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2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

10-09-2017 , 11:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ballin4life
How much does Bovada let you get down on player props? They won't let my account bet more than $25.
Could be them limiting you because of your win rate? Most I did so far this year was $300, but it probably would have taken more?
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10-09-2017 , 11:29 PM
yikes bears handing vikings the W

cooler
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10-09-2017 , 11:42 PM
I'm sick of having the right ***** play and it just being snatched away at the last possible second.
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10-10-2017 , 12:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
Could be them limiting you because of your win rate? Most I did so far this year was $300, but it probably would have taken more?
Thanks for the info.
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10-10-2017 , 02:16 AM
I had Bears 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread +3.5.

Capped the game perfectly.
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10-10-2017 , 08:06 AM
Looking ahead.... anyone doing backflips for texans -10 vs browns?
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10-10-2017 , 08:50 AM
Is Texans -10 really sharp? Man it opened -12!
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10-10-2017 , 10:04 AM
It's funny that you ask about that game. I have 3 games that I can't seem to figure them out. Cle@hou, pit@kc and nyg@den.
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10-10-2017 , 10:08 AM
Cleveland +10 is a better choice to me. But I hate to touch it lol
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10-10-2017 , 11:11 AM
That's why I asked. Texans D got beat up. But I guess their O is legit.
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10-10-2017 , 11:21 AM
Texans O is pretty good no doubt, but Will Fuller coming back and catching a much higher % of his passes than normal (should be a slight regression backwards there) and Watson is still a rookie QB. I'm impressed (and worried as a Titans fan) but a lot of that offense they are producing came against 1) one of the top 3 worst defenses at NE 2) in a run-up game against the Titans, 21 points of their 57ish points was on defense and 3) when the game was basically out of reach for them anyway against the Chefs who just wanted to get out with a win.

That being said, HOU -10 against the Browns seems like a solid play.
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10-10-2017 , 12:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rainmaker1855
Texans O is pretty good no doubt, but Will Fuller coming back and catching a much higher % of his passes than normal (should be a slight regression backwards there) and Watson is still a rookie QB. I'm impressed (and worried as a Titans fan) but a lot of that offense they are producing came against 1) one of the top 3 worst defenses at NE 2) in a run-up game against the Titans, 21 points of their 57ish points was on defense and 3) when the game was basically out of reach for them anyway against the Chefs who just wanted to get out with a win.

That being said, HOU -10 against the Browns seems like a solid play.
Even with Kevin Hogan playing the entire 2nd half at a QBR of 85.3?
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10-10-2017 , 04:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fansrajoke
It's funny that you ask about that game. I have 3 games that I can't seem to figure them out. Cle@hou, pit@kc and nyg@den.
I loveeeee the first two. Denver should be fine too because giants cant score more than 17 points and isnt OBJ out?
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10-10-2017 , 05:05 PM
Haha happy hunting then. LAR is supposed to be a better team vs Jac right? If they're then we have another fked up line this week lol
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10-10-2017 , 05:15 PM
jags inconsistent imo; betting rams medium.
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10-10-2017 , 05:32 PM
Last two bets spreads beat me by half a point : (

Had nice win on Australia t20 cricket so going on the Panthers -3 so at least can't lose by half a point again

Really looking forward to the game looks good.
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10-10-2017 , 05:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Singasong2222
Last two bets spreads beat me by half a point : (

Had nice win on Australia t20 cricket so going on the Panthers -3 so at least can't lose by half a point again

Really looking forward to the game looks good.
I have the biggest bet/payout of my life on carolina, fingers crossed.
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10-10-2017 , 05:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fansrajoke
Haha happy hunting then. LAR is supposed to be a better team vs Jac right? If they're then we have another fked up line this week lol
are you referring to the BUF:CIN line? i was trying to warn ppl that CIN's front 7 (and especially the LB corps is very very good). in fact, Taylor recorded his worst QBR since becoming "the man" under center in BUF (and that's w/ both of CIN's starting CBs being knocked out of the game).

re: JAX... (1) their defense is obv elite and (2) LAR is #25 FPI (right behind CIN). in other words, i would've backed the Brinks truck up (to back JAX) if i were in a position to have the "Pick" opening line that some sharps jumped on when it was released.
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10-10-2017 , 05:51 PM
I agree but most bettors are average Joe and most of them still remember Rams as a better team based on the past few seasons. So in that aspect the line is still off. And like I said results can be both ways (Bengals won and Dallas lost.)
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10-10-2017 , 06:34 PM
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Originally Posted by ChameleoOoN
I have the biggest bet/payout of my life on carolina, fingers crossed.
Why this particular game?
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10-10-2017 , 06:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
are you referring to the BUF:CIN line? i was trying to warn ppl that CIN's front 7 (and especially the LB corps is very very good). in fact, Taylor recorded his worst QBR since becoming "the man" under center in BUF (and that's w/ both of CIN's starting CBs being knocked out of the game).
That game was a true pickem, and it played out just like one. Buf plus the points was the correct play.
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10-10-2017 , 10:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by frommagio
That game was a true pickem, and it played out just like one. Buf plus the points was the correct play.
meh, the play was not to play that game.
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10-10-2017 , 10:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by snuadg
Why this particular game?
nothing stat worthy to back it, mainly because I had a nice win on chiefs game and im visiting charlotte for the week and thought it would be fun to have a large bet and enjoy the fun on a sports bar
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10-11-2017 , 09:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by frommagio
That game was a true pickem, and it played out just like one. Buf plus the points was the correct play.
Not exactly. They were +3 on turnovers until the last desperate possession plus they got set up on the 12 by a punt return. That offense is a grease fire. It turns out relying on a defensive TD and multiple 50+ yd FG's is not a winning formula.
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10-11-2017 , 09:44 AM
Atlanta otoh is -3 on TO's every week giving up defensive TD's and the only takeaway I hear is "they shoulda lost in Detroit". Lol ok. I bought the SB hangover thing before the season but they appear to be very good again.
Miami was my favorite play last week [figured they'd have been favored by a TD at home vs Cassel 2 weeks earlier] and that was very lucky to cash. Phantom OPI negates a Titans TD and a weird fumble return 2 plays later. No reason for that offense to be that bad but it's more than a 2 game blip now.
At first I thought this line was high but it looks like a 31-7 game if there ever was one.

49ers +11.5 looks good too. Lot of points for a reasonably well coached team that plays hard vs a Cousins team with a mediocre HFA.
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