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Old 04-12-2019, 09:49 AM   #26
TomG
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

sounds like you've been doing this a while. great to have experienced bettors on board here. anytime you want to provide more in depth writeups that would be great too so we can learn from your thought process.
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Old 04-12-2019, 03:40 PM   #27
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

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sounds like you've been doing this a while. great to have experienced bettors on board here. anytime you want to provide more in depth writeups that would be great too so we can learn from your thought process.

Whenever I get a chance to do the in-depth writeups I will. I love to talk baseball. Just a little tough with 6-7-8 picks a day. Sometimes it's as simple as "Rockies should never be +135 in San Fran..I don't care if they can't score right now..I have to take a stab at it". There's no computer or excel or anything telling me that Rockies are the play at that price. It's just years of experience I guess. Maybe it's wrong? I don't know. But I do know how Bettis pitches in AT&T Park..what his BABIP was last year..I know his spin rate etc. These are all numbers I know how to look up and over time have just ended up in my brain. Often times I don't even have to look it up..my brain makes a general summary off the information I already have had over the years. I'm wrong plenty of times..but once again as long as the ROI ends up where it should be it doesn't matter.

There's no system here. I have been betting since I was 13..and been doing parlays my whole life. I know it's -EV and etc but I am a full on degenerate and have been my whole life.

Friends started tracking my mlb singles back in 2013...and we didn't realize the strength in numbers until a couple of years back. Still haven't learned..whatever I profit off my MLB singles I blast away on 4-5 gamers. It's a long story and if you search hard enough you'll find it on the forums.

I don't want to spew random numbers from past seasons and have random people tail my picks. Nor do I want to welcome the naysayers and haters. I rather just prove it over the course of the season. When is the sample size enough really? The game changes every year. I still worry I wake up one season and I just completely "lose" it because I don't have an excel sheet spitting picks out at me. There's so much transparency in this section and I've noticed it in the syndicate thread. Actual pros sharing lines and results. I hope I can do the same and gain some credibility. Perhaps surrounding myself with professionals may help me calm down and stop me from being such a degen and shift my focus into doing this the right way for good.

To keep it simple..I may not be able to quantify a pick necessarily but if we were to go back and forth on a side I'd be able to justify my side with enough knowledge/stats to make you somewhat convinced and not feel like this idiot just makes picks off the dome.
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Old 04-12-2019, 05:41 PM   #28
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 12th 2019

Pit +169

Padres -119

Rockies +139

Tampa -144

Oakland -124

KC +136

Seattle +126

22-16 YTD
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Old 04-12-2019, 06:38 PM   #29
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

there are lots of ways to win at this. and even more ways to lose. i'm jealous of the people who can internalize random information in such a way that it helps them create bets. i can never do that so i have to rely on a computer to try to help me. but trust me buddy it's not any easier to win. you nailed it though tracking results will give you the real feedback you need not from some guy like me spouting off on an internet gambling forum.
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Old 04-12-2019, 07:03 PM   #30
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

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there are lots of ways to win at this. and even more ways to lose. i'm jealous of the people who can internalize random information in such a way that it helps them create bets. i can never do that so i have to rely on a computer to try to help me. but trust me buddy it's not any easier to win. you nailed it though tracking results will give you the real feedback you need not from some guy like me spouting off on an internet gambling forum.
Agreed. I guess grass is always greener. End of the day regardless of how you do it nothing is permanent. Adjustments have to be made..and that’s either adding or subtracting factors on your comp or in your head.
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Old 04-13-2019, 03:05 PM   #31
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

Pressed on time will edit later for prices but:

April 13 2019

Tampa
Atlanta
Oakland
Philly
Stl
Cleveland
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Old 04-13-2019, 03:35 PM   #32
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

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Pressed on time will edit later for prices but:

April 13 2019

Tampa
Atlanta
Oakland
Philly
Stl
Cleveland

Tampa -199

ATL -148

STL -110

Phi -158

CLE -108

Oak -108

27-18 YTD
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Old 04-14-2019, 02:30 PM   #33
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 14

oak

san diego

mets

Rockies

stl
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Old 04-15-2019, 06:48 PM   #34
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 15 2019

Phillies -114

Dodgers -169

Seattle +100

30-25 YTD
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Old 04-16-2019, 09:24 AM   #35
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

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Whenever I get a chance to do the in-depth writeups I will. I love to talk baseball. Just a little tough with 6-7-8 picks a day. Sometimes it's as simple as "Rockies should never be +135 in San Fran..I don't care if they can't score right now..I have to take a stab at it". There's no computer or excel or anything telling me that Rockies are the play at that price. It's just years of experience I guess.

Maybe it's wrong?

*Ron Howard Arrested Development Narrator Voice*

It is
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Old 04-16-2019, 09:40 AM   #36
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

Sniper still had it going , well done my fellow degen
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Old 04-16-2019, 06:56 PM   #37
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

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*Ron Howard Arrested Development Narrator Voice*

It is
But feels so right..
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Old 04-16-2019, 06:56 PM   #38
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 16 2019

Mets +107

Cubs -126

Braves -135

Whitesox -114

Rockies -102

Dodgers -170

Twins -153

Mariners +110

31-27 YTD
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Old 04-17-2019, 11:26 AM   #39
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 17 2019

Philly/Mets o9 -105

Brewers/Cardinals o9.5 -102

WhiteSox -103

Dodgers -163

Braves -162

Twins -161

Texas -124

Cubs -156

Wash -131

35-31 YTD
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Old 04-18-2019, 06:36 PM   #40
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 18 2019


Dodgers -106

NYY -197

Tampa -251

Seattle +108

SD -172

Rockies -102

40-35 YTD
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Old 04-19-2019, 04:34 PM   #41
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 19 2019

STL -141

SDG -132

Braves +139

Oak -127

Det -101

Mariners +105

Astros -211

marlins +110

Pirates +102

43-38 YTD
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Old 04-20-2019, 04:00 PM   #42
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 20 2019

pit -145

phi -117

sd +105

oak -138

hou -229

Twins -210

seattle +109
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Old 04-20-2019, 06:57 PM   #43
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

Adding:

Orioles game 2 +127

Cleveland game 2 -155
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Old 04-22-2019, 07:03 PM   #44
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 22nd 2019

Pit -133

NYM -108

Rockies -123

Oakland -140

Astros -169

51-47 YTD
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Old 04-23-2019, 11:56 AM   #45
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

Early April 23 2019


Sale -220

Add rest later.
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Old 04-23-2019, 06:59 PM   #46
Snipes
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Snipes View Post
Early April 23 2019


Sale -220

Add rest later.

April 23 2019

ATL - 115

PIT -103

SF +105

Hou -138

Oak -149

Seattle +115

54-50 YTD
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Old 04-24-2019, 05:21 AM   #47
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

Tough year thus far. Juiced ball just like 2017 lol.

April 24 2019

STL -127

Braves -124

Pirates -114

Phillies -114

Mariners +150

Rockies -146

56-54 YTD
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Old 04-25-2019, 06:44 PM   #48
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 25 2019

Cinci -137

Cle +138

NYY -101

60-56 YTD
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Old 04-26-2019, 07:03 PM   #49
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

April 26th 2019

ATL

Oak

STL

Hou

CWS

Mariners

Angels

Cubs

62-57 YTD
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Old 04-27-2019, 07:26 PM   #50
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Re: 2019 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

Sorry for late post but Mets are down 1 shouldn’t matter.

April 27 2019

Mets

Seattle

Angels

Braves.


Also apologize for sloppy formatting just really busy this weekend.
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