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Old 09-10-2017, 05:43 PM   #101
the degenerate
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

1:05PM Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams - 2nd Half
Indianapolis Colts Team Total UNDER 10.5 (2nd Half) -125
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Old 09-10-2017, 05:45 PM   #102
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

This Seattle game blows wtf.
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Old 09-10-2017, 05:50 PM   #103
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by the degenerate View Post
9/10/17 1:25PM Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers - 1st Half
UNDER 24 (1st Half) -125

Win


Updated Record 8-3 +4.60 Units
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Old 09-10-2017, 07:15 PM   #104
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by the degenerate View Post
1:05PM Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams - 2nd Half
Indianapolis Colts Team Total UNDER 10.5 (2nd Half) -125
Win

Updated record 9-3 +5.60 Units
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Old 09-10-2017, 07:24 PM   #105
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Need a Seattle BDC here
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Old 09-10-2017, 07:35 PM   #106
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Guess not. 4-2 YTD.
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Old 09-10-2017, 08:12 PM   #107
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

DAL -6
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Old 09-10-2017, 08:16 PM   #108
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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DAL -6
I guess I'm gonna keep digging my hole.

I have +4.5, +5 and +6. I guess on the plus side this is one of those pure emotional hedges.
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Old 09-10-2017, 08:19 PM   #109
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

5:30PM New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys -235
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Old 09-10-2017, 08:31 PM   #110
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

added Zeke u3 receptions -105
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Old 09-10-2017, 09:48 PM   #111
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Just took Giants live +13.5. Really going down with this ship
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Old 09-10-2017, 10:51 PM   #112
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

this is gonna be a fun finish for me. Took 16.5 and 18.5 too, I'm at the point now where I'd be happy if the score didn't change now.
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Old 09-10-2017, 11:22 PM   #113
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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5:30PM New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys -235

Win


Updated record: 10-3 +6.60 Units
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Old 09-10-2017, 11:23 PM   #114
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

lol the net result of martingaling my head into more grey hairs is losing my original +4 and losing all the zeke reception props. Wil you called it

Think I'll stick to props. That was more stress than it was worth
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Old 09-10-2017, 11:25 PM   #115
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Ezekiel caught 4 passes tonight. The book loved every one of those Im sure.
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Old 09-10-2017, 11:27 PM   #116
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

I think he caught 5!
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Old 09-11-2017, 03:45 AM   #117
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Yeah those NFC East division games that don't have the home team as 3 point favorites are just games I think everyone should stay away from, or lean towards the team favoring that line. Eagles/Washington was Eagles -1, which indicates Eagles had a stronger probability to win. Giants/Cowboys were -4.5 so I would lean Cowboys there.

In both cases, I didn't bet the games. I've watched enough NFC East division games to realize how whacky and bizarre they can be. If there are any trends I do kind of keep in mind, division games (hence the Browns bet today) and West coast/East coast travel games are two factors I kind of pay attention to. Most of the other stuff I throw out.

Glad you won at least some of it back on the end. I started the day 4-0 and was thinking I was the man and lost my last two and now I suck again.

Spoiler:
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Old 09-11-2017, 07:06 AM   #118
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

9-7 +1.47u after opening day. Nice recovery after an awful start to the day.

Minn -2.5 -122 so far for today, considering Chargers +3 but haven't fired it yet.
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Old 09-11-2017, 10:04 AM   #119
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Chargers +3 -109
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Old 09-11-2017, 10:22 AM   #120
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

gotta wait to see where the MNF games finish, but I'd be pretty happy to finish dead even on the weekend after the Giants debacle, lol. Never seen Zeke catch 5 either. Interesting to see that part of his game develop.
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Old 09-11-2017, 10:24 AM   #121
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by DuckU View Post
My prediction for week 1;

Goff gets his first win and LA Rams cover the 3.5 as Indy only scores 3 points total. Tolzien has 3 turnovers, equalling the total points that Indy puts on the board.
respect
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Old 09-11-2017, 12:56 PM   #122
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

texans+3,5 1unit
texans ML 1unit
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Old 09-11-2017, 01:11 PM   #123
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Kind of like Jags getting +1.5 at home and Tampa -6 vs Bears with extra time to prepare.
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Old 09-11-2017, 02:13 PM   #124
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

What said do people think the best side of the cap is on new Orleans @ Minnesota and la chargers @ Denver?


Both games look to hard to pick

Denver @ home on cap seems best , what happen to Denver home advantage used to be near unbeatable with high altitude? Remember correctly there qb is hard to watch play as to conservative and when try throw down field looks like he is a pick waiting to happen.

Minnesota and Denver Minnesota will leave as new Orleans could put a beat down on them with there offence.
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Old 09-11-2017, 05:01 PM   #125
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

I hate how popular it is, but I do like New O tonight, even to win straight up. Their defense is much improved, offense should be more balanced with decent rookie RB, AP and of course the passing attack we all know and love. MIN defense would have to be near perfect to keep them in the game imo, and Bradford has an absolutely terrible record in prime time games going way back if I'm not mistaken. MIN offense looked anemic in the short glimpses we got of it in the preseason with the 1s.

In 2014 it was Bridgewater and Brees at the helms, albeit at the superdome, and Saints won 20-9. And if you believe in "revenge" narratives of course there's that AP getting revenge on his former team narrative, but don't put too much emphasis on that imo.
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