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Old 12-27-2017, 03:53 PM   #876
Newluck620
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

I'm not super familiar with sports betting but I made the following bets for superbowl winners prior to the season starting, $228 total:

Panthers, $130 to win $4290

Raiders, $10 to win $60

Packers, $10 to win $100

Broncos, $10 to win $160

Lions, $2 to win $132

Cowboys, $10 to win $100

Steelers, $4 to win $56

Seahawks, $10 to win $100

Patriots, $28 to win $112

Giants, $10 to win $180

Titans, $2 to win $80

Dolphins, $2 to win $100

My question is, would it be possible to bet some amount (no more than $800) divided among the remaining playoff games the Panthers play so that regardless how close the Panthers get to the superbowl, I either get my $228 back or win at least like $3k if the Panthers win the superbowl? Does that make sense ? What would you do if you were me ? To make it simple I'll ignore stuff like the patriots winning..

I bet on the Panthers to win in 2015 before the season started but didn't do any hedging or bet on any other teams and in super salty about it now :P
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Old 12-27-2017, 04:36 PM   #877
Newluck620
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Update on above : maybe it's too early to try to hedge? Like maybe my bet doesnt have enough value yet...If so, what level of the playoffs should I start hedging ? The divisional round ?
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Old 12-31-2017, 09:23 AM   #878
Crazy Joe Davola
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Leaders of the Westgate Supercontest love IND WAS ATL SF
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Old 01-01-2018, 11:14 AM   #879
Monteroy
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Newluck620 View Post
My question is, would it be possible to bet some amount (no more than $800) divided among the remaining playoff games the Panthers play so that regardless how close the Panthers get to the superbowl, I either get my $228 back or win at least like $3k if the Panthers win the superbowl? Does that make sense ? What would you do if you were me ? To make it simple I'll ignore stuff like the patriots winning..
You can still get 25ish to 1 on the Panthers to win now, so you do not appear to have a ton of arbitrage room to do anything with at this time.
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Old 01-01-2018, 02:21 PM   #880
Crazy Joe Davola
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Any good playoff games to bet on? I like:

JAX -7.5

LA -5.5
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Old 01-01-2018, 02:58 PM   #881
ChameleoOoN
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

all the favs and spreads, easy money.
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Old 01-03-2018, 12:58 PM   #882
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

sitting out this week (now that my team got in) but BOL all. some interesting stats out there about ATL SoS and travels out west, but the last two years have been pretty chalky WC rounds. I think at least 1, maybe 2 underdogs this week could make it into the next round. FWIW I'd stay completely away from KC.
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Old 01-06-2018, 02:13 PM   #883
Singasong2222
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
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all the favs and spreads, easy money.
Same bet as me let's hope one of us is right meaning we will both be right?

Got sneaking feeling that all favs win and all spreads favs cover....
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Old 01-06-2018, 02:17 PM   #884
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Has 2plus2 been down all threads are like a tumble weed in a ghoulish town full of ghoulishly good group of ghouls.......��������������������������������
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Old 01-06-2018, 05:13 PM   #885
Mike_McDee
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Bills +9 is the only dog I like this weekend. Also got a small amount on the ML.
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Old 01-08-2018, 02:06 PM   #886
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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Originally Posted by ChameleoOoN View Post
all the favs and spreads, easy money.
so easy
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Old 01-08-2018, 03:01 PM   #887
Crazy Joe Davola
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Is Atlanta -3 a great bet?
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Old 01-08-2018, 03:46 PM   #888
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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Is Atlanta -3 a great bet?
depends on if you believe Foles can be competent at home. I think public money will come in on ATL and bet this up a little more before KO. at this point nearly anyone "can" beat anyone else. Matt Ryan outdoors in the elements tho is a reason to at least pause.
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Old 01-08-2018, 05:05 PM   #889
ynewt
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Depending on college playoff bet, going to get some tickets and sit close to the field and pound eagles ML. How many points is Wentz worth to the line?
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Old 01-10-2018, 10:26 AM   #890
Crazy Joe Davola
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

I'm liking Falcons and Patriots and Jaguars and Vikings to cover but what the hell do I know.
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Old 01-10-2018, 11:42 PM   #891
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Mariota to Mariota ripped a 6 way play.
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Old 01-11-2018, 11:44 AM   #892
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

I feel like the Saints aren't getting any love after a great season. Vikes defense looking good but I think I go with the veteran under center who has been here before and let CK show me he can win a playoff game. Gimme those Saints + the points (and add on a ML bet as well.)

The AFC games are a hard pass, but gun to my head I think Pitt might blow Jags out of the water.
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Old 01-11-2018, 04:10 PM   #893
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

saints seem like the heavy public fav, but line moved from +3.5 to +5
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Old 01-12-2018, 07:29 AM   #894
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

I'm on NE(-6) + PIT(-.5).

GL all.
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Old 01-12-2018, 11:52 AM   #895
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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saints seem like the heavy public fav, but line moved from +3.5 to +5
wow, hadnt even looked at the %'s yet but you're definitely right (64/36). Still, most tickets to be written over the weekend but I cannot believe public is backing the dog. that will certainly change things on my end. as a general rule public dogs are usually auto-fade in my book.
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Old 01-12-2018, 01:34 PM   #896
Crazy Joe Davola
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Do the Jaguars qualify as a public dog?
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Old 01-12-2018, 06:17 PM   #897
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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Do the Jaguars qualify as a public dog?
Bovada is shading the Steelers so I'd say no.
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Old 01-14-2018, 10:28 PM   #898
Mike_McDee
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Oh Saints... why do you hurt me so bad?
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Old 01-15-2018, 10:30 AM   #899
Crazy Joe Davola
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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I'm liking Falcons and Patriots and Jaguars and Vikings to cover but what the hell do I know.
Three out of four ain't bad. It's a shame I bet only one of them (Jaguars).
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Old 01-17-2018, 01:55 PM   #900
rainmaker1855
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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Oh Saints... why do you hurt me so bad?
that was a tough one no doubt. between that and the way UGA lost the previous Monday it was a rough week for wild last second turns. what is getting somewhat overlooked because of the final play is the number of lead changes that happened in the final 3 minutes. that just doesnt happen all that often at the end of NFL games.

onward and upward
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