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Old 08-12-2020, 06:00 AM   #1651
noon
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Elves View Post
I ended up making a ton of money today.
When Rice went to over 70 percent, I loaded up the truck on Harris...

I've decided to take a nice well deserved vacation with my winnings...
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll View Post
I love the "yeah well i secretly hedged last minute and got paid" statement lol, that's even more embarrassing than straight up ghosting
Let's all pretend we believe him, so he'll come back after his 'vacation'.
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Old 08-12-2020, 10:25 AM   #1652
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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nates model comes out tomorrow. wish we could bet on what it has biden's odds at

im gonna set the line at 73.9
71%
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Old 08-12-2020, 10:36 AM   #1653
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Well played.
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Old 08-12-2020, 08:28 PM   #1654
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Joe Biden so racist that he picked an Indian for his Black VP

black people can never catch a break ey
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Old 08-12-2020, 10:26 PM   #1655
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Ironic, the actual racist who supports an openly racist President calling the guy who literally was a loyal deputy to the first Black president ever a racist for picking a half black VP

I mean there are a ton of legit critiques of Biden and of Harris but you're an absolute clown
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Old 08-13-2020, 11:49 AM   #1656
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
openly racist President
I'm not looking for a discussion since I don't want to derail the thread, but you can give me the three best pieces of evidence that illustrate that Trump is an open racist?
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Old 08-13-2020, 01:56 PM   #1657
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Seriously? Here's about 50.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racial...f_Donald_Trump
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Old 08-13-2020, 03:55 PM   #1658
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Racism REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE.

Just kidding.

More ilke racism Zzzzzzzzz.

Ok. Seriously. Why pay PI prices and fees? Biden -135 at BOL.
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Old 08-13-2020, 09:51 PM   #1659
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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Racism REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE.

Just kidding.

More ilke racism Zzzzzzzzz.

Ok. Seriously. Why pay PI prices and fees? Biden -135 at BOL.
BOL = betonline? Are they legit/safe? I'm in the US and looking to get more down.

Edit - to clarify, by "safe" I'm talking like "would you keep 5 figures there?"

Last edited by Gallagher_; 08-13-2020 at 09:56 PM.
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Old 08-13-2020, 11:25 PM   #1660
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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Originally Posted by Gallagher_ View Post
BOL = betonline?
Yes.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gallagher_ View Post
Are they legit/safe?
As safe as any book can be when at any moment sports could disappear for a year.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Gallagher_ View Post
"would you keep 5 figures there?"
Yes.

Last edited by Johnny_B; 08-13-2020 at 11:53 PM.
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Old 08-14-2020, 12:42 AM   #1661
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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I'm not looking for a discussion since I don't want to derail the thread, but you can give me the three best pieces of evidence that illustrate that Trump is an open racist?
What Parttimepro said

Just this week his tweets about 'protecting suburban housewives from low income housing' is a dog whistle for 'hey middle class and wealthy white women ill make sure n------ dont come to your suburb'

It's pretty well documented that Trump is a racist, it's just a matter of whether people care or not.

-135 pretty solid for Biden, Trump's stopped his decline but is still otuside the margin of error and is desperate enough he's trying to dismantle the post office's ability to handle bulk mail just to hurt his political opponents

I'm def worried about cheating swaying the outcome, so not adding more for the time being. Will update the thread on my experience when my postal vote arrives, will be checking in constantly to ensure it's received/etc and i'm a FL voter who is a registered Dem registered in a red county who lives abroad so it'll be a good test for how hard disenfranchisement is in play - I managed to vote in 2018 with no issue, although in 2016 my ballot I requested just never arrived (although to be fair I didn't chase it up as I was sure Hillary was going to win and not super enthusiastic about her as a candidate etc). I did manage to vote fine in 2008 and 2012 though.

Last edited by SwoopAE; 08-14-2020 at 12:48 AM.
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Old 08-14-2020, 08:32 AM   #1662
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

How can anyone in their right mind question wether Trump is racist?
Yes, I too fear a rigged election. From the republicans. Right now, that's the only way Trump can win. Take a look at Belarus folks. Do you see now why people sometimes protest? That's what Trump has turned America into. Hope you Trumpists are all proud of yourselves.
Betonline is legit.

Last edited by Nepeeme2008; 08-14-2020 at 08:37 AM.
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Old 08-14-2020, 08:49 AM   #1663
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
i'm a FL voter.
Australia/Florida.

What do you guys want to wager for the over/under that Swoop has never seen snow in real life?
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Old 08-14-2020, 05:42 PM   #1664
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Thanks, Johnny_B.

