Quote:
Originally Posted by shipit2kg
Viewed as 26/22 or something that plays solid I would think. Villain is 24/20 whose call open on btn is 29% after 24 spots to do so, his fold to cbet is 25% after facing 8 cbets over this 312 hand sample. Seems competent but really dont know much besides HUD
Flop should probably be 9/9.5 i guess, but other than that do we bet call turn here? Sizing? Feel like they never have worse value hands cuz that'd be dumb, or any random floats or 56 unless its 56cc... assume i bet 9.5 on flop and 24 on turn and he peels again, whats our plan on what rivers?
BB was a nit and UTG+1 was some rando reg fwiw
Feel like bet/bet/jam rarely gets called by worse, maybe even folds better??
Without a sick read on him floating a ton and betting a **** ton when checked too, turn can't be anything but a bet?
***** History for hand R5-243245683-793 *****
Start hand: Thu May 24 18:45:43 EDT 2012
Table: Lansing [243245683] (NO_LIMIT TEXAS_HOLDEM $0.50/$1, Real money)
User: droolonkeys
Button: seat 6
Players in round: 6 (6)
Seat 2: Mr.Sasminc ($109.53)
Seat 3: MaitoWalas ($142)
Seat 6: successf0ul ($201.18)
Seat 8: tanorexic ($101.98)
Seat 9: iFold5 ($100)
Seat 10: hero ($105.50)
tanorexic posts small blind ($0.50)
iFold5 posts big blind ($1)
---
Dealing pocket cards
Dealing to hero: [Ac, Ks]
hero raises $3 to $3
Mr.Sasminc folds
MaitoWalas calls $3
successf0ul calls $3
tanorexic folds
iFold5 calls $2
--- Dealing flop [Ah, 7c, 4c]
iFold5 checks
hero bets $8
MaitoWalas folds
successf0ul calls $8
iFold5 folds
--- Dealing turn [9c]
hero...
thanks in advance for any input..
Kind of depends on what you think about his 3betting range OTB with a buch of flats. TT/JJ for value? how about AQ,AJ?
I valuebet flop and turn for sure and river I'd quickly number all the stuff I think he could call with but probably bet.
Checking turn could be ok if he floats a ton IP (stats so far somewhat indicate that he at least tries to) but I think he has too many hands he can call with and we'll be in a dumb spot if we ch/call turn. It'll be sweet if the river brings the 4-flush because his floating range will have a bunch of random highish clubs but in all other spots it'll be kind of gross if he just checks back hands we could have gotten value form and so forth.
Vs a very aggro floater this is a fist-pump CR turn small to give him a chance to aggromonkey last and shove spot imo.
Last edited by clowntable; 05-25-2012 at 08:02 AM.