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2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

12-05-2020 , 07:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RunGoodInRazz
The election was a month ago guys. We're all just waiting to get paid now. You can stop debating politics. A good chunk of us aren't even Americans and don't care.
Is anyone keeping you sir? Not sure why you are even in this thread if you don't care at this point.
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12-05-2020 , 08:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PTjvs
You can't separate his rhetoric out and pretend it doesn't exist. All the "lock her up!" "the press is the enemy of the people!" and "I won this election by a lot, and my opponents are criminal and fraudulent!" rhetoric is real and damaging.

I think it is fair to say that Trump is held in by the guardrails of democracy and unable to take autocratic action like he would like, but you really can't just pretend like he wouldn't do things like prosecute and jail the press & his political opponents if he could get away with it.

jvs
Hillary Clinton is a criminal and so is Bill not saying Trump isn't. Did he ever attempt to lock Hillary up? The democrats spent 4 years saying he was an illegitimate president because of Russian bots and launched investigations based on a fake dossier, the media legit lied about him non stop as well. Including Hillary Clinton calling him an illegitimate president. Do I think his Rhetoric is good, obviously not but does not make him a wannabe dictator. In fact during this whole covid-19 thing he has tried to stay out of peoples personal lives as much as possible while local governments have been abusing their power. They sabotaged him every chance they got. I always frankly thought it was quite stupid how news networks such as CNN lie about him as there was plenty to criticize that was real. When you say every single thing a person does is bad you lose all creditability.

While the guardrails of democracy keeps all presidents in check to a degree Trump never came close to reaching them. Did he start any new wars without congressional approval? Did he launch drone strikes against American Citizens like Obama did? Was the NSA's information program running under Trump like it was under Obama which he was well aware of. Despite it having a lot of merits Obama Care did not seem constitutional either. The guy has severe character flaws and at this point don't mind seeing him go as long as Republicans win the senatorial elections in Georgia to keep control. If Democrats control all 3 branches this country is going to tank bigtime!
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12-05-2020 , 08:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dubnjoy000
Also, not only IQ is seriously antiquated, but equating low income to low IQ (and hence minorities), is incredibly racist
1. All dogs are animals.
2. All cats are animals.
3. (1) and (2) do not necessarily imply that cats are dogs. (In fact, the correlation is zero.)

4. Income is correlated with IQ (simply a true fact.)
5. Income is correlated with race (simply a true fact.)
6. (4) and (5) do not necessarily imply that IQ is correlated with race.

Free logic lessons, boys. In fact I am still trying to pay you guys money by betting on Trump. So please keep betting on Biden so I at least get good odds. The election may be over but the free money is not!
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12-05-2020 , 08:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lvr
going by your standards then every country in the world has botched their covid response lol

you clowns are the worst when it comes to covid

just living in your own ignorance

at least come back and admit you were wrong but you still think it was trump's fault lol
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slap My Jack
Are you actively betting on politics at all? Why can't you put this in the politics forum where it belongs?
He has said itt he doesn't have any action, but has hundreds of posts here claiming the thread as his soapbox because he couldn't take his views being picked apart in the politics forum

He made this thread: https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/2...00/?highlight=

It got locked and he never posted in the forum again. Now he just picks on Nepeeme because nobody else wants to engage with him
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12-05-2020 , 09:13 PM
lol carbon did you just describe Trump as free money after he's lost the election
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12-05-2020 , 09:22 PM
They're all delusional.
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12-05-2020 , 09:33 PM
Free money for you guys. Given my previous statement was about trying to give you guys money, it should have been clear what I was saying.

I'm trying to hustle you guys so I can get 0%*25x instead of 0%*15x, see?

Quote:
Originally Posted by qotd
They're all delusional.
If you wish to call me delusional I would appreciate it if you learn to read first. You can call me delusional once that task is completed.

Please up your insult game, guys. I know from looking at poker strategy threads that I shouldn't expect much from the average post here, but it still hurts sometimes. That's why I try not to seriously tread too deep into the wasteland on here, as tempting as it may be.
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12-05-2020 , 09:40 PM
You're insulting peoples intelligence while trying to bet on a political candidate who has already lost the election with results certified in more than 270 electoral votes worth of states and that candidate would need to overturn 4 states results to win the election but sure, keep going

This collective mass delusion is scary to watch
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12-05-2020 , 09:59 PM
Ah, and after I actually tried to avoid insulting you in particular giving the benefit of the doubt.

