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2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

09-19-2017 , 12:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ARCANGEL0
STRAIGHT BET
[274] TOTAL u45½
(MINNESOTA VIKINGS vrs PITTSBURGH STEELERS)

glgl
winner
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09-19-2017 , 12:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ARCANGEL0
Denver ML week2

glgl
winner
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09-19-2017 , 12:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ARCANGEL0
check this out

Sep 14 01:58 PM
NFL
STRAIGHT BET
[263] CLEVELAND BROWNS +9-105

21 / 20

glgl
looser

8-2 not bad!
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09-19-2017 , 12:44 PM
early leans i'm looking at:

NO +6 (@ CAR)
Brees is the better QB and the loss of Olsen is HUUUUGE. Olsen's average season totals the past 3 seasons: 124 targets, 80 catches, and 54 FD catches.

LAC +144 (vs KC)
Chargers were in each game at the end (and Koo let them down twice). LAC really need this win (and they are projected to win ~7.3 games this year) and Rivers is a gamer. Things begin to revert to the mean.

CIN +9 (@ GB)
I'm keeping an eye on Jordy Nelson's condition (and the two tackles that missed the ATL game). GB's offensive will be a shell of itself if 2 or 3 of these players are missing. Also, I think the change in OC in Cincy will be beneficial. The Bengals have weapons on offense (albeit an awful o-line), so they should be able to muster 14 or 17 points imo in a non-snowy Lambeu Field.
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09-19-2017 , 04:00 PM
Thoughts on houston +19 vs NE?

Looking to take 3-4 team teaser:

NO +12 vs CAR
GB -3 vs CIN
ATL/DET over 43.5

and maybe HOU +19.

Comfortable with the over and GB (CIN and Marvin Lewis are awful). Feels like a must-win game for NO but they seem to be already crumbling internally with AP acting as a cancer. Not sure if NE will run the score up against HOU.
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09-19-2017 , 04:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aqb
Thoughts on houston +19 vs NE?

Looking to take 3-4 team teaser:

NO +12 vs CAR
GB -3 vs CIN
ATL/DET over 43.5

and maybe HOU +19.

Comfortable with the over and GB (CIN and Marvin Lewis are awful). Feels like a must-win game for NO but they seem to be already crumbling internally with AP acting as a cancer. Not sure if NE will run the score up against HOU.
i saw that NE's RBs lead the NFL in yards from scrimmage (rushing + receiving). NE is plenty capable of winning this game 38-17, 34-14, etc. also this is only Watson's second career start.
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09-19-2017 , 04:28 PM
Watson did good, is motivated, and he is hungry.

glgl
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09-19-2017 , 04:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ARCANGEL0
Watson did good, is motivated, and he is hungry.
Too bad he doesn't have an O-line.
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09-19-2017 , 09:14 PM
I think the Ravens buy everyone a fancy night out this week.

BAL -4
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09-19-2017 , 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
early leans i'm looking at:

NO +6 (@ CAR)
Brees is the better QB and the loss of Olsen is HUUUUGE. Olsen's average season totals the past 3 seasons: 124 targets, 80 catches, and 54 FD catches.

LAC +144 (vs KC)
Chargers were in each game at the end (and Koo let them down twice). LAC really need this win (and they are projected to win ~7.3 games this year) and Rivers is a gamer. Things begin to revert to the mean.

CIN +9 (@ GB)
I'm keeping an eye on Jordy Nelson's condition (and the two tackles that missed the ATL game). GB's offensive will be a shell of itself if 2 or 3 of these players are missing. Also, I think the change in OC in Cincy will be beneficial. The Bengals have weapons on offense (albeit an awful o-line), so they should be able to muster 14 or 17 points imo in a non-snowy Lambeu Field.
I'm backing off the NO +6 lean. CAR's defense is #2 DVOA and NO's is #31.

edit: Also, I'd back off the CIN +9 lean if Eifert can't go.

Last edited by ligastar; 09-19-2017 at 09:43 PM.
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09-20-2017 , 06:16 AM
Lol Texans +19 am only back one game this year Be this.

