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2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

09-30-2017 , 06:08 PM
From Week 3:
Quote:
Originally Posted by la2sb91
YTD: 6-4 +2.75

TEN -2.5 W

K Hunt Over 107.5 Rushing+Rec Yds -115 W

Teasers:
GB -3/PHI -0.5 PUSH
GB -3/AZ +9.5 L
YTD: 8-5-1 +3.65
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09-30-2017 , 09:11 PM
Crabtree status just downgraded to doubtful. An already tough road matchup for Carr just got a lot tougher.

DEN -3 -130

Teaser:
NE -3/NYG +9
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09-30-2017 , 11:33 PM
First nfl post for me.

Miami+3
Dallas -6.5
Atlanta -8
Cincinnati -3
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10-01-2017 , 01:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
Flacco is #31 QBR and #27 DVOA (he was #19 last yr and #25 in 2015). BAL's o-line is #15 run blocking/#10 pass protection, so the o-line is doing a decent job. BAL is not getting production from the QB spot. if Flacco starts slow on Sunday on the first 1-3 drives, he will be pulled imo (Mallett is the backup QB).

all this being said, BAL has one of the worst player injuries situation in the league.
As ****ty as Flacco is, and trust me as a season ticket holder I hate him more than anyone, his job security is along the same level as Brees. Organization gives him every benefit of the doubt, and handle him with kids gloves. On top of that mallet looked pathetic in August practice and the preseason. If the fans allowed it they would have replaced him with kaepernick. So he won't be benched, but that will not stop him from looking awful. Losing yanda is as big a loss as any olineman in football. Last week we started one first rounder at left tackle, a sixth rounder, and three I drafted lineman.
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10-01-2017 , 01:40 AM
Sea ML -714
Browns +3.5 +100
Giants +3 -116
Caro +9 -109

Last edited by SwoopAE; 10-01-2017 at 01:47 AM.
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10-01-2017 , 01:53 AM
Seems like the whole world loves the Browns and the Dolphins tomorrow.
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10-01-2017 , 02:03 AM
Thinking about Steelers, Saints and Titans too but haven't pulled the trigger on any of them yet. Might end up arbing my Seattle bet if the line moves much further too I only took it because it's offmarket vs Matchbook they're an overrated team even though they're going to win this week.

Last edited by SwoopAE; 10-01-2017 at 02:10 AM.
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10-01-2017 , 03:10 AM
Saints/Dolphins o50.5 -109
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10-01-2017 , 03:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kl352
New around here. I guess my only contribution is that I heard on radio that by Thursday night, CG sportsbook had taken only 10 dollars on the Jets. Thought that was hilarious. Although lots of sharp money came in on Jets this morning.

Seahawks +2.5 unit
Broncos -3.5.5 unit
Broncos/Bills under 39.5.5 unit
Bucs -11 unit
Falcons -31 unit
Browns -1.5 unit
5 team teaser1 unit to win 5 units
Steelers -1, Broncos +2.5, Patriots -8
Seahawks +8, Packers -1

So yeah. Went 1-6 last week (added another unit on packers) and was bailed out by falcons or else would have been a sweep. so if this keeps up. Bet against me.

Packers -7 vs bears WIN
Saints -3 vs dolphins 1 unit
Jags -3 vs jets 1 unit

Prob dumb to take two road favorites (ish) but I think the saints offensive still has potency and can outscore jay cutler. They got owned by patriots when patriots were coming off a loss. Also jets won a game. I feel a letdown coming and I believe in jags defense. They were solid for two and a half quarters against titans until bortles self destructed.

Also have a parlay for ****s and giggles on saints jags rams browns and ravens. Going with the home dogs of afc north






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10-01-2017 , 03:36 AM
On Wed, the westgate sportsbook director said there was not a single moneyline bet on the raiders. Very interesting considering they are the most popular bet team in Vegas.

There is also an unusual amount of support for the road dog Rams against the Cowboys (obv a massive recency bias).
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10-01-2017 , 04:04 AM
Bucs -3 1u
Jets +3.5 .5u
ML NE/DAL/ATL 2u

won my first 3u bet of the year on Colo +7.5 tonight, need my NFL bets to catch up to my college bets.
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10-01-2017 , 04:35 AM
Okay here goes.

BAL straight up win at +140 15 to win 21
NE-9 33 to win 30
ATL-8 33 to win 30
CLE straight up win at +155 15 to win 23.25
TEN-3 @ +110 30 to win 33
NYJ+3.5 @-115 34.5 to win 30
DEN-3 @-120 36 to win 30

And because i'm a sucker; parlay of ML for; ATL, NE, AZ, SEA for 20 to win 24.78
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10-01-2017 , 08:13 AM
Added Saints -172 and Titans -2.5 -111
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10-01-2017 , 08:41 AM
Eagles +2.5 -109
49ers +7 -118
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10-01-2017 , 09:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Saints/Dolphins o50.5 -109
they were expecting rain during the majority of the game, but it looks like no rain now and kickoff coming up shortly (and the report gives only about a 10% chance of rain during the game). this should help your over bet imo.
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10-01-2017 , 09:22 AM
YTD 9-4

Dolphins +4
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10-01-2017 , 09:48 AM
Added Dallas -2.5 -204 and Denver ML -164

Was going to take Jets +3.5 earlier but talked myself out of it
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10-01-2017 , 10:29 AM
Feels a bit square after liking Jets + earlier but talked myself into Jax ML -175

So much for my over on the early game, although I do think the Saints should get the job done still
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10-01-2017 , 10:40 AM
This might be the worst game in the history of the NFL.
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10-01-2017 , 10:41 AM
Rams +280
Giants +3.5 -105
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10-01-2017 , 10:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
This might be the worst game in the history of the NFL.
Texans/Bengals was worse... I think? Pretty lol a Saints game could have a 0-0 half
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10-01-2017 , 11:03 AM
ML on Miami 1st half was probably too much for them to pass it up lol this game might go to OT. What a show!
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10-01-2017 , 11:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mihkel05
Rams +280
Giants +3.5 -105
Is this your first time posting picks? I've never seen one before.
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10-01-2017 , 11:58 AM
where you find giants +3.5?
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10-01-2017 , 12:25 PM
Steelers -167
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