Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

Sports Betting Discussions related to wagering on sporting events.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 09-19-2017, 12:30 PM   #251
ARCANGEL0
veteran
 
Join Date: Jul 2016
Posts: 2,430
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ARCANGEL0 View Post
STRAIGHT BET
[274] TOTAL u45˝
(MINNESOTA VIKINGS vrs PITTSBURGH STEELERS)

glgl
winner
ARCANGEL0 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-19-2017, 12:31 PM   #252
ARCANGEL0
veteran
 
Join Date: Jul 2016
Posts: 2,430
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ARCANGEL0 View Post
Denver ML week2

glgl
winner
ARCANGEL0 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-19-2017, 12:32 PM   #253
ARCANGEL0
veteran
 
Join Date: Jul 2016
Posts: 2,430
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ARCANGEL0 View Post
check this out

Sep 14 01:58 PM
NFL
STRAIGHT BET
[263] CLEVELAND BROWNS +9-105

21 / 20

glgl
looser

8-2 not bad!
ARCANGEL0 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-19-2017, 12:44 PM   #254
ligastar
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
ligastar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: #TEAMSPIETH
Posts: 16,269
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

early leans i'm looking at:

NO +6 (@ CAR)
Brees is the better QB and the loss of Olsen is HUUUUGE. Olsen's average season totals the past 3 seasons: 124 targets, 80 catches, and 54 FD catches.

LAC +144 (vs KC)
Chargers were in each game at the end (and Koo let them down twice). LAC really need this win (and they are projected to win ~7.3 games this year) and Rivers is a gamer. Things begin to revert to the mean.

CIN +9 (@ GB)
I'm keeping an eye on Jordy Nelson's condition (and the two tackles that missed the ATL game). GB's offensive will be a shell of itself if 2 or 3 of these players are missing. Also, I think the change in OC in Cincy will be beneficial. The Bengals have weapons on offense (albeit an awful o-line), so they should be able to muster 14 or 17 points imo in a non-snowy Lambeu Field.
ligastar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-19-2017, 04:00 PM   #255
aqb
grinder
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 525
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Thoughts on houston +19 vs NE?

Looking to take 3-4 team teaser:

NO +12 vs CAR
GB -3 vs CIN
ATL/DET over 43.5

and maybe HOU +19.

Comfortable with the over and GB (CIN and Marvin Lewis are awful). Feels like a must-win game for NO but they seem to be already crumbling internally with AP acting as a cancer. Not sure if NE will run the score up against HOU.
aqb is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-19-2017, 04:20 PM   #256
ligastar
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
ligastar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: #TEAMSPIETH
Posts: 16,269
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by aqb View Post
Thoughts on houston +19 vs NE?

Looking to take 3-4 team teaser:

NO +12 vs CAR
GB -3 vs CIN
ATL/DET over 43.5

and maybe HOU +19.

Comfortable with the over and GB (CIN and Marvin Lewis are awful). Feels like a must-win game for NO but they seem to be already crumbling internally with AP acting as a cancer. Not sure if NE will run the score up against HOU.
i saw that NE's RBs lead the NFL in yards from scrimmage (rushing + receiving). NE is plenty capable of winning this game 38-17, 34-14, etc. also this is only Watson's second career start.
ligastar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-19-2017, 04:28 PM   #257
ARCANGEL0
veteran
 
Join Date: Jul 2016
Posts: 2,430
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Watson did good, is motivated, and he is hungry.

glgl
ARCANGEL0 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-19-2017, 04:49 PM   #258
Kurn, son of Mogh
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Rhode Island and Providence Plantat
Posts: 13,797
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ARCANGEL0 View Post
Watson did good, is motivated, and he is hungry.
Too bad he doesn't have an O-line.
Kurn, son of Mogh is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-19-2017, 09:14 PM   #259
gotadui
adept
 
gotadui's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Florida
Posts: 1,096
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

I think the Ravens buy everyone a fancy night out this week.

BAL -4
gotadui is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-19-2017, 09:38 PM   #260
ligastar
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
ligastar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: #TEAMSPIETH
Posts: 16,269
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar View Post
early leans i'm looking at:

NO +6 (@ CAR)
Brees is the better QB and the loss of Olsen is HUUUUGE. Olsen's average season totals the past 3 seasons: 124 targets, 80 catches, and 54 FD catches.

LAC +144 (vs KC)
Chargers were in each game at the end (and Koo let them down twice). LAC really need this win (and they are projected to win ~7.3 games this year) and Rivers is a gamer. Things begin to revert to the mean.

CIN +9 (@ GB)
I'm keeping an eye on Jordy Nelson's condition (and the two tackles that missed the ATL game). GB's offensive will be a shell of itself if 2 or 3 of these players are missing. Also, I think the change in OC in Cincy will be beneficial. The Bengals have weapons on offense (albeit an awful o-line), so they should be able to muster 14 or 17 points imo in a non-snowy Lambeu Field.
I'm backing off the NO +6 lean. CAR's defense is #2 DVOA and NO's is #31.

edit: Also, I'd back off the CIN +9 lean if Eifert can't go.

Last edited by ligastar; 09-19-2017 at 09:43 PM.
ligastar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-20-2017, 06:16 AM   #261
Singasong2222
grinder
 
Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 508
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Lol Texans +19 am only back one game this year Be this.

