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2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

11-02-2017 , 09:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dagashi3
1k means a lot to many people. Damn, sorry you missed it. You didn't hedge on then other side at all? If not, why?
I just wanted the full win, greedy.

I likey bills -3 tonight though.. probably under too maybe?
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11-02-2017 , 04:41 PM
watch out for tonight's game. lotsa public money (72%) on Bills but no movement on the line. classic conundrum, but I'd lean Jets or may just sit out and take a 1st TD player prop etc.
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11-02-2017 , 06:17 PM
Yeah. It's Jets or skip for me. I thought yesterday was Thursday when I posted.

I might take the Jets.
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11-02-2017 , 06:55 PM
Haven't jets got a lot of new injuries? Wanted to fade the bills and take +3 jets but seems like bills is the play due to them having no new injuries and jets have a few new features ones

Still want bet jets but head says bills -3

Going jets hope I don't end up regret it.
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11-02-2017 , 07:48 PM
YTD 1-0

Taking Jets +3

Gonna also reverse it along with the Spurs+8 for full degen mode.
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11-02-2017 , 10:39 PM
every team that looks good one week is absolute dog **** the next game
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11-02-2017 , 11:10 PM
Of all the mysteries of the universe, how a legit awful NFL team comes out and plays a legit good/decent division rival and finds a way to kick their ass is the most baffling. They didn't just win, they beat the balls off them. Game isn't even over yet, I can't bear the watch the rest. I actually feel bad for the Bills.

Spurs suck.

2-0 YTD.
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11-03-2017 , 09:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dagashi3
I'm taking this back. This game is a skip.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Singasong2222
Haven't jets got a lot of new injuries? Wanted to fade the bills and take +3 jets but seems like bills is the play due to them having no new injuries and jets have a few new features ones

Still want bet jets but head says bills -3

Going jets hope I don't end up regret it.
I REGRET NUTHING
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11-03-2017 , 10:47 AM
yea, I mean it's just one of those rules you work with in sports betting. if that many people are on one side and it doesnt move you gotta fade that majority action. Vegas was built on losers not winners. Jets have screwed me on a TON of bets from earlier in the year (they are something like 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games despite losing 4 of those I think.) still, Josh McCown has had a storybook type year so far.

I think what was even more surprising was the the total sailing over like it did.

anyway, other plays I'm liking for Sunday:

NYG + 3.5
WAS + 7.5
TEN -3.5 (buying it down to -3.0)
and I'll def take a side in DET/GB but I'm just not sure where yet. I might lean the fav and take DET thin
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11-03-2017 , 10:54 AM
ran so pure this week in sports

had cheifs -41h and -7 for 4 units each in vegas W,W
had dodgers ml for 4 units to win game 6 W
had jets +9ev and o36 last night teaser for 1 unit W
had jets ml and o42.5 parlay last night for 1 unit to win 4 units W
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11-03-2017 , 12:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Singasong2222
I REGRET NUTHING
Yeah that was a tough pick, but we stuck it out.
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11-03-2017 , 02:13 PM
Would love to of been against Texans

Could got Colts +12

Texans get fit next season there super bowl favourites in my opinion...

Plus +6.5 Colts seems ok as Houston season is done and quarter back will be on short week to learn new offence

Deshan Jackson was the real deal , seems he was worth +10 points .
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11-03-2017 , 03:51 PM
i thought my local books website lines were bad but while in vegas i noticed the actaul sports books lines were worse... whats up w that nonsense?
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11-03-2017 , 05:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FrankyRizzo
i thought my local books website lines were bad but while in vegas i noticed the actaul sports books lines were worse... whats up w that nonsense?
Worse how? Too much extra juice?
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11-03-2017 , 10:03 PM
next time i see a team go ape **** and put up 40+ im betting my car and dog against them next week
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11-04-2017 , 01:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by la2sb91
14-11-2 +1.25
DET +3 L

Teasers:
KC -1.5/WAS +8 L
KC -1.5/NE -1.5 W
YTD: 15-13-2 +0.05

DET -2.5 -105

Teaser:
PHI -1.5/NO -0.5
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11-05-2017 , 08:24 AM
Looks like another week where the favorites kick ass.
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11-05-2017 , 10:36 AM
Detroit outright seem ok bet against a Rodgers not playing packers....

Saying that seem like a team that can't play well for 4 quarters....
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11-05-2017 , 10:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dagashi3
Looks like another week where the favorites kick ass.
If it looks Like it will happen it will go opposite way

Thats nfl at moment.
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11-05-2017 , 01:39 PM
TEN -3 -130
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11-05-2017 , 01:42 PM
2-0 YTD.

Going square.

Falcons -3
Titans -3

Degen mode activated : 1/2 unit on reverse falcons/titans.

Got my eye on the Chief's game. Andy Reid hasn't lost to an NFC east team since he left Philadelphia. I might fire in on that at 4 o clock.
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11-05-2017 , 03:56 PM
down 3 units going into the week

2 units on Hunt over 83.5 yards rushing -115

ps:
Spoiler:
Hi Wil
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11-05-2017 , 04:33 PM
This eagles team might be legit Superbowl bound. They are annihilating everyone they play. Not just winning, embarrassing their opponents. Wow.
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11-05-2017 , 04:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dagashi3
This eagles team might be legit Superbowl bound. They are annihilating everyone they play. Not just winning, embarrassing their opponents. Wow.
Yep eagles and the rams are looking sweet today....
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11-05-2017 , 05:11 PM
Taking Chiefs +2.5
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