Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
Sometimes when adults look at the economy they look at more variables than just who the president is... like maybe if there is a pandemic or not.
I think people look at the economy very basically: do I have a job? did I take a paycut or get a raise? In 2010 voters blamed democrats for high unemployment and deficits despite a major holdover from the 2008 crash. People who lost their job are not going to give the government a pass for the pandemic.
Quote:
Originally Posted by rivercitybirdie
i agree on the clinton vs. trump voters........
trump has lost tons of voters. hasn't picked up very many. i would argue trump will have picked virtually none....... i would think he's likely to lose alot of active military votes. and if he started to lose retired military, look out below
4 things: 1) biden is so much more likeable than hillary; 2) trump had a curiousity factor in 2016. now it's more like a nightmare factor; 3) biden will probably actually campaign in wisconsin and michigan; 4) biden is from scranton, pa.
disclaimer: lots of time left, polls were wrong in 2016, voter suppression/supreme court chicanery etc...
I agree with this base case, though not sure how many voters trump has lost. A lot of reasons why someone would stay home for Clinton vs. Trump but vote for Biden vs. Trump imo.
Quote:
Originally Posted by LektorAJ
What about people changing from Trump to Biden have people met voters like that?
I don't know anyone who has changed from Trump to Biden or vice-versa. I know a few who voted for McMullin but not sure where they're landing this time.