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2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

09-24-2017 , 04:26 PM
Raiders -156

Sick escape on the Falcons game.
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09-24-2017 , 04:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheStuntman
Man, good thing I didn't wake up early enough to bet on the BAL vs JAX game. Where the hell did that game come from?
JAX has an elite defense.
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09-24-2017 , 04:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
5dimes, bovada are the bulk, once in a blue moon sports interaction has a better line.
i see marketing on some sites that says that 5dimes offersNCAA/NFL football sides and totals wagers where you lay only -105 (instead of -110). i've had someone w/ an acct at 5dimes verify this. does bovada also offer -105?
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09-24-2017 , 05:27 PM
oooof I'm gonna have a terrible week if the INT return for 75 yards counts as longest score. No way Packers get longer.

And yes, they do Ligastar
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09-24-2017 , 05:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aqb
Leaning

3-team parlay pays 6 to 1:
KC -3
DEN -3
OAK -3

4-teaser pays 2.5 to 1:
Alt/DET over 44
GB -1.5
CAR PK
Chi +13.5
Bricked.

This week is full of upsets and surprises.
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09-24-2017 , 06:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
oooof I'm gonna have a terrible week if the INT return for 75 yards counts as longest score. No way Packers get longer.

And yes, they do Ligastar
ty sir. gl w/ the rest of your week 3 NFL action rafiki.
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09-24-2017 , 08:49 PM
Wow every accumulator I have done is waiting on redskins +3

Got biggest win ever as got 4 5 team parlays and all got redskins last leg

Has bad day on other sport so kept add more parlays on late nfl games (UK)

Should hedge but I never hedge , instead I just add more to last leg

Feels like a loss to me when hedge , which is greedy but sure feels good when bink

Followed my head for every game but redskins , head screams Oakland but the skins seem to be calling me to either a hit or bust

No way will I be able watch the game am going to bed and get the score at breakfasts

If win watch game lots times if lose unfeeling sick when ever I hear the name redskins

Gl
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09-24-2017 , 11:26 PM
I have no idea what that was from Oakland... and Baltimore for that matter this week. Oakland are lucky to only be down 17. Annoyingly in reality I was slightly bigger on Baltimore and Oakland though. Nice run in the middle inbetween a bad start and finish.

21-16-2 +1.76u heading into today

Packers -6.5 -114 -1.14u
Chargers +3 -114 -1.14u
Raiders -156 L -1.56u
Ravens -161 -1.61u
Broncos -2.5 -137 -1.37u
Vikings 1H +0.5 -109 +1u
Vikings +1.5 -109 +1u
Bears +7.5 -119 +1u
Jets +6.5 -109 +1u
Giants +6 -114 +1u
Texans 13.5 -103 +1u
Falcons -154 +1u
Bengals +7.5 -115 +1u

29-21-2 +2.92u
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09-25-2017 , 09:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Singasong2222
Wow every accumulator I have done is waiting on redskins +3

Got biggest win ever as got 4 5 team parlays and all got redskins last leg

Has bad day on other sport so kept add more parlays on late nfl games (UK)

Should hedge but I never hedge , instead I just add more to last leg

Feels like a loss to me when hedge , which is greedy but sure feels good when bink

Followed my head for every game but redskins , head screams Oakland but the skins seem to be calling me to either a hit or bust

No way will I be able watch the game am going to bed and get the score at breakfasts

If win watch game lots times if lose unfeeling sick when ever I hear the name redskins

Gl
Had falcons in all parlays so that was lucky

Did hedge one parlay took falcons out and added lions but would lost as done opposite all other picks

Run God like on not lost expect for a couple of parlays that were just be plays anyway

Gone cardinals as seems easy pick at home getting 3 ( am on ml) against a banged up cowboys offence line still good , no faith in them after Denver display they seemed really flat.

Last edited by Singasong2222; 09-25-2017 at 09:31 AM.
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09-25-2017 , 02:42 PM
man, none of us wanna step out on a ledge after yesterday haha (felt fortunate to go 3-2 but TEN came through on my big play of the day as well)

tonight my mind is telling me to stay away and maybe look out for an IG point to jump in: but I'd lean over tonight with DAL getting up and then holding off on a flurry of late scores by ARI.
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09-25-2017 , 03:15 PM
Currently down 4.5 units from that debacle yesterday, but adding these (have the sack prop which looks like I got it in good so far):

Witten o48.5 y receiving -115
CJ2K o52.5 total yards -120
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09-25-2017 , 04:31 PM
First time posting in this but figured I will try to remember to and help keep track of my picks

after a weird sunday with a lot of weird results imo I wouldn't be surprised to see Arizona win this game by 100 =P

but I have to put my money on cowboys at -3 since I feel they are an all around better team

going to go ahead and post some early leans for sunday and see how the lines develop by the time locking them in actually comes closer..

