Quote:
Originally Posted by frommagio
I like the Bills+3. I can't see why they're not pickem at minimum.
I think the line is right for a few of reasons:
(1) Part of it is CIN LB Vontaze Burfict returning last week from his 3-game suspension. Burfict is the defense's second best player (Atkins) and an elite LB. CIN's LB corps is elite. Also, the defense is 100% healthy now with safety George Iloka back for his second straight game (Pacman and Iloka are the Bengals' most important secondary players). CIN really missed Iloka in the opening 2 losses.
(2) The OC change after week 2 is working out. CIN has played GB (Dalton 53 QBR) and CLE (Dalton 91 QBR) since the change and Dalton has an 81% completion % and a 6/0 TD/INT ratio. I know, I know CLE sux, but Dalton looked solid in Lambeau Field too.
(3) BUF lost target Jordan Matthews through at least week 7 with a thumb injury. Taylor already has a limited amout of targets to throw to. This makes the situation measurably worse.
(4) CIN special teams is a higher rated unit.
I'm not saying take CIN; after all BUF has a QB edge. But I am saying look deeper into the situation to understand why a line might not fit your preconceived narrative.