Quote:
Originally Posted by Keyser.
I would think the simple fact that people can and do mix up their play makes trying to be balanced/exploiting unbalanced villains completely futile. Is there a good rebuttal?
1. There are more ways to achieve balance than by betting the correct number of hands. For example, checking all hands some percentage of the time and betting all hands the rest of the time in the spot you described would be another way of balancing. In this sense, mixing up your play can still be exploited when you misappropriate the frequencies.
2. Just because you change your action in the two identical scenarios doesn't mean that you can't be exploited if villain is thinking a level ahead of you. It sounded like you were assuming he would think you bet QQ again the second time in the spot because you did it the first time when he might actually recognize and anticipate your adjustment.
3. My point, then, is that you can exploit someone when their range IS imbalanced, note present tense. I think the problem you're identifying is the issue of how you know they have not correctly adjusted their ranges and are not now exploiting you instead.