2015 NHL Profitable System - Page 10 - Sports Betting

You guys realize the higher the juice that means it's a bigger favorite to win right? Would you pass on a -5000 bet for Mike Tyson in his prime vs someone with no boxing experience? I sure as hell would bet every dollar I have in the favorite no matter the price.

Tyson was -4200 vs. Buster Douglas.

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04-07-2016 , 07:50 AM

#228

iTzLifestyle

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 8,081

If I was old enough to gamble on this I would not of liked those odds personally so woulda passed or just lost on the over. But a Tyson bettor would of probably been betting Tyson the whole way thru his 37-0 career so they should be up around $4000 at least when he fights buster. So considering that it's not too bad

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04-07-2016 , 09:38 AM

#229

RichardStuffington

stranger

Join Date: Mar 2016 Posts: 4

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheStuntman

Two for tomorrow night on Bovada.

COL @ NSH -210 (-130) and WPG @ ANA -240 (-140). Hate paying such high vig but we'll see if this works.

I've recently joined BetOnline. They have had more trend applicable lines and better vig.

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04-07-2016 , 02:01 PM

#230

dfb89

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 1,293

Has this fallen off, or still winning?
I see 4 plays tonight. Wouldn't mind winning back some march madness square losses

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04-07-2016 , 02:29 PM

#231

vanDrubi

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 220

Quote:

Originally Posted by dfb89

Has this fallen off, or still winning?
I see 4 plays tonight. Wouldn't mind winning back some march madness square losses

Hit/miss. I wouldn't wager too much personally. Teams have been under/over peforming as playoffs get closer. Gotta keep in mind the sloth factor.

GL

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04-07-2016 , 03:47 PM

#232

TheStuntman

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 5,390

Yea I see 4 myself. Pretty leery of doing it this late into the season.

EDIT: Placed the bets, .5% of my br for each. Hopefully the trend continues.

Last edited by TheStuntman; 04-07-2016 at 03:54 PM.

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04-08-2016 , 11:01 AM

#233

TheStuntman

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 5,390

Went 1-3 last night, went 1-1 the night before, small hiccup or is the ride over?

Quote

04-19-2016 , 03:25 PM

#234

whiteknight172

stranger

Join Date: Apr 2016 Posts: 4

potentially useful NHL tidbit for tonight's PIT/NYR game:

the team that won gm 1 and is playing gm 3 with series tied 1-1 is 21-10 the last 5 years, 16-3 in the 1st round.

2-0 already this yr (STL, NYI).

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04-21-2016 , 04:23 PM

#235

amirBRZI

stranger

Join Date: Apr 2016 Posts: 1

very useful information for people who like to bet on the game NHL

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10-18-2016 , 09:33 PM

#236

ProfessorEd

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 268

NEW SEASON GUYS AND WE'RE BACK!

WAS IN FULL EFFECT TONIGHT FOR THE FIRST TIME OF THE SEASON, WISH I GOT TO POSTING THIS EARLIER FOR YOU GUYS!

WASHINGTON VS COLORADO UNDER 5.5!

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10-18-2016 , 10:01 PM

#237

frommagio

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 4,453

GO GO GO!!!

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10-18-2016 , 10:58 PM

#238

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

'Tis good

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10-20-2016 , 03:40 PM

#239

hfrog355

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Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

ARI/MTL
TOR/MIN

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10-20-2016 , 04:11 PM

#240

oldmanriver95

stranger

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 5

Quote:

Originally Posted by hfrog355

ARI/MTL
TOR/MIN

The problem is can you find a vig of less than 20 for the tor/min game?

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10-20-2016 , 04:21 PM

#241

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

You typically are paying more for any under on a 5.5 total.

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10-20-2016 , 04:31 PM

#242

westswindon

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 2,345

Does anybody know how often the favourite was winning the games in this situation?

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10-20-2016 , 04:35 PM

#243

Sabaneta

adept

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,175

65%

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10-20-2016 , 04:52 PM

#244

oldmanriver95

stranger

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 5

Quote:

Originally Posted by hfrog355

You typically are paying more for any under on a 5.5 total.

So what win rate is needed to break even then, 58%?

Sent from my SM-N920P using Tapatalk

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10-20-2016 , 05:06 PM

#245

westswindon

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 2,345

Quote:

Originally Posted by oldmanriver95

So what win rate is needed to break even then, 58%?

Sent from my SM-N920P using Tapatalk

55.6% @-125

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10-20-2016 , 05:08 PM

#246

oldmanriver95

stranger

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 5

Quote:

Originally Posted by westswindon

55.6% @-125

Thanks

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10-20-2016 , 05:28 PM

#247

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

(125/225)*100 = 55.6%

(risk/return)*100 = Break even

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10-20-2016 , 06:58 PM

#248

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Eh, doesn't look like any of the games are going to qualify by the time puck drops.

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10-20-2016 , 07:04 PM

#249

Whiskeyneat

functional alcoholic extraordinaire

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 3,394

Quote:

Originally Posted by hfrog355

Eh, doesn't look like any of the games are going to qualify by the time puck drops.

Already locked in on AZ/mtl so we'll see

Quote

10-21-2016 , 12:17 AM

#250

ProfessorEd

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 268

Quote:

Originally Posted by Whiskeyneat

Already locked in on AZ/mtl so we'll see

That sucks!

I have always been going by what line is on scoresandodds right before puck drops. Wild/Leafs -200 U 5.5

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