I think Silver is being too conservative but even if he's right, there's a lot of value out there, especially for folks with BetFair access.
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Old 08-14-2020, 11:35 PM   #1665
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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Australia/Florida.

What do you guys want to wager for the over/under that Swoop has never seen snow in real life?
Good guess but a swing and a miss sadly

Spent a winter in Falls Creek in 2008 (Aus snowfields) and lived in Breckinridge in Colorado in winter for 4 months in 1996 (Summit Middle School represent, the only school I went to in America), plus my sister currently lives in the Australian snowfields. Have also been to Queenstown in NZ a bunch of times (seriously anyone who likes a cold holiday, Queenstown in winter is amazing)

Can actually ski pretty well for someone who lives on the Gold Coast and is technically a Florida voter lol

Nate's model seems about right to me, obv if election was today Biden would win but there's a long way to go and postal voters skew D due to Dems taking Covid more seriously, so his attempts to destroy the post office's ability to process postal votes is a serious problem (and should be an impeachable offense seriously what sort of person could defend destroying the post office's ability to do its job just to try and boost his reelection chances), 70/30 seems reasonable this far out

If Trump's attempts to screw with postal voting fail though he's in a lot of trouble, some new national polls with him down 10-11 points this week, seems to have slipped a bit, and conventions are coming up
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Old 08-15-2020, 09:42 AM   #1666
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Odds that CNN officially declares a winner on election night? What do you think, are we going to know the winner right away, or will it be like 2000 (or worse) with weeks of wrangling over absentee ballots and hanging chads?
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Old 08-15-2020, 06:30 PM   #1667
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
Good guess but a swing and a miss sadly

Spent a winter in Falls Creek in 2008 (Aus snowfields) and lived in Breckinridge in Colorado in winter for 4 months in 1996 (Summit Middle School represent, the only school I went to in America), plus my sister currently lives in the Australian snowfields. Have also been to Queenstown in NZ a bunch of times (seriously anyone who likes a cold holiday, Queenstown in winter is amazing)

Can actually ski pretty well for someone who lives on the Gold Coast and is technically a Florida voter lol
As soon as I finished typing my prop, I thought," oh ****, I bet there are places in Australia where it snows". But you never said anything about Colorado. You cheated. I want my money back.

And speaking about mail in voting. This armature has to of course give his opinion. From what I understand, you can mail in your ballot as early as the end of September. I think the deadline for it's arrival is Oct. 27. I think this is Trumps biggest fear; knowing that he's well behind now, that he won't have enough time to change voter's minds. With so many people mailing in their ballots, the election is for all intents and purposes over in late September. In a Month and a half!

Good prop p'pro. How about, the over under on how many times Wolf Blitzer is going to say, " breaking news!".

https://leadstories.com/hoax-alert/2...-election.html

Edit: Post office says that ballots have to be mailed in at least 15 days before election.
Copied article above gives more details.

Last edited by Nepeeme2008; 08-15-2020 at 06:39 PM.
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Old 08-15-2020, 09:13 PM   #1668
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

so liberals can peacefully protest without having any effect on covid apparently but socially distancing voting is apparently too hard?

lol apparently that's rigging the election but not the three recent cases with democrats having ballot fraud recently? where some of are going to court?

you guys crack me up lol

why do you think liberals always oppose voter id? it's because they want the illegal vote lol but they think it's too hard to carry a ****ing id who leaves their house with no id?

@swoop idk why even bother talking to you sometimes it's like talking to my religious parents. I could provide all the evidence in the world but they will never change their beliefs because they have been indoctrinated since young. They will believe in god until their dying breath.

lol@dog whistle..another weird way to say that 1 doesn't = 1 but 2 lol

Trump could say the most normal thing and you would find a way to say it's racist because that's what you think he believes.

also lol@talking about racism when you post this

Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
Just this week his tweets about 'protecting suburban housewives from low income housing' is a dog whistle for 'hey middle class and wealthy white women ill make sure n------ dont come to your suburb'.
apprently only black people are poor and white people are rich?

also would you accept low income housing to be built next to your house that you worked hard for? give me a break man nobody wants that **** including liberals

anyways lol@democrats who constantly pander and change their accent/verbage depending on who they speak too...they are not the racists lol foh

every human is born conservative .. hard work, self reliance , family

but nah we want to demean everyone and tell them they can't make it no matter how hard they try
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Old 08-15-2020, 09:15 PM   #1669
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

You have this weird belief that believing in something makes you a good person. In your mind Democrats = good Republicans = bad. There are plenty of obese people in this world that know eating less/excercising more = losing weight but are still fat lazy ****s. It's not because they don't know but because they just can't do it.

