I also like playing the "2nd or better" or "3rd or worse" in divisions. Good plays there for solid teams who can make a run at first place.
Not sure I'd bet on them but I wouldnt sleep on the chargers this year; if their secondary is as improved as some think it might be, and gordon and can produce again in LA I think they might surprise some people this year.
Titans OVR 8.5 wins for season. Although I think line at Westgate moved to 9 wins.
Week 1
Rams -3 v. Indy
if Tolzien is starting for Indy, although the spread could be more.
Houston -5 v. Jacksonville
Jags will be awful and doubt they score more than 10 points v Texans. Also, think Texan's D could create at least 10 points v. Jags
Two Home Dawgs Week 1 that cover
Carolina v. San Fran +6
Pittsburgh v. Cleveland +9