2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread - Page 15 - Sports Betting

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09-27-2017 , 05:01 PM

#351

FrankyRizzo

adept

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 971

Quote:

Originally Posted by thebayareabeast

I was looking at this one last night.

would you buy seattle up a point or point and half?

Quote

09-27-2017 , 05:03 PM

#352

thebayareabeast

banned

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 4,051

I think you meant Indianapolis.

If you get them at 13 then personally yes I would buy the extra point and make it 14.

Quote

09-27-2017 , 06:02 PM

#353

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,924

looking at:

NO -2.5 (@ MIA): Brees v Cutler... giving up less than a FG. Yes please.

JAX ml (@ NYJ): this might be a tight game, but JAX D will be the difference.

PIT -2.5 (@ BAL): there's a better than 50/50 chance that Mallett will take more snaps in this game than Flacco imo.

Quote

09-27-2017 , 08:33 PM

#354

Balbomb

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,489

Quote:

Originally Posted by ligastar

what makes you say that about Mallett?

Quote

09-27-2017 , 08:52 PM

#355

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,924

Quote:

Originally Posted by Balbomb

what makes you say that about Mallett?

Flacco is #31 QBR and #27 DVOA (he was #19 last yr and #25 in 2015). BAL's o-line is #15 run blocking/#10 pass protection, so the o-line is doing a decent job. BAL is not getting production from the QB spot. if Flacco starts slow on Sunday on the first 1-3 drives, he will be pulled imo (Mallett is the backup QB).

all this being said, BAL has one of the worst player injuries situation in the league.

Quote

09-27-2017 , 08:57 PM

#356

Balbomb

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,489

Quote:

Originally Posted by ligastar

I think too many ppl sleep on the Bills b/c they overlook how steady/good Tyrod Taylor is. He's currently #9 in Total QBR, finished last year at #9, and finished 2015 at #8. I think BUF might be in this game late.

Agreed, a couple of years ago I had an extremely large bet for me on bills under wins. Tyrod had been Ravens backup for years and I saw nothing in preseason to suggest he would be good, or even win the job. That whole year was a huge sweat for me, and I only won because he didnt play a game in London. Its amazing to me the Bills don't love him, and bad qb teams didnt pay him this offseason

Quote

09-28-2017 , 02:10 PM

#357

ARCANGEL0

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2016 Posts: 2,799

I am 8-2 itt

Here i am releasing my pick before the line is up

Will Aaron Rodgers make an interception? > YES

Line is YES +110
Should be -120 imo
Have fun with the free $$$

glgl

Quote

09-28-2017 , 02:15 PM

#358

Nonfiction

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 12,498

so far:
Bills +8 -110
Titans -1 -110
Martellus Bennett u39.5 receiving yards -125

Quote

09-28-2017 , 02:17 PM

#359

rainmaker1855

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,031

I like GB 1h -4 and 1h o 22 for TNF tonight

Quote

09-28-2017 , 02:39 PM

#360

ARCANGEL0

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2016 Posts: 2,799

STRAIGHT BET Sep 28 MU [99057] A RODGERS (GB) YES INT +130 (A RODGERS (GB) YES INT vrs A RODGERS (GB) NO INT) x USD / x USD

haha

glgl

Quote

09-28-2017 , 03:40 PM

#361

Singasong2222

banned

Join Date: Oct 2016 Posts: 1,243

Green bay packers @ home against bears seems meh -7.5

Think if bears never had good game last time out everyone would be on packers.

Saying that horrible spread game and only backing packers so have action in game.

Quote

09-28-2017 , 06:30 PM

#362

rafiki

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 40,112

Cohen o32.5 y receiving -125

Quote

09-28-2017 , 07:10 PM

#363

Singasong2222

banned

Join Date: Oct 2016 Posts: 1,243

Quote:

Originally Posted by Singasong2222

Changed it to bears first score and last to score @ 9/2 oddsboost betfair

And bears +0.5 4th quarter if they are down hope get garbage time scores bears.

Quote

09-28-2017 , 08:03 PM

#364

Bagliani

enthusiast

Join Date: Sep 2017 Posts: 93

bears money line 1st half +203

Quote

09-28-2017 , 08:05 PM

#365

la2sb91

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 334

I don't like the fact that GB will be playing tonight with their starting offensive tackles inactive due to injuries. But at the end of the day Ill take Packers at home against the Bears everytime

Teasers:
GB -1/DAL -0.5
GB -1/BAL +9
GB -1/ATL -2.5
GB -1/AZ -1

Quote

09-29-2017 , 12:27 AM

#366

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

GB -1/O 38.5 Teaser was pretty sweat free

Quote

09-29-2017 , 10:07 AM

#367

rainmaker1855

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,031

I love straight chalk nights like last night. Great night with 1h/g bets on GB and ovies. Too bad Bennett got tripped up at the 5 going in and I missed my first to score prop at +750, but still glad GB held it together wire to wire.

Quote

09-29-2017 , 03:49 PM

#368

ARCANGEL0

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2016 Posts: 2,799

Sorry about last night
I just realized that the line was very well crafted actually.
I would have still bet on yes interception though.