Perhaps you should wonder what many of the people and posts in this thread would seem like from another perspective, one with arguments which many people here make no effort to actually understand, or sometimes even be aware of (yes, the right certainly isn't perfect in this regard either). In any case, it benefits no one if the bubbles on both sides of the aisle continue to grow.

And as I said, I'm trying to give you guys free money, yes. And only 3 states by the way. Biden -1200 or so on Fairlay still.

Last edited by CarbonIsTheNutLow; 12-05-2020 at 10:05 PM.
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12-05-2020 , 11:25 PM
I just noticed Neera is ~56c to be OMB director. What're the actual chances she isn't confirmed?
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12-06-2020 , 12:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by qotd
BOL has paid out every state I wagered on except Georgia. But everything for the overall winner is still pending.
My spot has not paid out on anything in the presidential. I went 13-1, the loss being a last minute election day hedge that Trump wins it because of same stupid exit polling comments and seeming poll defying results as last time ... and mostly I didn't appreciate fully the heavy effect of late counting of mail ins. But not a one certified yet .. of the bets that is.
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12-06-2020 , 09:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FellaGaga-52
You guys getting paid/settled on presidential election bets yet, or still held up? Individual states for instance, or the overall result?
It depends on the book. A lot of the high rollers are still waiting because the sites with the largest limits - Betfair and Pinnacle, have yet to pay out.

In terms of sites that have paid out for me:

- Bet365
- Bodog/Bovada (was legitimately surprised by this one)
- Sports Interaction

Sites I'm still waiting on:

- BetOnline
- Pinnacle
- Bookmaker
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12-06-2020 , 10:50 PM
where can i bet trump to stay prez now?
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12-07-2020 , 12:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thebruiser1000000
where can i bet trump to stay prez now?
Just toss your money in the fireplace, might as well get some warmth from it.
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12-07-2020 , 01:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by qotd
Just toss your money in the fireplace, might as well get some warmth from it.
you some australian serf? lmao gl with your $5 bet on predictit
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12-07-2020 , 02:34 AM
Wow you got me. I'll never recover.
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12-07-2020 , 05:15 AM
guess I'll let every company know that IQ is irrelevant now lol

must be why every step of life makes you take an IQ test lol
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12-07-2020 , 10:10 AM
Couple more days until there is an onslaught of judicial activity for Team Trump.

SCOTUS- the PA case brought by Parnell that led to the injunction but then dismissed by partisan hack court. Challenges the legality of mail in ballots in PA as unconstitutional.

MI - Antrim county judge allowed 22 voting machines to be inspected by forensic auditors, should turn up interesting results. Remember that all of these people have been saying “THOSE MACHINES ARENT CONNECTED TO THE INTERNET STUPID”. Well a 10 yo can figure out if a pc has internet connection, what else will they find?

AZ - Judge allowed sampling of ballots for duplicates and mail in, found a 3% swing favoring Trump. Later two separate signature forensic guys testified that 6-11% ballots appear to be faulty. Judge dismisses (LOL) and now at AZ Supreme Court. Big win showing now that there is proof of fraud/mishandling of counting.

WI - State supreme said to go through lower courts before coming to us, and now the libs are saying that the absentee ballots that were voted without having an application are valid. They are saying the ballot envelope is the application, lol wtf logic is this? Look for a WI win as law is extremely clear and it’s a legit conservative court

NV - Way too much evidence presented, and then somehow judge dismisses. Is getting appealed.

GA - new Trump lawsuit, shows the hard facts of the voter rolls where thousands of mail in voted were accepted even though they shouldn’t be.

All these without really getting to the initial SCOTUS case brought on by Trump team on post dated ballots etc. Should be an epic week regardless of outcome.

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12-07-2020 , 10:27 AM
[QUOTE=whb;56750608]Couple more days until there is an onslaught of judicial activity for Team Trump.

