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2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

10-02-2017 , 03:59 PM
early leans

take BUF (+3) at CIN
take NYJ (+2) at CLE
take GB (+2.5) at DAL (or) GB ml
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10-02-2017 , 05:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by snuadg
+2.539U YTD

Not really seeing much I like this week.

Indianapolis Colts +13 -115 LOSS
Bet 0.25U to win 0.2175U

Pittsburgh Steelers ML -165 WIN
Bet 0.5U to win 0.303U

Jacksonville Jaguars -2½ -143 LOSS
Bet 0.5U to win 0.3495U

Parlay: LOSS
Buffalo Bills +330
Indianapolis Colts +635
Bet 0.25U to win 7.651U
Quote:
Originally Posted by snuadg
Parlay $100.00 $102.00 WIN
Seattle Seahawks -725
Denver Broncos -3 -129
Parlay $100.00 $122.20 LOSS
Seattle Seahawks -725
New York Giants/Tampa Bay Buccaneers under 46 -105
Parlay $100.00 $117.20 LOSS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2½ -110
Seattle Seahawks -725
Quote:
Originally Posted by snuadg
Teaser $115.00 $100.00 LOSS
Indianapolis Colts +18
Kansas City Chiefs -1

Teaser $115.00 $100.00 PENDING
Seattle Seahawks -6
Kansas City Chiefs -1

Parlay $300.00 $148.30 PENDING
Seattle Seahawks -900
Kansas City Chiefs -290
+0.777 YTD

...and FPS strikes once again. Can still (just about) break even for the week if the Chiefs win, otherwise we'll be in the red for the first time this season. Let's go Chiefs!
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10-02-2017 , 06:23 PM
Trying to decide which I like more out of Was +7 or KC u28.5, I was really impressed by Washington's defense last week and i've been underestimating them all season too.
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10-02-2017 , 07:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nonfiction
I hate these type of stats, but skins have been historically awful on MNF, something like 3-13 in the last decade. Obv that goes through a few administrations, but looking on pro football reference, they are 1-4 under Gruden, with the only win in overtime in 2014 against the Cowboys. To be fair, they did play a lot of good teams in those games, cowboys 2x, panthers, steelers, seahawks, so they were likely underdogs in ~every game.

They are also terrible on TNF, 0-3 under Gruden.

Of course this not vs the spread, but seems like Cousins always ****s the bed under the national spotlight.
This is why I took Raiders -3 last Sunday night, obv not MNF but also a prime time game and that was quite possibly the worst bet I've ever made in my life lol. But if you were barely leaning Chiefs before, that would be something to think about, albeit with a grain of salt.

Lets be honest, this might be the first actual defense Chiefs are facing this year; a banged up Pats team who lost key pieces in game, Philly D can be good on the front end but definite deficiencies in the secondary, a Chargers D that is talented but after playing a decent game always has a tendency to melt down and give up those huge plays. Chiefs -7 seems like too many points, but it's not out of the range of possibilities, idk this spread is tough.
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10-02-2017 , 07:15 PM
KC Team Total u28.5 -125
Wash +7 -111

I guess today we find out whether the Skins defense is legit.
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10-02-2017 , 07:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by colt45ss
vegas going to get even this year
Pats crushed them against the spread last year
can you believe pats giving 4 on the road playing back to back teams with big wideouts
wish I was in vegas this is a gift take the bucs quick before the line moves
even Bill cant fix this broken d on a short week
Spot on well done sir.
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10-02-2017 , 08:12 PM
YTD 10-6

Chiefs here almost seems like a sucker bet. It goes against all my betting principles to take them in this spot, even though I do think Reid does a fine job and could prove me wrong.

Taking Redskins +7
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10-02-2017 , 08:20 PM
I think if you like the Skins +7 and if they're gonna cover it's gonna hit the Under too. As they're gonna have to get their running game going, dominate time of possession to keep Hunt, Hill etc off the field. Might do a Skins +7/U48 play but not sure.
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10-02-2017 , 10:03 PM
Good start to that, GL all
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10-02-2017 , 10:51 PM
what to do thursday? im so confused
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10-02-2017 , 11:49 PM
Talk about bad beats.

10-7.
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10-02-2017 , 11:50 PM
That's gotta be one of the worst back door covers I've ever seen. And if ya'll r pissed about WAS +7, I had a WAS +7 and U48 parlay that got ruined on both ends cuz of that. +250 instead of -110 WTF

Last edited by ProfBets; 10-02-2017 at 11:57 PM.
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10-02-2017 , 11:51 PM
so KC and over was the goods huh.

wacky stuff man. wacky stuff.
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10-02-2017 , 11:52 PM
Well that's one of the most hilarious ways to go from a 2/2 scoop to a 0/2 loss

I mean given what we saw in the game i'm very happy with both bets, just a gross way to lose.
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10-02-2017 , 11:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
so KC and over was the goods huh.

wacky stuff man. wacky stuff.
indeed
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10-03-2017 , 12:02 AM
reminds me of the Aaron Rodgers hail mary vs Lions.. dirty losing both ends on a.000001 outer
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10-03-2017 , 01:05 AM
Definitely not a. 00001 outer given the incentives and that play would be a lateral-fest and good chance it went backwards. I thought it was more like 10%, although thought it would happen on the kickoff.

Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk
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10-03-2017 , 02:09 AM
**** hope u hedged some. And to lose that last leg in that fashion is just wow. K well played sir.
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10-03-2017 , 11:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ARCANGEL0
Sorry about last night
I just realized that the line was very well crafted actually.
I would have still bet on yes interception though.

8-3 itt

Pitt -3
NYG +3.5
LAC -1


glgl
10-4 itt
I should prolly stick to nfl only


glgl
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10-03-2017 , 11:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FrankyRizzo
chiefs going to blow them out tonight
i had chiefs -7, -6.5, live bet pickem, live bet +3

chiefs year
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10-03-2017 , 02:33 PM
@OMGmartingale please tell us you got a hedge in there before the last leg kicked-off
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10-03-2017 , 09:37 PM
what is the deal with this trappy bills +3 vs bengals? Shouldnt bills be -3 or higher? sketchy line.

also I dont know if carr is even playing because of his injury sunday but if he is raiders vs ravens seem like the best lock of the weekend
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10-03-2017 , 10:07 PM
Carr is out.
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10-03-2017 , 10:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChameleoOoN
what is the deal with this trappy bills +3 vs bengals? Shouldnt bills be -3 or higher? sketchy line.
I don't know about -3 but when Bovada is shading the Bills line by 10-15c the world has gotten weird.
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