Is it worth betting that much vig though?

Of course Wash/Van under 5.5 -164 at pinnacle, where the professionals don't play

Professional bettor here, guys.

Thank you! I do this for people like yourself if I find something good I share. Iowa reminds me of the kids in school who covered up their papers!

Someone comes on the forums to try and do a good deed for people on something that has proven to do nothing but WIN and they just want to troll and be downers!

5-1 YTD, looks like we're dark tonight boys

I'll let ya know when I'm in the L column.

There are a few reasons people post writeups/plays. Most of them are just harmless, but when a professional conman goes about throwing up an assortment of plays/trends/etc in an attempt to justify bizarre and losing plays. glhf.

I'd openly book these btw. They didn't win before, and won't win going forward. I think that speaks for itself compared to how I can't get anyone to take off screen action. Apparently even HBob didn't wanna take 1-1 with me.

"Conman?" A con usually implies some monetary benefit. He's not selling a "system." I'm curious to hear how exactly you think he's benefiting from freely posting something that he's noticed and had success with (and that others are having success with) on an open forum.

If you don't agree with the picks, then cool. But to be THIS concerned about other people's bets is just silly.

How do you think he establishes his "record"? It is via **** threads like this where he finds ploppies that blindly bet -EV plays and then bizarro white knights such as yourself who defend it all in the aim of "live and let live" or whatever your silly philosophy is that warrants defending a con artist.

I don't have an aim or philosophy. The 5-1 ytd is correct, just as it was when I tailed some of the plays for part of last season.

I could say my record is 30-2 in NFL and I'm up 900 units. Then if I post picks for free in this forum, does that make me a conman? Whether or not someone follows is his prerogative. Don't get your panties in a bunch over another man's money lol.

Apparently you are not aware that he scams people for a living as divulged in the tout thread.

I'm sorry. I'd read that first.

Also, the "record" is somewhat grey as we have never really figured out where he is playing the ML or the totals. So we can't really ascertain whether profitable or not.

Regardless, I'd openly book this.

Fair enough. I don't follow many of the other threads because the sports betting forum here is pretty dead compared to sbr or rxforum. I thought you were talking solely about this thread. Like I said, I have no angle and am not defending anyone. I just know that I'm personally up a good amount of $ using this trend, which is all I really care about haha. No harm done man

The main issue is that it is easy to use these type of systems as support for fraud. Look at his reasoning. Arbitrary book ML -> Always bet under 5.5 at any price

Easily one of the most idiotic systems I've ever heard. But you rinse and repeat this at a bunch of forums with different handles and have some win due to survivorship bias. (Pretty sure this isn't a statistically significant winner. But not gonna run binomial or even check how many plays there may have been.)

Then you contact people telling them about your special plays for a win cut. Obv these slappies can never actually win since the underlying plays are -EV. Beyond that he'll charge you a commission when you win. It all seems fairly innocuous, but it isn't hard to spot these con artists for people who have been doing this for far too long.

Wat?


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.

If someone asks you to pay for picks, laugh in their face. Easy game.

do you really not grasp the reasoning in that post? Its fairly basic.

Lol you really are clueless I should even acknowledge your messages. Just people I have people that stake me on sports betting (yes they win) don't be a hater because YOU CAN'T!

You clearly don't know the definition of conman or scammer. However, you sir are a LIAR look it up. You just said down 600k+ Pinnacle but then few post later claim you cant get anyone to take your action. Your down 600k+ on Pinni shows how clueless you are...or let me guess your up $2M on 5dimes.

Comical you're a losing sports bettor and now want to become a bookie.

For the 5th time "I don't sell anything" and I'm not a tout. I have investors that put money up for gambling and I get a commission. You sir I'm sure understand limits don't you. And again, if you dont like the picks...bye. many people in this thread follow and bet it. Do something productive not try and bring people down because you're down

And for the sixth time...

How many people here claim they beat sports? Ok cool...so do I, it's a grind, but I do.

Again, let's see if youll answer...

If someone said here is $100,000 on 5dimes whatever you win we split...would you do it?

/Micdrop

I mean are you A. Dumb. B. Slow. C. Clueless. D. All the above?

Your name isn't even spelled the correct way is everything with you wrong?

Start from page 1, you'll see it won "before" everyone ITT agreed on most plays when it was and when it wasn't. It has been very profitable last two years. Its 5-1ytd, I mean just read the thread lol

I'm riding this system until it fails. I don't see point in having a cutoff of -200 favorites exactly though. The theory why the game would go under is still the same for a -190 favorite. I think you can add down to -180 favs on a game-by-game basis.

This is a fabrication. I asked if anyone wanted to give me 10x Pinny limits since I was down so much. I'll even limit it to betting sports only I model!

You may want to brush up on your English btw. Saying I would book a certain bet (because it is a loser) does not equal with me wanting to take up bookmaking as a profession. Generally the lucrative part of that job is just being a criminal.

Wat? I understand limits quite well. I bet significantly more than you on NFL totals without touching anything on the board which is 50k+ if I tap it once.

I would definitely do it. But because I'm not a POS I would set up a structure that would allow them to profit longterm instead of slowly getting bled. Why not just take it all at once?

This is just outright racism.

I understand I just never have been told to give prof ed any money and have no idea how he could scam someone giving away info in a public forum


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No, it isn't.