I have to pull the numbers but I am fairly confident over the last season and this season it's above 75% winners. And thankfully for many they just started betting it just last year and this year where it's peaked.

I know last year it was 45-4 to start out with 3 of the losses coming to terrible beats. Those are the kind of numbers people dream of and people make up...but look it up for yourself! Rule changes etc, no magician will reveal his FULL secrets!

I posted once in this thread saying I thought this would win. Actually it is the opposite, the system will be a slight loser before vig and in fact it is worse than coinflipping. If you were going to bet this system I'd at least stick to under 5s. At least then you can benefit from the reduced chance of a tie that comes in games with large favorites and win additional 3-1 or 4-0 type games. But you will still lose, lol.

The funny thing is, I wouldn't be surprised if this system won in the past because betting unders in NHL won blind for a long time.

Why are you talking about win % on a bet that's odds vary from around +160 to -160?

Moneyline closes of > 185 and totals of 5.5 at pinnacle returned 25.67 units betting under since 2010. (note this is only games where the main total closes 5.5, which is of course absurd, since they have a price on 5.5 for every game and if this system was so magic you should also bet those (they lose though so obv can't look at those)

2016 +4.84
2015 +27.23
2014 +9.66
2013 +3.01
2012 +1.41
2011 -9.66
2010 -10.82


So, congrats. By the way, you'd have shipped around the same # of units last year just betting every single game under.

The sophisticated handicapping model of "every game is o5 -140" actually might do pretty well.

Every time some mouth breathing, rock eating scamtard stumbles his way on to a sports betting forum with some half-brained, plug and play system that MAYBE runs good for a little while, the unwashed masses eat it up. The people who do this for a living call it out as the absolute garbage that it is and get **** for it. You guys wonder why you dont win.

Keep betting it. The more dumb money in the market the better it is for me.

Sadly they have not moved a single one of these lines. That morrison or whatever chase system was getting some fantastic fade lines at square books for a while.

Has been a bit entertaining/ interesting this far.

Basically, seems like in summary the above...

I've been playing these with a local guy but I'm willing to give the action to the thread if anyone wants to fade the Prof. PM me and we can work out details.

Other than Prof Ed, I don't think any of us "n00bs" are really giving anyone **** for your concerns. I understand the points made. I don't do this for a living but those of you who do, or allegedly do, seem wound pretty ****in tight. Regardless of whatever else op does, this specific observation didn't cost anyone money and it's hitting (for the time being) more often than it's not. That's all anyone is saying.

I think Mihkel as well as Sabaneta have both efficiently explained everything that needs to be said. Sabaneta basically also pretty much did all the work and provided all the exact and specific #s. The current state of "the system" and how it is doing has no relevance. As the "Pros" they are giving useful and knowledgeable information. They are telling you why it is -EV (long term) and giving you exact #s to back up what they are saying. Hate them all you want, they obviously know what they are talking about and heed valuable advice.

Even if youve read NOTHING except this post, youd be insane to think this guy has any clue what hes talking about. The completely made up "75% winners" stat is utterly useless since the odds on these bets vary anywhere from -160 to +160. Same logic applies to the 45-4 stat.

To put it another way, lets say Ive come up with a system. Play any college football favorite of -40 or more on the money line. It could hit at 75% and be 30-5 or whatever and still be a massive losing system. DUCY?

I have never seen an over under > -140 unless it's alt line.

Edit: alright **** there is one tonight lol -148. That is the highest one I've personally ever seen. But it's not in the system so it's null

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literally looked for 5 seconds and back only two days and see one at -152.

Edit: And less than a week ago, wash and EDM closed at -157. So less than 60 seconds of research found two inside of a week.

This may be lost on some of the people, but 5.5 is frequently an alt line.

I understand you can get 5.5 as an alt line at many books, but totals in the NHL are clearly 5/5.5 everyday. This angle is only in effect when the total is at 5.5. What are you accomplishing with your post?

You will be hard pressed to find one let alone a half dozen of these angled plays at -160. You won't find one at +160. I'll wait. Your research is not only off, but irrelevant.

Try learning how to read.

Winnipeg and Washington no play right because the total is 5 -127/115.

You realize that is the same as 5.5 131/-144, but hey if that was listed it would magically be good.

Waiting on that CA/SJSU under steam.

Ed,

First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win

I bet the market, I don't buy half goals. Bet against my system at your own risk, you saw the stats sir. But whatever you've shown glad to know betting something completely in the blind as you claim has been profitable for the last 5 years! Add in your handicapping...ALSO, if it's not that impressive or big deal...give me something SIMILAR

This

Mooohahaha. Don't feed into these trolls they have nothing better to do but hate when we're here spreading the love! And doing something that's actually WINNING

I'm just showing you how impressive it is, the totals are never more than -140 idk what terrorist bookie you're playing with lol

Looks like there's a game tonight, SJ vs CAL; -210 SJ; 5.5u -135

I just explained very clearly how win % does not show "how impressive" it is and your reply is Im just showing you how impressive it is.

And youre avoiding the very obvious point that some have raised... you can bet u5.5 on ANY game, period. Even the ones that fall under your "system" that are lined at 5. You can find a 5.5 alt line. (Or just bet under 5 getting plus odds which is the same exact thing as betting u5.5 at heavy odds).

But of course I dont expect you to understand any of this. Youve proven quite convincingly to be a complete moron when it comes to sports betting. You happened to stumble ass backwards into the #trend of just blindly betting NHL unders and put some absurd, nonsensical constraints around it. The market will catch up, if it hasnt already, and you and everyone else will lose money betting these.

But its your money, you guys all know the facts now and if you want to still bet on this garbage its your right. Have fun!