Politicians regardless of their ideology will always be evil people. It's just the nature of the beast. Any human who seeks to have power over other humans will naturally be evil.
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Old 08-16-2020, 12:23 AM   #1670
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

You're imparting your own worldview onto others because YOU don't have empathy for other people that aren't your close friends/family, you can't fathom that other people actually do and assume they're lying or 'virtue signalling' when they say they do

Sure a ton of politicians are in it for themselves but just for example, AOC is 100% trying to make the lives of her constituents better. Whether you agree that her approach to policy will do that or not is another matter, but she 100% believes she's doing the right thing to help the people that elected her.
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Old 08-16-2020, 12:54 AM   #1671
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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You're imparting your own worldview onto others because YOU don't have empathy for other people that aren't your close friends/family, you can't fathom that other people actually do and assume they're lying or 'virtue signalling' when they say they do

Sure a ton of politicians are in it for themselves but just for example, AOC is 100% trying to make the lives of her constituents better. Whether you agree that her approach to policy will do that or not is another matter, but she 100% believes she's doing the right thing to help the people that elected her.
Did you just see AOC's speech where she was speaking in a different accent because she was talking to different people? That's the definition of looking down on someone because you think they can't take in your ideas on their own. It's downright demeaning. It's the Democrat playbook.

Once again you keep looking at what they say. That doesn't matter. Trump was going to run Democrat originally. Obama wanted to run republican. Words don't matter. Actions do.

At the end of the day I think minorities can succeed on their own without the help of the white liberal where as you don't.

The facts don't really back you up but at this stage facts don't really matter to you or other liberals. Look at the cities where they are rioting/looting. Democrat cities where they control everything and make their own rules. How is the feds fault when they mostly run themselves?

I even saw a narrative recently where people were stated that since black people "feel" that they are treated unfairly then that's all that matters. The facts don't matter anymore in this world. 1 = 2 vs 1 = 1

Portland is the best example. They elected their officials which makes the rules yet it's republicans (which you would say is a dog whistle for white people lol) fault for their issues? Why can't they help the minorities in their states themselves instead of trying to destroy federal property? it just doesn't make any sense

Then you have Chicago rioting over a fake case lol
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Old 08-16-2020, 03:51 AM   #1672
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
Good guess but a swing and a miss sadly

Spent a winter in Falls Creek in 2008 (Aus snowfields) and lived in Breckinridge in Colorado in winter for 4 months in 1996 (Summit Middle School represent, the only school I went to in America), plus my sister currently lives in the Australian snowfields. Have also been to Queenstown in NZ a bunch of times (seriously anyone who likes a cold holiday, Queenstown in winter is amazing)

Can actually ski pretty well for someone who lives on the Gold Coast and is technically a Florida voter lol

Nate's model seems about right to me, obv if election was today Biden would win but there's a long way to go and postal voters skew D due to Dems taking Covid more seriously, so his attempts to destroy the post office's ability to process postal votes is a serious problem (and should be an impeachable offense seriously what sort of person could defend destroying the post office's ability to do its job just to try and boost his reelection chances), 70/30 seems reasonable this far out

If Trump's attempts to screw with postal voting fail though he's in a lot of trouble, some new national polls with him down 10-11 points this week, seems to have slipped a bit, and conventions are coming up
obv. have you made your move or are you gonna wait till it gets to biden/dems -300?
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Old 08-16-2020, 04:01 AM   #1673
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

what's even funnier to me is there are so many people on these forums that share my views in private but don't have the balls in public

rather make alts to troll lol
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Old 08-16-2020, 07:03 AM   #1674
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

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obv. have you made your move or are you gonna wait till it gets to biden/dems -300?
I previously posted that I took a unit and change split between Biden -132 and Field over Trump at -140 from memory a month and a bit ago forget exact date.

Lines back at about that now since it became clear Trump's going to try and wreak havoc on the post office with the goal of depressing the D-leaning postal votes

Going to wait and see how it pans out now, both polling wise and potential cheating wise before either maxing out or laying off depending what happens. I was initially going to do that, i'd rather get it in at -200 or so when it's 85% to win than today at -140 with a 70% chance or so (its probably more like 65% now between the Harris pick that I didn't like much and Trump's signalling his intention to kneecap the post office if thats what it takes to muddy the waters and try and win the election)
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Old 08-16-2020, 03:23 PM   #1675
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Re: 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

i can't believe trump and his racist supporters.

kamala is black, indian, white? and probably other ethnicities given jamaica's multi-cultural makeup...... but to call her black is certainly reasonable...... i've never ONCE heard anyone argue that TW is not a black golfer. and i've almost never heard him described as a thai/asian golfer (which is disturbing to me)... TW's father has native indian heritage too (oklahoma or kansas)
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