Winning bad beat for sure, def nice humble brag to have that much in bitcoin though.

won this and pushed the Bucs +5. Couple more and back to even

Holy crap.

i know ugh

YTD: 2-3

I like big cats this week. Jac +8.5 seems good as well but not sure of that game.

Panthers +3
Bengals -3

JAX +5 (1st half line)
LAR pick

I was playing poker on pokerstars and without shopping around just took betstars line which was wp poker stars wp (

did you add the second team just so you could refer to this bet as the "big cats"?

im with you, I already bet cinci and leaning for Jax or using them in a tease.

Lol no, my picks are car +3, Cin -3 and I'm leaning towards Jac +8.5 but I'm not sure of the Jac pick. Then suddenly I realized I have most of the big cats lol except lions obviously

I'm taking Tennessee ml -122 as my first weekend play. Rough week let hope the weekend goes well. Wash was stupid, Tb missing a field goal to cover 1h line was also stupid.

Going to get on kc at about evens later tonight probably and considering caro too. I'm not seeing caro 3 anywhere though so will probably pass unless I can find a book that has the 3. I like the bills 3 too but worried that it's a trap. Guess I'll sweat Mariota news hard then figure the rest out.

I like the Bills+3. I can't see why they're not pickem at minimum.

I think the line is right for a few of reasons:

(1) Part of it is CIN LB Vontaze Burfict returning last week from his 3-game suspension. Burfict is the defense's second best player (Atkins) and an elite LB. CIN's LB corps is elite. Also, the defense is 100% healthy now with safety George Iloka back for his second straight game (Pacman and Iloka are the Bengals' most important secondary players). CIN really missed Iloka in the opening 2 losses.

(2) The OC change after week 2 is working out. CIN has played GB (Dalton 53 QBR) and CLE (Dalton 91 QBR) since the change and Dalton has an 81% completion % and a 6/0 TD/INT ratio. I know, I know CLE sux, but Dalton looked solid in Lambeau Field too.

(3) BUF lost target Jordan Matthews through at least week 7 with a thumb injury. Taylor already has a limited amout of targets to throw to. This makes the situation measurably worse.

(4) CIN special teams is a higher rated unit.

I'm not saying take CIN; after all BUF has a QB edge. But I am saying look deeper into the situation to understand why a line might not fit your preconceived narrative.

well done, what you analyzed is what I need to learn and improve on to become more profitable. thanks.

Added Dallas ML -133 and Oakland -3 +100. Even if Carr is out Baltimore's offense is garbage. If he's in it's a steal obv. Hopefully I get at least one of Mariota or Carr playing lots of sweating QBs this week as i'll beat close if they're in or probably won't if they're out in both games.

Added Rams ML -111 and Chiefs ML -105 as well. Yeah Houston are a good home team but I think the line is an overreaction to last week and I think KC should be more like -2.5. Rams I think i've slept on a bit and i've been waiting on a good spot to fade Seattle because I think they're overrated and I may have underrated the Rams so far this season a bit.

doesn't look like Carr is even a possibility from these links (but you never know i suppose):

https://www.silverandblackpride.com/...ad-of-schedule

http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/9349/derek-carr

My problem is that I know all of these things, and the line still looks off to me. It's priced as if they're equal teams on a neutral field, but it seems to me that Buffalo is on a completely different level.

Yeah Carr seems unlikely given the news out there but apparently he wants to play so you never know, the line's built as if he's out obv.

Added Caro +3.5 -147, was going to take the 2.5 but decided to pay to cross the 3. On paper these teams seem pretty even so far this year but I can't help but think that Detroit have been over performing even though they were arguably robbed in their only loss.

Bills is very tempting now that it's out to 3.5 but the line seems to be moving the other way so i'll wait until closer to game time. Are Cinci really the better team on a neutral field with a 3.5 line? They had a great game against the Packers which they still lost and crushed the Browns, meanwhile Buffalo have taken out Atlanta and and Denver and haven't conceded more than 17 pts all season.

Ok I talked myself into taking it now, added Bills +3.5 -113. This really feels like a 2.5 line not a 3.5 line.

Cincy had a great first half against the Packers, helped by a pick-six with a 75 yard return. Then GB just shut them down.

Good bet on the Bills. They should win outright.

YTD: 11-6-1 +5.55

MIN -3 -105

Teaser:
PIT -1.5/GB +9

Cincinnati -3
Cleveland pk
Carolina +2.5
Indianapolis -1.5
Baltimore +3

Lol I totally understand. There are always games with odds like this. It's not just football; basketball, baseball and hockey are the same.

Well it's driving me crazy! Whatever, I've got my money down, so lets see what happens.

I'm also going to put an equal bet on the money line, Buf+150.

Added Mia +2.5 at evens to middle my Tennessee bet huge swing to Mia which I took as confirmation mariotas out. Also took nyg +3.5 -250. As bad as they've been I just don't see the chargers getting a big away win in ny.

I think those odds are for this purpose. Teasing you to the point that you're pissed off and just swing it. Although results can be both ways that I've seen in mlb.