TNF - bears +7 they always seem to play GB pretty close from what I remember and always lead towards big underdogs on primetime games.

saints -3 over Miami (slam dunk imo) sucks its in London..

falcons -8 or ML vs bills not really sure... bills kinda surprised me with Denver and I don't like that high of a spread but I'm not sure if bills can limit ATLs offense for all 4 quarters.

bengs -3 over browns. Don't think I'd ever put money on browns and not much of it will ever go on bengs lol but AJ green should hopefully be able to outscore them.

cowboys vs rams similar to ATL game.. spread is currently sitting -7 which I think is fine and hopefully drops slightly more but ML being much safer..

lions and Vikings game isn't posted yet but very interesting game.. Lions looking really solid so far and idk when Bradford will be back for Vikings. It surprised me how much they beat TB by and the numbers keenum had because I thought he was a weak QB.. but idk if Vikings D can stop Stafford the entire game. Game might end up being a 17-14 type of game which I think may favor Vikings at home slightly. Definitely want input from others on this game and any of them for that fact.

pats -8 over panthers.. typically I dislike spreads over a TD but even if it stays high like this ill probably still take it, just don't see how panthers offense even scores more than 17.

jags -3 over jets (jags to the superbowl) =P

steelers and ravens is a supppppppppper close game.. they alwaaaays play each other super close and both coming from bad losses. I think I lean towards steelers -3 because of the differences in offense. Ravens losing some key guys that are really going to crush their season.

titans -2 over Texans... I havnt had a lot of time to check out either team and was absolutely shocked to see Texans almost stole a win from pats on the road. After Texans decided not to go for it on 4th and inches with 2 minutes left in the game I knew that was a death sentence. Titans seem to be playing well and I'm riding the wagon for a little bit.

arizona ML over 9ers, not sure I trust a -7 with these guys.. and I'm not sure how to take away how well Hoyer played vs rams the other night.

eagles vs chargers
giants vs TB
raiders vs Denver


those 3 seem super close imo and really not sure what I would do if forced to pick. If I HAD to chose... I think I'd pick chargers, giants, Denver.

seattle vs colts -13 is just stupid and I'm sure the ML will be as well.... dare you take colts to cover against this crap seattle offense?

redskins vs chiefs for MNF... redskins are my local team to where I live and they are always dog**** and huge chokers and I'm shocked at the result yesterday. chiefs currently at -7 which is ehhhhh and should drop a little but probably riding them.

I would love input from anyone on my plays and early thoughts and I'm probably a slighttttt winner/breakeven for the most part so keep that in mind while reading my opinions.
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09-25-2017 , 05:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChameleoOoN
falcons -8 or ML vs bills not really sure... bills kinda surprised me with Denver and I don't like that high of a spread but I'm not sure if bills can limit ATLs offense for all 4 quarters.

I would love input from anyone on my plays and early thoughts and I'm probably a slighttttt winner/breakeven for the most part so keep that in mind while reading my opinions.
I think too many ppl sleep on the Bills b/c they overlook how steady/good Tyrod Taylor is. He's currently #9 in Total QBR, finished last year at #9, and finished 2015 at #8. I think BUF might be in this game late.
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09-25-2017 , 10:03 PM
have 2 units on Cowboys +2.5, missed the +6.5 that was up in the first Q. Kind of hoping to get a big middle here if the Cowboys score again.
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09-26-2017 , 04:58 AM
Took the Pats at -8.5. Belichick vs Riverboat Ron is a complete mismatch.
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09-26-2017 , 07:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
let's see if this mediocre start can be overcome. Up 2 units on the year and not excelling in any particular area:

3 units each:

Packers longest TD -190 L
K Hunt o77.5 y rushing -115 W

2 units:

Sproles o57.5 y rushing + receiving -115 L
M Bryant o49.5y receiving -115 L

1 unit each:

Cowboys-Zona total sacks u5 -115 L
L Miller u59.5 y rushing -115 W
Adams o64.5y receiving -115 L
Thompon o3 receptions -115 W
kearse o47.5 y receiving -115 L
Decker o35.5 y receiving -115 W
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
Currently down 4.5 units from that debacle yesterday, but adding these (have the sack prop which looks like I got it in good so far):

Witten o48.5 y receiving -115 L
CJ2K o52.5 total yards -120 L
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
have 2 units on Cowboys +2.5 W, missed the +6.5 that was up in the first Q. Kind of hoping to get a big middle here if the Cowboys score again.


think I gave away close to 6 units this week, down a bit over 4 for the year. Not exactly a roaring start. Sick part being a really liked most of those prop lines. Sack prop I got at 5 moved to 4.5 -150 by game time. Lol that got blown out of the water with the Cowboys new Jesus rusher
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09-26-2017 , 10:40 AM
got crushed last night for 6 units. was originally taking cowgirls up until last minute jumped on cardgirls and took little move live bet +7
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09-26-2017 , 12:54 PM
Colts +13 at Seattle looks like free money
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09-26-2017 , 12:54 PM
Early leans and likes:

TEN - 1.5
NO/MIA o49
NO -3
LAC +1
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09-26-2017 , 02:33 PM
Rams +9 at Dallas looks good
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09-27-2017 , 08:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crazy Joe Davola
Rams +9 at Dallas looks good
Damn never saw that number. Would have loved that!
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09-27-2017 , 09:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crazy Joe Davola
Rams +9 at Dallas looks good
can't imagine too many bets landed on that number. at +6 at many books now.
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09-27-2017 , 11:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crazy Joe Davola
Colts +13 at Seattle looks like free money
I was looking at this one last night.
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09-27-2017 , 11:52 AM
RAS (right angle sports) has lost every week during the first 4 weeks of college football this season. They charged over $3000 for the first 4 weeks lol. RIP ras clients.
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09-27-2017 , 04:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by billybathgate
RAS (right angle sports) has lost every week during the first 4 weeks of college football this season. They charged over $3000 for the first 4 weeks lol. RIP ras clients.
ouch!

makes me curious tho, poll of folks who check the sports thread here who have ever bought picks? I never have personally I know a TON of bettors who have or do.
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