19 points 19 points 19 points insert party and Congo line.
Singasong2222 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-20-2017, 06:18 AM   #262
Singasong2222
grinder
 
Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 508
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Straight up Texans at dem prices dem prices dough.
Singasong2222 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-20-2017, 06:22 AM   #263
Singasong2222
grinder
 
Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 508
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Sad face to good be true normally is -13 just meh now.
Singasong2222 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-20-2017, 06:25 AM   #264
Singasong2222
grinder
 
Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 508
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Am 4-0 this year which means nowt as am just as easy go 0-9 but lucky picks are always nice.
Singasong2222 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-20-2017, 10:03 AM   #265
ligastar
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
ligastar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: #TEAMSPIETH
Posts: 16,269
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar View Post
early leans i'm looking at:

NO +6 (@ CAR)
Brees is the better QB and the loss of Olsen is HUUUUGE. Olsen's average season totals the past 3 seasons: 124 targets, 80 catches, and 54 FD catches.

LAC +144 (vs KC)
Chargers were in each game at the end (and Koo let them down twice). LAC really need this win (and they are projected to win ~7.3 games this year) and Rivers is a gamer. Things begin to revert to the mean.

CIN +9 (@ GB)
I'm keeping an eye on Jordy Nelson's condition (and the two tackles that missed the ATL game). GB's offensive will be a shell of itself if 2 or 3 of these players are missing. Also, I think the change in OC in Cincy will be beneficial. The Bengals have weapons on offense (albeit an awful o-line), so they should be able to muster 14 or 17 points imo in a non-snowy Lambeu Field.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar View Post
i saw that NE's RBs lead the NFL in yards from scrimmage (rushing + receiving). NE is plenty capable of winning this game 38-17, 34-14, etc. also this is only Watson's second career start.
meh, now i'm off all these leans.
ligastar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-21-2017, 03:27 AM   #266
Malachii
veteran
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 3,322
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar View Post
I'm backing off the NO +6 lean. CAR's defense is #2 DVOA and NO's is #31.
After 2 games? I think their statistics are probably more or less meaningless at this point. Plus, they've played the Bills and the 49ers, not exactly noted offensive powerhouses.
Malachii is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-21-2017, 09:29 AM   #267
wil318466
banned
 
wil318466's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Posts: 19,169
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Leaning 49ers tonight. The thought of putting money on such a crap team makes make me ill. I'll decide tonight.
wil318466 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-21-2017, 09:36 AM   #268
ligastar
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
ligastar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: #TEAMSPIETH
Posts: 16,269
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Malachii View Post
After 2 games? I think their statistics are probably more or less meaningless at this point. Plus, they've played the Bills and the 49ers, not exactly noted offensive powerhouses.
These are good points and I was thinking about the same y'day. I'm coming back around on taking NO. The line has since moved to +5.

We do know that NO's defense is awful though. That's pretty much fact. I just think Newton is struggling (he's missed two wide open TD passes ... high school level tosses ... in each of the first two weeks). And as I mentioned, things aren't going to get easier, what with his security blanket (Olsen) out of action.
ligastar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-21-2017, 09:36 AM   #269
ligastar
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
ligastar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: #TEAMSPIETH
Posts: 16,269
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466 View Post
Leaning 49ers tonight. The thought of putting money on such a crap team makes make me ill. I'll decide tonight.
Let's get some analysis itt... why are you leaning 49ers?
ligastar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-21-2017, 03:58 PM   #270
BabyDante
stranger
 
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 2
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

The guys at Top Market Sports sent me this write up. Wanted to share::

Henry "Hank" Kim is a math sharp and stat geek who's worked at numerous global financial firms. He cut his teeth in the betting world by handicapping horse races as a boy in China.

His play is 49ers +3 tonight. There's definitely a ton of reasons to NOT bet San Fran in this game. For starters, they haven't scored a touchdown yet this season. Number two, expect nothing in terms of a home-field advantage. Reports are coming out of Santa Clara that the building will be on the empty-side tonight.

It's easy to see why most folks like the Rams in this situation. There's still a buzz about how good their offense looked in Week 1, when they put up 46 against the Colts. 64% of the Public is taking Los Angeles (according to the TMS Odds Portal as of 12:22 PST).

The Public is basically signalling that you'd have to be crazy to back Brian Hoyer here. And to be honest, that's an understandable argument. But he's a 10th year pro, and Henry expects him to piece together a solid showing for the Niners tonight.

He says, "Classic pro's vs joe's game...the joe's like LA."
BabyDante is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-21-2017, 04:03 PM   #271
wil318466
banned
 
wil318466's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Posts: 19,169
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Two Koreans both backing the 49ers?

Lock rams.
wil318466 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-21-2017, 04:07 PM   #272
wil318466
banned
 
wil318466's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Posts: 19,169
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar View Post
Let's get some analysis itt... why are you leaning 49ers?
Ehhh. I look mostly at public betting and what lines I expect. The 49ers are God awful and getting 3 at home, most of the public is on the Rams. So I go with the opposite.
wil318466 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-21-2017, 04:19 PM   #273
FrankyRizzo
adept
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: NJ
Posts: 876
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

life roll on rams
FrankyRizzo is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-21-2017, 04:26 PM   #274
wil318466
banned
 
wil318466's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Posts: 19,169
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

Lol
wil318466 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-21-2017, 05:44 PM   #275
Singasong2222
grinder
 
Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 508
Re: 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

40 point s o/u? Back the over just because it sucks watching and not wanting any one to score.

Over and San Fran just because you know I it might happen.
Singasong2222 is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:50 PM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive
 
 
Poker Players - Streaming Live Online