Quote:
Originally Posted by andr3w321
No of course not and I addressed that earlier in the thread. I'm refuting the argument that small sample size = can't draw any conclusions.
The main flaw with this system is it sounds like it has been found from looking at past ATS records looking for profitable system rather than come up with what you believe is profitable system and then backtest. The only way to draw conclusions is to test it going forward. It's like 4-1 at avg odds of -120 or something so far since thread was created. Someone else can look up the exact #s.
How is backtesting invalidated??
If goaltenders were truly significantly better today I'm pretty sure oddsmakers would take that into account. And if they are better this season, it would be most likely a fluke, not an overall trend that you can expect to continue for years and years. Some years pitching is just better in MLB for a wide variety of reasons. Others years it's not. These trends fluctuate like the tide.
Last edited by BaconMe; 02-16-2016 at 06:32 PM.