I was trying to make the post more neutral toward general readers as in from a punters perspective however based on the example at the end...
Quote:
Most recent tournament that spurred this post:
- 17 scores + 1 missing score
- 10 scores: having conflicting sources (different scores)...
What would you do in terms of trying to get the accurate scores? Just keep looking and hoping, ask other modelers perhaps if they have the data, try talk to the news publishers (laugh), something else...
I am at the point where I am considering making a donation of AU$100-$150 to the official sports body for the official results. Though it just feels really wrong to have to pay for scores from an event that was even televised on SKY. Also I have never bought data and it is hard to trust an organisation will provide accurate data when they are the ones most likely propagating the false scores in a ******ed attempt to protect their valuable "copyrighted" facts.
Assuming that you might be getting double digit ROI on multiple sports and are unsure what sport I was referring. What is NZ really good at or used to be 3 years ago, other than shagging sheep? The TAB (in NZ) will typically take ~AU$8400 in cash bets at avg odds of $1.80 before they move the line. My bread and butter comes solely from that sport, so I prefer not to call attention to it. You may feel differently but it is truly a golden goose.
Also have you considered betting in cash at Tatts, they will take ~AU$1200 bets but will probably move $0.10, so you should be able to get the equivalent of AU$3600 on at avg odds of $1.80. Be careful though, if you **** Tatts anonymously, they will hire private investigators, rat you out to the ATO and may even talk to newspapers (though they may not publish a story). As well as spread your name around to whoever else eg other sportsbooks and the pigs. Unlikely they will do that for a minor sport / league but with enough persistence you could almost do enough to piss off the wrong person working there if you are unlucky.
More than a few K or $500 at Pinny as you stated in another post. Also even a marked account at Pinnacle that moves the odds $0.07 per bet should be able to get AU$1600* on average odds of $1.77 at them alone. Do not be put off by the OZ books, there is certainly not as much liquidity as NFL, NBA or EPL but there is still a lot and the market is insanely softer.
*Assuming 4x bets are placed just before closing at AU$400 a pop as well as that they actually publish lines and heaven forbid they do it a few hours in advance so the limits go up from ~AU$125.
Are you hitting Head-to-Head and Spreads only or Totals as well?
Last edited by tomsword; 11-02-2017 at 01:03 AM.
Reason: Missing 'at' and 'is' in sentences.