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Old 09-07-2017, 08:42 PM   #51
rafiki
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Also took that Tyreek o4.5 catches prop and him over 52.5 yards.

Smaller on Gronk o69.5 yards
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Old 09-07-2017, 10:15 PM   #52
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

The U24 1st H looked pretty bad from the get go, not gonna lie, but that's pretty damn tilting that it takes a PI with 24 secs left in the half to put the ball on the 1 yd line and obv leads to a score to not get a push.
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Old 09-08-2017, 12:09 AM   #53
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Well, there's an interesting start to the season.
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Old 09-08-2017, 12:09 AM   #54
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tuma View Post
Pats ml and spread are both free
Go on
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Old 09-08-2017, 12:13 AM   #55
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

I seriously dunno wtf it is about this forum but every time I post a pick in a thread, it loses epicly. Lifetime I'm a slight winner but every time I post something public it turns to sht. Note to the future whenever Profbets posts a play, bet against it...will be hitting at 100% on 2+2 posts.
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Old 09-08-2017, 12:15 AM   #56
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Join the club. Only posted picks lose.

Spoiler:
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Old 09-08-2017, 12:16 AM   #57
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

lol my Gronk bet never got accepted, must have clicked something during a line change. Am gifted 5-0 night as a result. Better to be lucky than good.

I fully expect to give it all away Sunday. But feels good spending Moneyweather money.
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Old 09-08-2017, 12:17 AM   #58
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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Join the club. Only posted picks lose.

Spoiler:
yea except I have results, keep track of my bets religiously, like a "Prof" would
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Old 09-08-2017, 12:36 AM   #59
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki View Post
lol my Gronk bet never got accepted.
The rich get richer. Life is unfair.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ProfBets View Post
yea except I have results, keep track of my bets religiously, like a "Prof" would
As long as you're still in the game, all good. It's a constant battle, and if you lose, there's always the "degen stories" thread.

Hang in there, Saturday is just a few hours away....
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Old 09-08-2017, 02:50 AM   #60
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Chicago Bears +6 (-103 pinnacle)
Chicago Bears ML (+244)
Panthers @ 49'ers Over 48.5 (-105)

0-0 (-3.08)
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Old 09-08-2017, 09:20 AM   #61
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

i took over 47.5 bc cheifs are strong and didnt feel good about either side. if i posted it it would have went under. only had 1 unit on them
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Old 09-08-2017, 09:38 AM   #62
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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Go on
detroit lions ml
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Old 09-08-2017, 10:58 AM   #63
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
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what do you guys think about this prop:

Will Alex Smith throw an interception? yes -160/ no +130

I like the NO +130
Line should be Yes -125 imo

glgl
Told ya


glgl
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Old 09-08-2017, 11:46 AM   #64
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Patriots ml was not free. It was expensive.
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Old 09-08-2017, 12:14 PM   #65
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

saw somewhere that SB losers are something like 2-15 on opening day the following season. Gotta take the homer pick with the Bears getting points and probably a little ML play too.
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Old 09-08-2017, 12:30 PM   #66
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

So... We are all hoping on that bears wagon or what?

STRAIGHT BET
[456] CHICAGO BEARS +6˝

glgl
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Old 09-08-2017, 03:05 PM   #67
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

waiting for opposite of propbets.....
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Old 09-08-2017, 04:44 PM   #68
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Can we talk Cowboys/Giants total?

So Gregory, Irving and Moore are suspended on the Dallas defence. Gone from the D are Carr, Claireborne, Church and Cox. And Hitchens is out and is a big loss. Of the new drafted guys to plug the holes in the secondary, Lewis and Woods won't play. Couple new bodies that may do some damage in Taco and Nolan Caroll, and of course J-Smith the rookie. But overall that's one patchwork D from front to back, specially the secondary.

Then on top of that Zeke plays. The Giants have ample weapons even without ODB in Marshall/Shepard/Evans, plenty of talent there.

I don't see how the Cowboys score less than 21. But I really don't see how the Giants score less than 28. And yes I know they played a 10-7 game last year, a game where Dak threw 2 of his 4 INT's on the whole season. I like the over, curious if that's fishy.

Giants +4 seems sharp too
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Old 09-08-2017, 07:47 PM   #69
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Like Ravens browns and Seahawks right now but will wait til Sunday.

Cowboys game is a skip if you ask me.
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Old 09-08-2017, 09:12 PM   #70
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Am I an idiot for wanting to bet on the Browns? I don't know football nearly as well as you guys all do, but here's what I'm thinking:

- Home opener is one of the biggest (if not the biggest) game for the Browns all season. Therefore, they should be playing with a lot of intensity and enthusiasm. Hue Jackson is a great rah rah guy and his players will play hard for him.
- Defense should be significantly better than last year with new talent and Gregg Williams as defensive coordinator. They were smashing teams in the preseason (it's preseason, I know, but still.)
- Cleveland has an improved offensive line which should complement their running game. Running the ball eats up clock.
- Le'Veon Bell held out until September 1st, so one would think there will be some f*ckups during week 1 (missed blocks, lack of coordination on runs w/ offensive line, etc.) that wouldn't otherwise be there.

Of course, counter arguments are that Pittsburgh's the significantly better team and a rookie QB making his NFL debut is probably going to turn the ball over in some dumb spots, Joe Haden might've spilled the beans if he had any insight into what the Cleveland defense was planning, just cut Calvin Pryor, etc.

Maybe it's a sucker bet, but I'm kind of tempted to take the points on them.
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Old 09-08-2017, 09:35 PM   #71
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Already have taken the points on all the 9 pt dogs (Jets, Browns, Chiefs)
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Old 09-08-2017, 09:38 PM   #72
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

My prediction for week 1;

Goff gets his first win and LA Rams cover the 3.5 as Indy only scores 3 points total. Tolzien has 3 turnovers, equalling the total points that Indy puts on the board.
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Old 09-08-2017, 10:22 PM   #73
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

I don't look at any of those things like momentum or excitement for a home opener, etc. I personally find those lines of thought extremely unreliable/useless. I look at where the public stands and if the spreads compare to where I think they would be.

I'm probably taking the Browns, FWIW. Hard to be in rhythm first game of the season and 9 points is just a lot in this spot, at home, division game. It's either Browns or skip the game. I'd never take Pitt here.

But I suck, so, don't listen to me.
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Old 09-09-2017, 02:09 AM   #74
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

9/10/17 10:00AM Oakland Raiders vs Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans -2.5 -125
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Old 09-09-2017, 03:54 PM   #75
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Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

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Chiefs +9
Good pick stuck with chiefs when most said pats

Am think Brown's +9 seems good as early and then +9 @ home seems a lot

Surely worst team I. Nfl done lot of squad changes and 1st round pick

Not want start season with a blow out defeat which might mean at least they will have pride to play for

And +9 for most home teams is worth taking and with first game hopely book is a bit off.
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