SCOTUS- the PA case brought by Parnell that led to the injunction but then dismissed by partisan hack court. Challenges the legality of mail in ballots in PA as unconstitutional.

MI - Antrim county judge allowed 22 voting machines to be inspected by forensic auditors, should turn up interesting results. Remember that all of these people have been saying “THOSE MACHINES ARENT CONNECTED TO THE INTERNET STUPID”. Well a 10 yo can figure out if a pc has internet connection, what else will they find?

AZ - Judge allowed sampling of ballots for duplicates and mail in, found a 3% swing favoring Trump. Later two separate signature forensic guys testified that 6-11% ballots appear to be faulty. Judge dismisses (LOL) and now at AZ Supreme Court. Big win showing now that there is proof of fraud/mishandling of counting.

WI - State supreme said to go through lower courts before coming to us, and now the libs are saying that the absentee ballots that were voted without having an application are valid. They are saying the ballot envelope is the application, lol wtf logic is this? Look for a WI win as law is extremely clear and it’s a legit conservative court

NV - Way too much evidence presented, and then somehow judge dismisses. Is getting appealed.

GA - new Trump lawsuit, shows the hard facts of the voter rolls where thousands of mail in voted were accepted even though they shouldn’t be.

All these without really getting to the initial SCOTUS case brought on by Trump team on post dated ballots etc. Should be an epic week regardless of outcome.



Anything from the states Trump won? Or we all good there?
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12-07-2020 , 10:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thebruiser1000000
where can i bet trump to stay prez now?
Sites that you can still bet on the election (on either Biden or Trump) are fairlay (btc) and predictit.
Some countries will have betfair exchange available to them.
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12-07-2020 , 12:48 PM
Keep it coming whb. Maybe donate some money to Trump's pockets, so you can falsely believe it is going towards more "forensic auditors" that will help the crooked buffoon steal the election.
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12-07-2020 , 01:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lvr
guess I'll let every company know that IQ is irrelevant now lol

must be why every step of life makes you take an IQ test lol
What do you think an IQ test is and when is the last time you were asked to take one?
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12-07-2020 , 01:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by txdome
Keep it coming whb. Maybe donate some money to Trump's pockets, so you can falsely believe it is going towards more "forensic auditors" that will help the crooked buffoon steal the election.
And if they find a simple internet connection to the supposed air-gapped voting machines what do you think will happen next?

Funny how always all comments by people with your views always lack substance.
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12-07-2020 , 01:52 PM
[QUOTE=Dtroitkid;56750639]
Quote:
Originally Posted by whb
Couple more days until there is an onslaught of judicial activity for Team Trump.

SCOTUS- the PA case brought by Parnell that led to the injunction but then dismissed by partisan hack court. Challenges the legality of mail in ballots in PA as unconstitutional.

MI - Antrim county judge allowed 22 voting machines to be inspected by forensic auditors, should turn up interesting results. Remember that all of these people have been saying “THOSE MACHINES ARENT CONNECTED TO THE INTERNET STUPID”. Well a 10 yo can figure out if a pc has internet connection, what else will they find?

AZ - Judge allowed sampling of ballots for duplicates and mail in, found a 3% swing favoring Trump. Later two separate signature forensic guys testified that 6-11% ballots appear to be faulty. Judge dismisses (LOL) and now at AZ Supreme Court. Big win showing now that there is proof of fraud/mishandling of counting.

WI - State supreme said to go through lower courts before coming to us, and now the libs are saying that the absentee ballots that were voted without having an application are valid. They are saying the ballot envelope is the application, lol wtf logic is this? Look for a WI win as law is extremely clear and it’s a legit conservative court

NV - Way too much evidence presented, and then somehow judge dismisses. Is getting appealed.

GA - new Trump lawsuit, shows the hard facts of the voter rolls where thousands of mail in voted were accepted even though they shouldn’t be.

All these without really getting to the initial SCOTUS case brought on by Trump team on post dated ballots etc. Should be an epic week regardless of outcome.



Anything from the states Trump won? Or we all good there?

Wait why are you posting under two accounts?
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12-07-2020 , 02:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lvr
guess I'll let every company know that IQ is irrelevant now lol

must be why every step of life makes you take an IQ test lol
What
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