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2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread 2017 NFL Picks and discussion thread

10-08-2017 , 01:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fansrajoke
I think those odds are for this purpose. Teasing you to the point that you're pissed off and just swing it. Although results can be both ways that I've seen in mlb.
Well I'm not "pissed off and just swinging it." I'm actually betting less than I normally would on this game.

Every week I write out my lines before I look at the posted lines. Over the years, they've become very close. When I see big differences, I look in depth to understand the reason. Here I can't find any reason.
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10-08-2017 , 02:34 AM
I didn't mean you. I mean the public. I've seen reactions to lines like this one and they just pound the fake dog.
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10-08-2017 , 06:12 AM
Cleveland, Carolina and Jacksonville look particularly interesting this week.
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10-08-2017 , 07:15 AM
I fell into the Cleveland trap last week, i'm staying well clear of that game. I'm really happy with the Caro line I got buying the extra point for 3.5.

Added Pit to lead at HT and win at -150, I don't normally do prop type bets on NFL but it looks really tempting, I can't see Pit losing at home to Jax often but the spread seems about right, that said the 1h line is 4.5 and I really expect them to lead at home then close it out.

That should do me I really want to get on the 49ers too but just going to pass that game and the Jets/Browns one. Passing on Eagles/Cards too although I have Eagles in my survivor pool so got a sweat there anyway.
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10-08-2017 , 09:52 AM
Pretty familiar with the Browns.

Browns have one of the worst offenses I've ever seen in the NFL. To offer some perspective, coach Hue Jackson stated that Kizer played "lights out" against the Bengals. Kizer was 16-34 for 118 yards with 1 INT, pathetic. Crowell is the Browns leading rusher and is on pace to garner 532 yards total over 16 games. Duke Johnson is the Browns best weapon at this point catching passes as an RB and slot receiver.

Every teams TE has had a big day against the Browns this season. Sefarian-Jenkins is a worth a risk in fantasy. Jabrill Peppers is the Browns FS. He plays way too far off the line of scrimmage. The middle of the field has been wide open. Browns have been very good against the run this year so the Jets will have probably do damage through the air. Myles Garrett gets his first NFL action this week so we'll see if the Browns pass rush improves. Browns special teams make a lot of penalties in the return game. The Browns had a punt blocked earlier this year. Their kicker missed a 40 yd field goal from the middle of the field.

Expect an ugly game. FWIW the only way I see Browns winning is by getting turnovers. FWIW.
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10-08-2017 , 10:13 AM
Light day

M Bennet under 4.5 receptions -130 for 2 units

and 1 unit on

Hunt o87.5 y rushing and 115total yards both -115
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10-08-2017 , 11:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by snuadg
+0.777 YTD

...and FPS strikes once again. Can still (just about) break even for the week if the Chiefs win, otherwise we'll be in the red for the first time this season. Let's go Chiefs!
+2.0185 YTD

$200.00 $181.80
Oakland Raiders -2½ -110

$200.00 $190.50
Los Angeles Rams -2½ -105

$300.00 $260.90
Los Angeles Rams -1½ -115

$100.00 $90.90
New York Giants -4½ -110

$100.00 $90.90
New York Giants -3½ -110

$100.00 $90.90
Jacksonville Jaguars +9 -110

$400.00 $381.00
Buffalo Bills +3 -105

Didn't think the Giants line would move down to 3, oh well.

The Buffalo game scares me. I thought for sure that line would move down a point or two by the end of the week. No movement at all. Not a good sign. If somethings too good too be true...
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10-08-2017 , 12:03 PM
best of luck today guys

im only on a parlay of

raiders -3
steelers -7
colts ML
eagles -6

big payday for me if I get lucky
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10-08-2017 , 12:39 PM
IND -1
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10-08-2017 , 12:41 PM
10-8 YTD.

I'm happy I'm going to skip the Browns, heh.

Titans - pk
Carolina +2
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10-08-2017 , 12:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChameleoOoN
best of luck today guys

im only on a parlay of

raiders -3
steelers -7
colts ML
eagles -6

big payday for me if I get lucky
Man that's a tough parlay to hit. I'm rooting for you.
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10-08-2017 , 01:41 PM
I need arizona here and the entire eagles offense is in the end zone doing group TD celebrations.
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10-08-2017 , 01:54 PM
Decided to get off my Oakland bet and eat a 0.05u loss. Still hope they win though.
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10-08-2017 , 01:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
I need arizona here and the entire eagles offense is in the end zone doing group TD celebrations.
Lol aren't you supposed to be in philly area? JK, still have a lot of time for that game.
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10-08-2017 , 02:02 PM
What is the Browns doing? Reeling more live fish on Jets?
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10-08-2017 , 02:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fansrajoke
Lol aren't you supposed to be in philly area? JK, still have a lot of time for that game.
Yeah, but I root for where my money is. One time I was at a local bar and quietly (very quietly) was rooting for the Cowboys during a primetime game. A guy like 3 barstools down from me saw me do a small (real small) fist pump when the cowboys took the lead and he started yelling at me. I was like "come on man I got money on the Cowboys" and he still was angry about it, calling me a disgrace. And I agreed with him, I was ashamed of myself.

I stay home for the Eagle's games now.
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10-08-2017 , 02:44 PM
Pit being down 1 at the half is why I suck and shouldn't do HT/FT props. At least my other bets are promising at the half.
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10-08-2017 , 02:54 PM
FWIW, Carr has officially been declared inactive for this afternoon's game.
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10-08-2017 , 03:13 PM
I regret not to take the Jac. Big cats week lol Bengals come on!
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10-08-2017 , 03:53 PM
I'm officially off the Browns train lol I don't even want to look at their line next week.

Seahawks +2
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10-08-2017 , 04:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fansrajoke
I'm officially off the Browns train lol I don't even want to look at their line next week.

Seahawks +2
Well Browns kicker missed two field goals, Kizer threw an INT in the red zone, Kizer made an ill advised pitch in the red zone which was fumbled away, Browns went for it on 4th goal to go on the 3 early in 4th qtr got stuffed and Jets subsequently went on a 97 yard drive to put the game away. Hue Jackson benched Kizer at half time. Jackson totally mismanaged his timeouts in the second half.

Sefarian-Jenkins had like 13 points in PPR fantasy scoring. Not killer but not bad for a TE.
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10-08-2017 , 04:17 PM
Taking Cowboys -2.5

If Chargers win this game it'll be hilarious that Eli has never beaten Rivers. It's like destiny.
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10-08-2017 , 04:34 PM
This might be the most pathetic NFL Sunday I ever seen. My God this league is God awful.
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10-08-2017 , 07:46 PM
godgers tho
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10-08-2017 , 08:07 PM
Houston +3
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