8-3 itt

Pitt -3
NYG +3.5
LAC -1

glgl

Quote

09-30-2017 , 06:42 AM

#369

daonna

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 120

Week 4.

Raiders +3.0 +100*
Dolphins +3.0 +102*
Texans +2.5 +102*
Steelers @ Ravens U42 +101*
*Pinnacle
(-400)

YTD 0-2-1 (-208)

Quote

09-30-2017 , 11:17 AM

#370

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Bleh. Got banned for a week and had my best week of NFL ever. I know that sounds dubious but I have a witness in the thread.

Sigh

Quote

09-30-2017 , 11:57 AM

#371

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,924

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

Bleh. Got banned for a week and had my best week of NFL ever. I know that sounds dubious but I have a witness in the thread.

Sigh

banned from your book or 2+2? if an online book, could you tell us the book?

Quote

09-30-2017 , 02:23 PM

#372

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

From 2+2. Lol, why the interest in a book?

Quote

09-30-2017 , 03:17 PM

#373

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,924

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

From 2+2. Lol, why the interest in a book?

i've been researching books b/c i may open an account w/ one soon. i wanted to know if they froze your action b/c of betting success or something like that.

Quote

09-30-2017 , 03:40 PM

#374

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Oh, I hear ya. Yeah I only use locals currently. No one has ever frozen me. I think that has something to do with me never having a winning year.

Quote

09-30-2017 , 05:15 PM

#375

snuadg

centurion

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 126

Quote:

Originally Posted by snuadg

+1.600U entering this week.

1U = $200.

Had Rams ML for TNF, $200 to win $153.80 (-130).
YTD as of 9:00 AM this morning is +2.369U

Here are the rest of my bets for this week:

Sep 24, 2017 Teaser $20.00 $84.00 LOSS
Pittsburgh Steelers -1 for Game
Denver Broncos +3 for Game
Philadelphia Eagles pk for Game
Kansas City Chiefs +3 for Game
Green Bay Packers -1½ for Game
Sep 24, 2017 Teaser $10.00 $500.00 LOSS
Baltimore Ravens +3 for Game
Cleveland Browns +4½ for Game
Pittsburgh Steelers -1 for Game
Miami Dolphins pk for Game
Denver Broncos +3 for Game
Houston Texans +20 for Game
New Orleans Saints +11½ for Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3½ for Game
Atlanta Falcons +3 for Game
Philadelphia Eagles pk for Game
Kansas City Chiefs +3 for Game
Green Bay Packers -1½ for Game
Sep 23, 2017 Teaser $206.00 $300.00 LOSS
Pittsburgh Steelers -½ for Game
Denver Broncos +3½ for Game
Philadelphia Eagles +½ for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $120.00 $100.00 WIN
[/B] New Orleans Saints +12 for Game
Kansas City Chiefs +3½ for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $110.00 $100.00 WIN
Houston Texans +19 for Game
New Orleans Saints +11½ for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $120.00 $100.00 WIN
Houston Texans +19½ for Game
Kansas City Chiefs +3½ for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $115.00 $100.00 WIN
Green Bay Packers -2½ for Game
New Orleans Saints +11½ for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $125.00 $100.00 WIN
Kansas City Chiefs +3½ for Game
Green Bay Packers -2 for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $115.00 $100.00 WIN
Green Bay Packers -2½ for Game
Houston Texans +19 for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $110.00 $100.00 WIN
Cleveland Browns +5 for Game
New Orleans Saints +11½ for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $120.00 $100.00 WIN
Football - 463 Cleveland Browns +5½ for Game
Football - 483 Kansas City Chiefs +3½ for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $110.00 $100.00 WIN
Cleveland Browns +5 for Game
Houston Texans +19 for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $115.00 $100.00 WIN
Cleveland Browns +5 for Game
Green Bay Packers -2½ for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $130.00 $100.00 LOSS
Baltimore Ravens +3½ for Game
New Orleans Saints +12½ for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $130.00 $100.00 LOSS
Baltimore Ravens +3½ for Game
Kansas City Chiefs +4 for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $130.00 $100.00 LOSS
Baltimore Ravens +3½ for Game
Houston Texans +20 for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $135.00 $100.00 LOSS
Baltimore Ravens +3½ for Game
Green Bay Packers -1½ for Game
Sep 19, 2017 Teaser $130.00 $100.00 LOSS
Baltimore Ravens +3½ for Game
Cleveland Browns +6 for Game
Sep 18, 2017 Money Line $200.00 $125.00 WIN
Kansas City Chiefs -160 for Game
Sep 18, 2017 Money Line $200.00 $125.00 LOSS
Denver Broncos -160 for Game

+2.539U YTD

Not really seeing much I like this week.

Indianapolis Colts +13 -115
Bet 0.25U to win 0.2175U

Pittsburgh Steelers ML -165
Bet 0.5U to win 0.303U

Jacksonville Jaguars -2½ -143
Bet 0.5U to win 0.3495U

Parlay:
Buffalo Bills +330
Indianapolis Colts +635
Bet 0.25U to win 7.651U

Quote

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