate for Klobuchar as well. I picked her as a dark horse about a month ago. Since then she's had a 10% poll in Iowa and then a 4% poll. At this point she's not out of it, but she would really benefit from a stumble by Biden/Warren/Buttigieg. Like a 7-7 NFL team, she no longer controls her own destiny. I used her bump this morning to exit some long positions I had in her winning IA and the nomination.

Sanders turned in the same performance he always does. No evidence he's got a next gear.

Headlines are about Buttigieg and Warren going at it in the second half. I thought it was generally an inconclusive matchup. Klobuchar was a bit more effective going after Buttigieg's lack of experience and failed runs. I don't think these particular exchanges will move the needle, except to signify that the race may turn notably negative, which will benefit a candidate like Biden who's mostly staying above the fray.

To borrow a phrase from the Daily Racing Form, in this debate Yang and Steyer failed to menace.

Biggest loser: Loyola Marymount, Politico, and PBS for those god-awful production values and commentary during the break. Was this show produced entirely by college students? The lighting seemed designed to make everyone look like Max Headroom, and the moving background was completely distracting.

Last edited by parttimepro; 12-20-2019 at 12:45 PM.
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