19 points 19 points 19 points insert party and Congo line.
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09-20-2017 , 06:18 AM
Straight up Texans at dem prices dem prices dough.
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09-20-2017 , 06:22 AM
Sad face to good be true normally is -13 just meh now.
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09-20-2017 , 06:25 AM
Am 4-0 this year which means nowt as am just as easy go 0-9 but lucky picks are always nice.
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09-20-2017 , 10:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
early leans i'm looking at:

NO +6 (@ CAR)
Brees is the better QB and the loss of Olsen is HUUUUGE. Olsen's average season totals the past 3 seasons: 124 targets, 80 catches, and 54 FD catches.

LAC +144 (vs KC)
Chargers were in each game at the end (and Koo let them down twice). LAC really need this win (and they are projected to win ~7.3 games this year) and Rivers is a gamer. Things begin to revert to the mean.

CIN +9 (@ GB)
I'm keeping an eye on Jordy Nelson's condition (and the two tackles that missed the ATL game). GB's offensive will be a shell of itself if 2 or 3 of these players are missing. Also, I think the change in OC in Cincy will be beneficial. The Bengals have weapons on offense (albeit an awful o-line), so they should be able to muster 14 or 17 points imo in a non-snowy Lambeu Field.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
i saw that NE's RBs lead the NFL in yards from scrimmage (rushing + receiving). NE is plenty capable of winning this game 38-17, 34-14, etc. also this is only Watson's second career start.
meh, now i'm off all these leans.
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09-21-2017 , 03:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
I'm backing off the NO +6 lean. CAR's defense is #2 DVOA and NO's is #31.
After 2 games? I think their statistics are probably more or less meaningless at this point. Plus, they've played the Bills and the 49ers, not exactly noted offensive powerhouses.
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09-21-2017 , 09:29 AM
Leaning 49ers tonight. The thought of putting money on such a crap team makes make me ill. I'll decide tonight.
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09-21-2017 , 09:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Malachii
After 2 games? I think their statistics are probably more or less meaningless at this point. Plus, they've played the Bills and the 49ers, not exactly noted offensive powerhouses.
These are good points and I was thinking about the same y'day. I'm coming back around on taking NO. The line has since moved to +5.

We do know that NO's defense is awful though. That's pretty much fact. I just think Newton is struggling (he's missed two wide open TD passes ... high school level tosses ... in each of the first two weeks). And as I mentioned, things aren't going to get easier, what with his security blanket (Olsen) out of action.
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09-21-2017 , 09:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Leaning 49ers tonight. The thought of putting money on such a crap team makes make me ill. I'll decide tonight.
Let's get some analysis itt... why are you leaning 49ers?
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09-21-2017 , 03:58 PM
The guys at Top Market Sports sent me this write up. Wanted to share::

Henry "Hank" Kim is a math sharp and stat geek who's worked at numerous global financial firms. He cut his teeth in the betting world by handicapping horse races as a boy in China.

His play is 49ers +3 tonight. There's definitely a ton of reasons to NOT bet San Fran in this game. For starters, they haven't scored a touchdown yet this season. Number two, expect nothing in terms of a home-field advantage. Reports are coming out of Santa Clara that the building will be on the empty-side tonight.

It's easy to see why most folks like the Rams in this situation. There's still a buzz about how good their offense looked in Week 1, when they put up 46 against the Colts. 64% of the Public is taking Los Angeles (according to the TMS Odds Portal as of 12:22 PST).

The Public is basically signalling that you'd have to be crazy to back Brian Hoyer here. And to be honest, that's an understandable argument. But he's a 10th year pro, and Henry expects him to piece together a solid showing for the Niners tonight.

He says, "Classic pro's vs joe's game...the joe's like LA."
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09-21-2017 , 04:03 PM
Two Koreans both backing the 49ers?

Lock rams.
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09-21-2017 , 04:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
Let's get some analysis itt... why are you leaning 49ers?
Ehhh. I look mostly at public betting and what lines I expect. The 49ers are God awful and getting 3 at home, most of the public is on the Rams. So I go with the opposite.
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09-21-2017 , 04:19 PM
life roll on rams
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09-21-2017 , 04:26 PM
Lol
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09-21-2017 , 05:44 PM
40 point s o/u? Back the over just because it sucks watching and not wanting any one to score.

Over and San Fran just because you know I it might happen.
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