NL200 Triple barrel bluff - Small Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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NL200 Triple barrel bluff

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11-09-2011 , 05:15 PM

Klakteuh

banned

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 1,975

Hey, Villain is 26/21/2.3 with 12% 3bet OTB (1.2k hands), 44% fold to cbet, 40% fold to turn cbet and 50% fold to river Cbet. 27% WTSD

IPoker, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #11001092

BB: $172.36 (86.2 bb)
UTG: $200 (100 bb)
MP: $276 (138 bb)
Hero (CO): $235.50 (117.8 bb)
BTN: $208 (104 bb)
SB: $198 (99 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K

2 folds, Hero raises to $6, BTN calls $6, 2 folds

Flop: ($15) K

(2 players)
Hero bets $10, BTN calls $10

Turn: ($35) 9

(2 players)
Hero bets $25, BTN calls $25

River: ($85) Q

(2 players)
Hero bets $60

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I don't think we had any history relevant to this spot.

11-09-2011 , 06:01 PM

SPSpewy

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 1,360

In that kind of situation I really think I need more than stats. Its much more a reads play, IMHO. In a vacuum I think this is good.
This Q is a good and bad card at same time. Probably you are behind till river and better hands like AJ/AT/KJ should fold. AQ, AK are 3betting a good portion of time. KQ calls close to 100%, even thinking this kind of a hand stills a bluff catcher.

11-09-2011 , 06:04 PM

Lifeisagrind

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 1,524

the board runout/this triple barrel should be very good but with a K here i'd rather just check flop and go from there. if you had T8 this would be cool

11-09-2011 , 07:24 PM

burpst

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 1,315

Lifeisagrind,What is in your c/c range here?

11-09-2011 , 09:05 PM

Sirrybob

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 1,261

I like it if you have a clean image.

11-09-2011 , 09:05 PM

GraceForDrowning

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 316

How much do you open? What does he think of you? Recent history?

In theory it's all good but those factors effect this hand more than any technical analysis of yours and his range.

11-10-2011 , 05:25 AM

spew4u

enthusiast

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 80

Not sure I agree with most of you here. The flop & turn seem too dry to bluff river. I don't know how villian views us so it's hard to say. But what hands are we getting to fold here? AJ/AT? That seems about it. MAAAYYBBEE KJ, assuming he calls $25 on turn with K vs PFR. Or AcXc. I don't like it.

11-10-2011 , 08:56 AM

B1ingB1angB1aow

adept

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 1,166

In my experience, this works a lot less often then it actually should.

11-10-2011 , 09:18 AM

Cheerful Demon

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 1,920

river's too big imo, better runout for our range than his

i'd go $50

11-10-2011 , 09:40 AM

#10

jackwilcox

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 9,843

Quote:

Originally Posted by spew4u

yes but count the combos.

11-10-2011 , 10:24 AM

#11

lancelott_

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 2,467

you have a blocker to hands that you are trying to fold out
27% WTSD guy will call river a lot, esp when clubs/small SC`s missed

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